Model
ECMWF IFS HRES
ifs_hres
source ecmwf · product oper · steps every 6 h to 240 h · initializations 0, 12 UTC · native extreme fields mx2t3, mn2t3, mx2t6, mn2t6 (diagnostic only, never in the headline ranking). Scores use the latest model version segment, ifs-gpid161, starting 2026-08-01. Earlier days ran a different version of the model and are excluded rather than silently pooled into the same average.
Instantaneous temperature — MAE °F by stationt2
Scored against the observed 2 m temperature at the same instant (ASOS routine METAR). This is the headline variable: the same four instants on the forecast and the observation side. These pages are always bilinear interpolation, the headline method. The nearest-node variant, and every other window/initialization/interpolation/variable combination, is published on each permanent link below — follow any number.
| Station | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KATL | 2.07−1.46 · n=29 | 2.33−1.29 · n=29 | 2.45−1.09 · n=29 | 2.68−0.72 · n=29 | 3.01−0.89 · n=29 | 2.87−0.66 · n=29 | 2.99−0.28 · n=29 | 4.02−0.09 · n=29 | 3.98−0.42 · n=29 | 4.70−0.33 · n=29 | |
| KAUS | 3.08+0.93 · n=29 | 3.17+0.96 · n=29 | 3.28+0.90 · n=29 | 3.20+1.00 · n=29 | 3.77+1.52 · n=29 | 4.70+1.53 · n=29 | 5.24+1.93 · n=29 | 6.19+1.88 · n=29 | 6.70+1.43 · n=29 | 6.59+0.96 · n=29 | |
| KBOS | 2.20−1.75 · n=28 | 2.34−1.81 · n=28 | 2.45−1.74 · n=28 | 2.80−1.67 · n=28 | 3.17−1.72 · n=28 | 4.25−2.29 · n=28 | 4.61−2.57 · n=28 | 5.10−3.11 · n=28 | 5.50−1.23 · n=28 | 6.28−1.55 · n=28 | |
| KDCA | 2.21−1.85 · n=29 | 2.39−1.53 · n=29 | 2.47−1.73 · n=29 | 2.77−1.96 · n=29 | 3.02−2.17 · n=29 | 3.64−2.34 · n=29 | 4.74−2.95 · n=29 | 4.88−2.87 · n=29 | 4.07−1.71 · n=29 | 6.00−1.97 · n=29 | |
| KDEN | 2.66+1.09 · n=29 | 2.74+1.10 · n=29 | 3.17+1.13 · n=29 | 3.51+0.72 · n=29 | 3.72+0.22 · n=29 | 4.62−0.75 · n=29 | 5.11−0.72 · n=29 | 5.78−1.18 · n=29 | 5.78−1.14 · n=29 | — | |
| KDFW | 1.69+0.19 · n=29 | 2.01−0.12 · n=29 | 2.37−0.31 · n=29 | 2.45−0.39 · n=29 | 2.88−0.06 · n=29 | 3.36+0.04 · n=29 | 4.36+0.03 · n=29 | 5.90+0.53 · n=29 | 6.32+0.06 · n=29 | 5.97−0.66 · n=29 | |
| KEWR | 2.12−1.47 · n=29 | 2.43−1.67 · n=29 | 2.79−1.76 · n=29 | 3.08−2.08 · n=29 | 3.14−2.27 · n=29 | 3.80−2.35 · n=29 | 4.49−3.01 · n=29 | 4.61−2.75 · n=29 | 4.38−1.53 · n=29 | 6.03−2.09 · n=29 | |
| KIAH | 2.28+0.62 · n=29 | 2.50+0.53 · n=29 | 2.76+0.49 · n=29 | 2.83+0.87 · n=29 | 2.94+0.74 · n=29 | 3.31+1.01 · n=29 | 4.10+1.64 · n=29 | 4.56+1.79 · n=29 | 4.78+1.15 · n=29 | 4.82+0.61 · n=29 | |
| KLAS | 3.37−2.87 · n=29 | 3.54−2.98 · n=29 | 3.61−3.13 · n=29 | 3.95−3.47 · n=29 | 4.58−4.01 · n=29 | 4.83−4.04 · n=29 | 4.88−3.82 · n=29 | 5.19−3.73 · n=29 | 5.78−2.47 · n=29 | — | |
| KLAX | 2.33−1.21 · n=29 | 2.41−1.43 · n=29 | 2.53−1.69 · n=29 | 2.68−1.98 · n=29 | 3.16−2.20 · n=29 | 3.55−2.41 · n=29 | 4.37−2.52 · n=29 | 4.53−2.14 · n=29 | 5.31−2.10 · n=29 | — | |
| KMIA | 2.48−2.17 · n=29 | 2.96−2.67 · n=29 | 3.19−2.74 · n=29 | 3.31−2.82 · n=29 | 3.31−2.84 · n=29 | 3.31−3.03 · n=29 | 3.38−2.79 · n=29 | 3.52−2.66 · n=29 | 3.56−2.75 · n=29 | 3.77−2.75 · n=29 | |
| KMSP | 1.96−0.78 · n=29 | 2.53−1.02 · n=29 | 2.74−1.20 · n=29 | 3.46−1.01 · n=29 | 3.44−0.75 · n=29 | 4.01−1.33 · n=29 | 4.60−0.91 · n=29 | 5.15−0.86 · n=29 | 6.13−1.42 · n=29 | 5.63−0.11 · n=29 | |
| KMSY | 2.14−0.19 · n=29 | 2.19−0.27 · n=29 | 2.35−0.20 · n=29 | 2.37−0.35 · n=29 | 2.55−0.30 · n=29 | 2.92+0.04 · n=29 | 3.30+0.66 · n=29 | 4.22+0.86 · n=29 | 4.22+0.87 · n=29 | 4.60+0.60 · n=29 | |
| KNYC | 2.09−0.91 · n=28 | 2.38−1.10 · n=28 | 2.76−1.15 · n=28 | 3.02−1.42 · n=28 | 3.24−1.67 · n=28 | 3.68−1.73 · n=28 | 4.23−2.43 · n=28 | 4.40−2.22 · n=28 | 4.17−0.96 · n=28 | 5.34−1.42 · n=28 | |
| KOKC | 3.07+2.02 · n=29 | 3.38+1.96 · n=29 | 3.55+1.68 · n=29 | 3.68+1.41 · n=29 | 3.94+1.37 · n=29 | 3.93+1.43 · n=29 | 5.17+1.19 · n=29 | 5.87+1.10 · n=29 | 6.44+1.09 · n=29 | 6.33+0.57 · n=29 | |
| KORD | 2.07−1.57 · n=29 | 2.44−1.77 · n=29 | 2.77−2.03 · n=29 | 3.04−2.21 · n=29 | 3.65−2.81 · n=29 | 3.96−2.55 · n=29 | 4.99−2.37 · n=29 | 5.28−2.31 · n=29 | 5.57−1.78 · n=29 | 6.21−1.52 · n=29 | |
| KPHL | 2.73−2.36 · n=29 | 3.06−2.55 · n=29 | 3.44−2.82 · n=29 | 3.83−3.19 · n=29 | 4.00−3.31 · n=29 | 4.34−3.36 · n=29 | 5.19−3.98 · n=29 | 5.32−4.04 · n=29 | 4.73−2.58 · n=29 | 6.71−2.60 · n=29 | |
| KPHX | 3.39−2.79 · n=29 | 3.60−3.10 · n=29 | 3.74−2.85 · n=29 | 4.25−3.36 · n=29 | 4.75−3.88 · n=29 | 4.58−2.90 · n=29 | 4.57−2.69 · n=29 | 4.85−1.80 · n=29 | 5.53−0.98 · n=29 | — | |
| KSAN | 2.74−1.41 · n=29 | 2.99−1.76 · n=29 | 3.10−1.92 · n=29 | 3.31−2.20 · n=29 | 3.57−2.48 · n=29 | 3.73−2.53 · n=29 | 4.15−2.60 · n=29 | 4.56−2.71 · n=29 | 5.03−2.44 · n=29 | — | |
| KSAT | 1.89+0.31 · n=29 | 2.10+0.33 · n=29 | 2.07+0.32 · n=29 | 2.33+0.24 · n=29 | 2.87+0.49 · n=29 | 3.59+0.67 · n=29 | 4.26+0.86 · n=29 | 5.08+1.06 · n=29 | 5.36+0.48 · n=29 | 5.38+0.18 · n=29 | |
| KSEA | 1.71−0.63 · n=29 | 1.92−0.78 · n=29 | 1.98−0.89 · n=29 | 2.35−0.90 · n=29 | 2.25−0.95 · n=29 | 2.46−0.99 · n=29 | 3.00−1.45 · n=29 | 3.36−1.80 · n=29 | 3.40−2.15 · n=29 | — | |
| KSFO | 2.45−0.85 · n=29 | 2.43−1.13 · n=29 | 2.64−1.13 · n=29 | 2.79−1.32 · n=29 | 2.95−2.11 · n=29 | 3.34−2.51 · n=29 | 3.53−2.26 · n=29 | 4.22−2.33 · n=29 | 4.12−2.71 · n=29 | — | |
| KTTN | 1.97+0.59 · n=29 | 2.04+0.47 · n=29 | 2.45+0.18 · n=29 | 2.50−0.01 · n=29 | 2.70−0.17 · n=29 | 3.57−0.09 · n=29 | 4.23−0.83 · n=29 | 4.73−0.86 · n=29 | 4.50+0.58 · n=29 | 6.28+0.40 · n=29 |
+ model too warm − model too cold bias interval includes zero ★ lowest MAE among ranked models (n ≥ 30) = not distinguishable from the leader ▼ worse than the leader ▲ better than the leader — all three Holm-corrected within this table, over the family of comparisons against the leader; the uncorrected verdict for every pair is published in the pairwise table of each permanent link and in pairwise_latest.csv.gzn < 30 greyed and unranked CI is a 95 % moving-block bootstrap interval on the group's own days, and reads — when it could not be computed skill reads — when fewer than 10 days are common to the model and the baseline: the ratio of two means over a handful of shared days is not a number worth printing
Sampled daily maximum — MAE °F by stationtmax_s
Scored against the maximum of the four *observed* samples on the same day.
| Station | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KATL | 0.92+0.31 · n=29 | 1.66+0.73 · n=29 | 2.01+0.87 · n=29 | 2.29+1.57 · n=29 | 3.08+1.40 · n=29 | 2.71+1.04 · n=29 | 2.61+0.44 · n=29 | 4.14+1.14 · n=29 | 4.20+0.70 · n=29 | 4.98+0.97 · n=29 | |
| KAUS | 1.67+0.21 · n=29 | 1.76+0.08 · n=29 | 1.94−0.28 · n=29 | 2.09−0.10 · n=29 | 2.73+0.37 · n=29 | 3.83+0.01 · n=29 | 4.17+0.79 · n=29 | 4.76+0.02 · n=29 | 4.72−0.35 · n=29 | 4.80−0.20 · n=29 | |
| KBOS | 2.03−1.46 · n=28 | 2.18−1.38 · n=28 | 1.84−1.01 · n=28 | 2.55−1.42 · n=28 | 3.40−1.62 · n=28 | 5.07−2.20 · n=28 | 5.03−2.00 · n=28 | 5.37−2.95 · n=28 | 5.96−0.82 · n=28 | 6.12−2.27 · n=28 | |
| KDCA | 1.87−0.83 · n=29 | 2.59−0.58 · n=29 | 2.54−1.28 · n=29 | 3.07−1.43 · n=29 | 3.55−1.80 · n=29 | 3.51−2.31 · n=29 | 4.93−2.06 · n=29 | 4.87−2.82 · n=29 | 3.72−0.97 · n=29 | 6.87−2.52 · n=29 | |
| KDEN | 1.90+0.81 · n=29 | 2.35+0.90 · n=29 | 2.82+0.67 · n=29 | 3.23+0.62 · n=29 | 3.21−0.23 · n=29 | 4.24−1.41 · n=29 | 5.28−1.25 · n=29 | 6.18−1.87 · n=29 | 5.77−0.82 · n=29 | — | |
| KDFW | 1.35−0.44 · n=29 | 1.92−0.90 · n=29 | 2.47−0.95 · n=29 | 2.42−1.03 · n=29 | 2.89−0.70 · n=29 | 3.73−0.59 · n=29 | 4.70−0.69 · n=29 | 5.93−0.38 · n=29 | 6.03−1.28 · n=29 | 5.18−1.97 · n=29 | |
| KEWR | 2.82−2.33 · n=29 | 3.03−2.45 · n=29 | 3.44−2.66 · n=29 | 3.94−2.79 · n=29 | 3.85−3.13 · n=29 | 4.77−3.65 · n=29 | 5.21−4.22 · n=29 | 5.13−3.62 · n=29 | 4.40−2.25 · n=29 | 7.26−4.19 · n=29 | |
| KIAH | 1.68−0.70 · n=29 | 2.21−0.49 · n=29 | 2.62−0.71 · n=29 | 2.65−0.13 · n=29 | 2.70+0.05 · n=29 | 2.80+0.21 · n=29 | 3.44+0.43 · n=29 | 3.88+0.65 · n=29 | 4.16−0.26 · n=29 | 3.65−1.18 · n=29 | |
| KLAS | 2.97−2.87 · n=29 | 3.05−3.03 · n=29 | 3.22−3.10 · n=29 | 3.62−3.62 · n=29 | 4.42−4.31 · n=29 | 4.84−4.28 · n=29 | 5.17−3.84 · n=29 | 5.47−3.53 · n=29 | 6.29−1.90 · n=29 | — | |
| KLAX | 3.05−2.37 · n=29 | 3.36−2.63 · n=29 | 3.26−2.74 · n=29 | 3.66−2.98 · n=29 | 4.04−3.35 · n=29 | 4.48−3.55 · n=29 | 5.46−3.80 · n=29 | 5.57−3.20 · n=29 | 6.63−3.33 · n=29 | — | |
| KMIA | 1.89−1.03 · n=29 | 2.43−1.60 · n=29 | 2.75−1.36 · n=29 | 2.52−0.88 · n=29 | 2.77−1.37 · n=29 | 2.73−2.08 · n=29 | 2.67−1.33 · n=29 | 2.52−0.88 · n=29 | 2.45−0.92 · n=29 | 2.94−0.94 · n=29 | |
| KMSP | 1.72−0.71 · n=29 | 2.40−0.94 · n=29 | 2.50−1.11 · n=29 | 3.31−1.23 · n=29 | 3.37−0.50 · n=29 | 4.23−1.23 · n=29 | 4.43−0.95 · n=29 | 5.43−0.34 · n=29 | 6.52−0.80 · n=29 | 5.96+0.38 · n=29 | |
| KMSY | 2.43−2.01 · n=29 | 2.67−2.41 · n=29 | 2.85−2.21 · n=29 | 2.67−2.33 · n=29 | 3.00−2.51 · n=29 | 3.46−2.26 · n=29 | 3.44−1.56 · n=29 | 4.84−1.44 · n=29 | 4.00−1.46 · n=29 | 4.67−2.14 · n=29 | |
| KNYC | 1.73+1.28 · n=28 | 1.96+1.11 · n=28 | 2.01+1.05 · n=28 | 2.53+0.91 · n=28 | 2.76+0.50 · n=28 | 3.59−0.07 · n=28 | 3.48−0.70 · n=28 | 4.23−0.10 · n=28 | 3.70+0.95 · n=28 | 5.24−0.52 · n=28 | |
| KOKC | 1.94+0.15 · n=29 | 2.62+0.15 · n=29 | 2.91−0.12 · n=29 | 3.44−0.22 · n=29 | 3.85−0.34 · n=29 | 4.31−0.45 · n=29 | 5.34−0.76 · n=29 | 5.87−0.53 · n=29 | 6.98−0.58 · n=29 | 5.71−1.64 · n=29 | |
| KORD | 2.22−2.06 · n=29 | 2.91−2.41 · n=29 | 3.11−2.88 · n=29 | 3.51−3.11 · n=29 | 3.88−3.76 · n=29 | 4.46−3.77 · n=29 | 5.75−3.65 · n=29 | 5.41−3.68 · n=29 | 4.95−3.30 · n=29 | 5.74−3.06 · n=29 | |
| KPHL | 2.27−1.46 · n=29 | 2.61−1.53 · n=29 | 2.94−2.29 · n=29 | 3.47−2.59 · n=29 | 3.82−2.38 · n=29 | 4.02−3.02 · n=29 | 4.64−3.42 · n=29 | 5.03−3.32 · n=29 | 3.40−1.69 · n=29 | 7.13−3.21 · n=29 | |
| KPHX | 2.99−2.74 · n=29 | 3.41−2.78 · n=29 | 3.09−2.33 · n=29 | 3.64−3.07 · n=29 | 4.48−3.67 · n=29 | 3.70−1.75 · n=29 | 3.59−1.52 · n=29 | 3.87−0.53 · n=29 | 5.12+0.39 · n=29 | — | |
| KSAN | 4.00−3.96 · n=29 | 4.52−4.51 · n=29 | 4.59−4.49 · n=29 | 4.94−4.87 · n=29 | 5.45−5.36 · n=29 | 5.47−5.26 · n=29 | 5.92−5.23 · n=29 | 6.42−5.44 · n=29 | 6.81−5.17 · n=29 | — | |
| KSAT | 1.03+0.01 · n=29 | 1.36+0.11 · n=29 | 1.60−0.14 · n=29 | 1.76−0.11 · n=29 | 2.41−0.04 · n=29 | 3.30+0.02 · n=29 | 3.55+0.74 · n=29 | 4.07+0.06 · n=29 | 3.89−0.41 · n=29 | 4.16−0.56 · n=29 | |
| KSEA | 1.36−0.92 · n=29 | 1.47−0.97 · n=29 | 1.76−1.35 · n=29 | 2.10−1.25 · n=29 | 2.15−1.76 · n=29 | 2.51−1.69 · n=29 | 3.37−2.02 · n=29 | 3.58−2.08 · n=29 | 3.45−2.40 · n=29 | — | |
| KSFO | 3.26−2.54 · n=29 | 3.51−2.88 · n=29 | 3.71−2.91 · n=29 | 3.90−3.26 · n=29 | 4.59−4.33 · n=29 | 5.33−4.80 · n=29 | 5.63−4.54 · n=29 | 6.69−4.59 · n=29 | 5.83−4.70 · n=29 | — | |
| KTTN | 1.72−0.36 · n=29 | 1.83−0.37 · n=29 | 2.16−0.94 · n=29 | 2.62−0.97 · n=29 | 2.87−1.10 · n=29 | 3.77−1.90 · n=29 | 4.22−2.25 · n=29 | 4.61−1.90 · n=29 | 3.60−0.18 · n=29 | 6.72−2.03 · n=29 |
Sampled daily minimum — MAE °F by stationtmin_s
Scored against the minimum of the four *observed* samples on the same day.
| Station | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KATL | 1.92−1.64 · n=29 | 2.04−1.69 · n=29 | 2.14−1.64 · n=29 | 2.33−1.41 · n=29 | 2.59−1.28 · n=29 | 2.55−1.07 · n=29 | 2.99−0.06 · n=29 | 4.11−0.10 · n=29 | 3.97−0.49 · n=29 | 4.46−0.28 · n=29 | |
| KAUS | 3.76+3.18 · n=29 | 3.70+3.26 · n=29 | 3.86+3.16 · n=29 | 3.81+3.16 · n=29 | 4.23+3.40 · n=29 | 4.94+3.93 · n=29 | 5.73+4.22 · n=29 | 7.31+5.11 · n=29 | 7.71+4.41 · n=29 | 7.78+4.09 · n=29 | |
| KBOS | 1.95−1.70 · n=28 | 2.06−1.63 · n=28 | 2.18−1.46 · n=28 | 2.41−1.10 · n=28 | 2.50−0.86 · n=28 | 3.08−1.63 · n=28 | 3.65−2.47 · n=28 | 4.63−2.67 · n=28 | 4.83−1.01 · n=28 | 4.94−0.24 · n=28 | |
| KDCA | 1.61−1.53 · n=29 | 1.56−1.38 · n=29 | 1.75−1.57 · n=29 | 2.05−1.71 · n=29 | 2.11−1.89 · n=29 | 3.01−1.46 · n=29 | 4.01−2.87 · n=29 | 4.63−2.42 · n=29 | 4.15−1.39 · n=29 | 5.30−0.64 · n=29 | |
| KDEN | 2.82+0.44 · n=29 | 2.79+0.47 · n=29 | 3.42+0.66 · n=29 | 3.70+0.14 · n=29 | 4.11−0.21 · n=29 | 4.56−0.08 · n=29 | 5.22−1.04 · n=29 | 4.80−1.37 · n=29 | 3.97−2.23 · n=29 | — | |
| KDFW | 1.71+1.05 · n=29 | 1.82+0.89 · n=29 | 1.89+0.83 · n=29 | 1.78+0.47 · n=29 | 2.24+0.78 · n=29 | 2.59+1.13 · n=29 | 3.28+1.26 · n=29 | 5.35+1.93 · n=29 | 6.18+1.68 · n=29 | 6.34+1.49 · n=29 | |
| KEWR | 1.31−0.12 · n=29 | 1.54−0.43 · n=29 | 1.81−0.30 · n=29 | 2.18−0.82 · n=29 | 2.11−0.89 · n=29 | 2.40−0.71 · n=29 | 3.37−1.62 · n=29 | 3.67−1.36 · n=29 | 3.69−0.36 · n=29 | 4.79+0.12 · n=29 | |
| KIAH | 2.28+1.75 · n=29 | 2.54+1.66 · n=29 | 2.64+1.59 · n=29 | 2.59+1.82 · n=29 | 2.69+1.39 · n=29 | 3.64+1.61 · n=29 | 4.63+2.38 · n=29 | 5.00+2.62 · n=29 | 5.59+2.31 · n=29 | 6.18+2.07 · n=29 | |
| KLAS | 3.22−3.07 · n=29 | 3.46−3.26 · n=29 | 3.49−3.25 · n=29 | 3.58−3.37 · n=29 | 3.75−3.67 · n=29 | 4.14−3.90 · n=29 | 4.30−3.71 · n=29 | 4.30−3.94 · n=29 | 4.79−3.17 · n=29 | — | |
| KLAX | 1.43−0.37 · n=29 | 1.28−0.52 · n=29 | 1.25−0.78 · n=29 | 1.48−1.09 · n=29 | 1.99−1.39 · n=29 | 2.11−1.50 · n=29 | 2.83−1.95 · n=29 | 2.99−1.56 · n=29 | 3.54−1.16 · n=29 | — | |
| KMIA | 2.39−2.37 · n=29 | 2.95−2.92 · n=29 | 3.08−3.08 · n=29 | 3.34−3.34 · n=29 | 3.23−3.23 · n=29 | 3.11−3.11 · n=29 | 3.40−3.23 · n=29 | 3.74−3.33 · n=29 | 4.04−3.49 · n=29 | 4.10−3.46 · n=29 | |
| KMSP | 1.00−0.08 · n=29 | 1.38−0.44 · n=29 | 1.72−0.27 · n=29 | 2.43−0.18 · n=29 | 2.52+0.24 · n=29 | 2.78−0.92 · n=29 | 3.88−0.35 · n=29 | 4.61−0.66 · n=29 | 5.44−1.21 · n=29 | 5.14+0.36 · n=29 | |
| KMSY | 2.31+1.14 · n=29 | 2.22+1.21 · n=29 | 2.57+1.17 · n=29 | 2.46+1.11 · n=29 | 2.78+1.31 · n=29 | 3.33+1.53 · n=29 | 3.76+2.34 · n=29 | 4.40+2.59 · n=29 | 5.04+2.73 · n=29 | 5.40+2.75 · n=29 | |
| KNYC | 1.76−1.45 · n=28 | 2.25−1.74 · n=28 | 2.54−1.66 · n=28 | 3.05−2.15 · n=28 | 3.04−2.33 · n=28 | 3.08−2.03 · n=28 | 4.13−2.99 · n=28 | 3.91−2.79 · n=28 | 3.98−1.56 · n=28 | 4.72−1.16 · n=28 | |
| KOKC | 3.72+3.43 · n=29 | 3.68+3.19 · n=29 | 3.94+2.97 · n=29 | 3.64+2.61 · n=29 | 4.30+2.83 · n=29 | 4.05+3.26 · n=29 | 5.02+2.77 · n=29 | 6.10+2.52 · n=29 | 6.77+2.35 · n=29 | 6.97+2.32 · n=29 | |
| KORD | 1.06−0.60 · n=29 | 1.26−0.52 · n=29 | 1.71−0.74 · n=29 | 1.97−1.07 · n=29 | 2.59−1.52 · n=29 | 3.25−0.88 · n=29 | 4.19−0.54 · n=29 | 4.62−0.55 · n=29 | 5.51+0.03 · n=29 | 6.42+0.38 · n=29 | |
| KPHL | 2.09−2.07 · n=29 | 2.43−2.43 · n=29 | 2.44−2.27 · n=29 | 3.14−2.79 · n=29 | 3.39−3.02 · n=29 | 3.49−2.60 · n=29 | 4.84−3.56 · n=29 | 4.73−3.70 · n=29 | 4.81−2.21 · n=29 | 5.55−1.35 · n=29 | |
| KPHX | 4.01−3.74 · n=29 | 4.11−4.11 · n=29 | 4.34−4.18 · n=29 | 4.89−4.47 · n=29 | 5.09−4.64 · n=29 | 5.26−4.77 · n=29 | 5.26−4.70 · n=29 | 5.41−4.28 · n=29 | 5.56−3.43 · n=29 | — | |
| KSAN | 2.00+1.35 · n=29 | 1.83+1.13 · n=29 | 2.02+1.02 · n=29 | 2.10+0.66 · n=29 | 1.72+0.55 · n=29 | 1.91+0.47 · n=29 | 2.38+0.18 · n=29 | 2.76−0.05 · n=29 | 2.94+0.43 · n=29 | — | |
| KSAT | 2.07+1.33 · n=29 | 2.26+1.35 · n=29 | 2.27+1.27 · n=29 | 2.39+1.14 · n=29 | 2.85+1.55 · n=29 | 3.40+1.89 · n=29 | 3.94+1.92 · n=29 | 5.83+3.00 · n=29 | 6.02+2.47 · n=29 | 6.17+2.15 · n=29 | |
| KSEA | 1.65−0.72 · n=29 | 1.81−0.76 · n=29 | 1.62−0.68 · n=29 | 2.01−0.96 · n=29 | 2.06−0.68 · n=29 | 2.47−0.91 · n=29 | 2.20−1.09 · n=29 | 2.99−2.09 · n=29 | 3.29−2.17 · n=29 | — | |
| KSFO | 1.53−0.09 · n=29 | 1.39−0.27 · n=29 | 1.66−0.24 · n=29 | 1.96−0.55 · n=29 | 1.84−0.73 · n=29 | 2.25−1.12 · n=29 | 2.35−0.89 · n=29 | 2.36−1.08 · n=29 | 3.00−1.28 · n=29 | — | |
| KTTN | 2.24+1.93 · n=29 | 2.32+1.61 · n=29 | 2.41+1.77 · n=29 | 2.55+1.27 · n=29 | 2.79+1.03 · n=29 | 3.07+1.60 · n=29 | 3.56+0.68 · n=29 | 4.59+0.31 · n=29 | 4.61+1.55 · n=29 | 5.65+2.66 · n=29 |
Against the NWS daily extremes (secondary)
This comparison scores four 6-hourly forecast samples against the true daily extreme, so it includes a sampling penalty. The size of that penalty depends on each model's own diurnal amplitude, which is one of the things this site measures, so these numbers are published for operational relevance and are never used for ranking.
Daily maximum vs NWS CLI
| Station | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KATL | 2.50−2.38 · n=29 | 2.69−1.96 · n=29 | 2.92−1.82 · n=29 | 2.72−1.12 · n=29 | 3.70−1.29 · n=29 | 3.41−1.65 · n=29 | 3.10−2.24 · n=29 | 4.30−1.55 · n=29 | 4.63−1.99 · n=29 | 5.27−1.72 · n=29 | |
| KAUS | 4.51−4.20 · n=29 | 4.74−4.33 · n=29 | 5.00−4.69 · n=29 | 4.96−4.52 · n=29 | 5.15−4.05 · n=29 | 6.26−4.41 · n=29 | 6.23−3.62 · n=29 | 6.91−4.40 · n=29 | 6.40−4.76 · n=29 | 6.96−4.62 · n=29 | |
| KBOS | 3.31−3.08 · n=29 | 3.45−2.97 · n=29 | 2.85−2.57 · n=29 | 3.57−3.00 · n=29 | 4.41−3.24 · n=29 | 6.08−3.94 · n=29 | 6.33−3.82 · n=29 | 6.26−4.69 · n=29 | 6.34−2.45 · n=29 | 7.13−4.23 · n=29 | |
| KDCA | 2.79−2.65 · n=29 | 3.29−2.41 · n=29 | 3.43−3.11 · n=29 | 3.85−3.26 · n=29 | 4.60−3.62 · n=29 | 4.63−4.14 · n=29 | 5.65−3.88 · n=29 | 5.61−4.64 · n=29 | 4.60−2.79 · n=29 | 8.18−4.34 · n=29 | |
| KDEN | 4.27−4.23 · n=29 | 4.14−4.14 · n=29 | 4.63−4.37 · n=29 | 4.99−4.42 · n=29 | 5.98−5.27 · n=29 | 7.21−6.44 · n=29 | 7.79−6.28 · n=29 | 8.47−6.90 · n=29 | 7.94−5.86 · n=29 | — | |
| KDFW | 3.89−3.89 · n=29 | 4.44−4.35 · n=29 | 4.97−4.40 · n=29 | 4.92−4.48 · n=29 | 5.24−4.15 · n=29 | 5.98−4.04 · n=29 | 6.46−4.14 · n=29 | 7.18−3.83 · n=29 | 7.73−4.73 · n=29 | 6.90−5.42 · n=29 | |
| KEWR | 4.11−4.10 · n=29 | 4.36−4.23 · n=29 | 4.49−4.43 · n=29 | 4.98−4.56 · n=29 | 5.38−4.90 · n=29 | 6.27−5.43 · n=29 | 6.65−5.99 · n=29 | 5.89−5.39 · n=29 | 5.58−4.03 · n=29 | 8.35−5.97 · n=29 | |
| KIAH | 4.48−4.28 · n=29 | 4.65−4.07 · n=29 | 4.84−4.30 · n=29 | 4.57−3.72 · n=29 | 4.61−3.54 · n=29 | 4.67−3.38 · n=29 | 5.60−3.15 · n=29 | 5.28−2.93 · n=29 | 5.92−3.84 · n=29 | 5.57−4.77 · n=29 | |
| KLAS | 4.51−4.51 · n=29 | 4.67−4.67 · n=29 | 4.74−4.74 · n=29 | 5.27−5.27 · n=29 | 5.96−5.96 · n=29 | 6.34−5.92 · n=29 | 6.49−5.48 · n=29 | 6.50−5.17 · n=29 | 7.11−3.55 · n=29 | — | |
| KLAX | 5.27−5.13 · n=29 | 5.51−5.39 · n=29 | 5.63−5.50 · n=29 | 5.95−5.74 · n=29 | 6.29−6.11 · n=29 | 6.77−6.31 · n=29 | 7.52−6.56 · n=29 | 7.31−5.96 · n=29 | 8.39−6.09 · n=29 | — | |
| KMIA | 2.96−2.96 · n=29 | 3.63−3.54 · n=29 | 3.29−3.29 · n=29 | 2.94−2.81 · n=29 | 3.47−3.30 · n=29 | 4.09−4.01 · n=29 | 3.27−3.26 · n=29 | 2.88−2.81 · n=29 | 3.28−2.85 · n=29 | 3.28−2.88 · n=29 | |
| KMSP | 4.37−4.03 · n=29 | 4.78−4.25 · n=29 | 4.99−4.42 · n=29 | 5.58−4.54 · n=29 | 5.64−3.81 · n=29 | 6.25−4.54 · n=29 | 6.91−4.27 · n=29 | 7.14−3.65 · n=29 | 7.99−4.11 · n=29 | 7.03−2.93 · n=29 | |
| KMSY | 4.44−4.32 · n=29 | 4.72−4.72 · n=29 | 4.64−4.52 · n=29 | 4.64−4.64 · n=29 | 4.82−4.82 · n=29 | 5.09−4.57 · n=29 | 4.74−3.87 · n=29 | 5.83−3.75 · n=29 | 4.88−3.77 · n=29 | 5.72−4.45 · n=29 | |
| KNYC | 1.54−0.91 · n=29 | 1.62−1.07 · n=29 | 1.79−1.15 · n=29 | 2.73−1.33 · n=29 | 2.96−1.70 · n=29 | 4.18−2.31 · n=29 | 4.33−2.65 · n=29 | 4.48−2.13 · n=29 | 3.92−0.98 · n=29 | 5.98−2.75 · n=29 | |
| KOKC | 3.71−3.03 · n=29 | 4.04−3.02 · n=29 | 4.52−3.30 · n=29 | 4.79−3.40 · n=29 | 5.43−3.52 · n=29 | 6.05−3.63 · n=29 | 6.71−3.93 · n=29 | 7.35−3.70 · n=29 | 7.95−3.76 · n=29 | 7.23−4.81 · n=29 | |
| KORD | 4.35−4.33 · n=29 | 5.05−4.68 · n=29 | 5.29−5.14 · n=29 | 5.43−5.38 · n=29 | 6.12−6.03 · n=29 | 6.43−6.04 · n=29 | 7.07−5.92 · n=29 | 6.86−5.95 · n=29 | 6.86−5.57 · n=29 | 6.86−5.33 · n=29 | |
| KPHL | 3.44−3.36 · n=29 | 3.67−3.43 · n=29 | 4.26−4.18 · n=29 | 4.68−4.49 · n=29 | 5.03−4.28 · n=29 | 5.54−4.92 · n=29 | 5.94−5.32 · n=29 | 5.96−5.22 · n=29 | 4.69−3.59 · n=29 | 8.55−5.11 · n=29 | |
| KPHX | 5.40−5.40 · n=29 | 5.48−5.43 · n=29 | 5.16−4.99 · n=29 | 5.72−5.72 · n=29 | 6.48−6.32 · n=29 | 4.88−4.41 · n=29 | 5.03−4.18 · n=29 | 5.44−3.19 · n=29 | 5.90−2.27 · n=29 | — | |
| KSAN | 6.37−6.37 · n=29 | 6.93−6.93 · n=29 | 6.91−6.91 · n=29 | 7.28−7.28 · n=29 | 7.77−7.77 · n=29 | 7.68−7.68 · n=29 | 7.79−7.64 · n=29 | 8.21−7.86 · n=29 | 8.49−7.59 · n=29 | — | |
| KSAT | 3.69−3.59 · n=29 | 3.81−3.49 · n=29 | 4.14−3.74 · n=29 | 4.25−3.71 · n=29 | 4.59−3.64 · n=29 | 5.19−3.58 · n=29 | 5.02−2.86 · n=29 | 5.85−3.54 · n=29 | 5.53−4.01 · n=29 | 5.84−4.16 · n=29 | |
| KSEA | 2.50−2.39 · n=29 | 2.59−2.44 · n=29 | 2.95−2.82 · n=29 | 2.91−2.72 · n=29 | 3.27−3.23 · n=29 | 3.35−3.16 · n=29 | 4.24−3.49 · n=29 | 4.21−3.56 · n=29 | 4.39−3.87 · n=29 | — | |
| KSFO | 6.31−6.28 · n=29 | 6.65−6.63 · n=29 | 6.82−6.66 · n=29 | 7.00−7.00 · n=29 | 8.07−8.07 · n=29 | 8.55−8.55 · n=29 | 8.79−8.29 · n=29 | 9.08−8.33 · n=29 | 8.84−8.45 · n=29 | — | |
| KTTN | 2.87−2.29 · n=29 | 2.82−2.30 · n=29 | 3.19−2.87 · n=29 | 3.50−2.91 · n=29 | 4.05−3.04 · n=29 | 5.05−3.83 · n=29 | 5.27−4.19 · n=29 | 5.15−3.83 · n=29 | 4.14−2.12 · n=29 | 7.72−3.97 · n=29 |
Daily minimum vs NWS CLI
| Station | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KATL | 1.35−0.14 · n=29 | 1.68−0.19 · n=29 | 1.62−0.13 · n=29 | 1.83+0.10 · n=29 | 2.23+0.22 · n=29 | 2.24+0.43 · n=29 | 3.28+1.44 · n=29 | 3.96+1.40 · n=29 | 4.03+1.01 · n=29 | 4.37+1.22 · n=29 | |
| KAUS | 5.09+4.89 · n=29 | 5.18+4.98 · n=29 | 5.17+4.88 · n=29 | 5.12+4.88 · n=29 | 5.43+5.12 · n=29 | 6.13+5.65 · n=29 | 7.15+5.93 · n=29 | 8.45+6.83 · n=29 | 8.61+6.12 · n=29 | 9.21+5.81 · n=29 | |
| KBOS | 1.19+0.37 · n=29 | 1.34+0.43 · n=29 | 1.40+0.55 · n=29 | 2.07+0.76 · n=29 | 2.33+0.98 · n=29 | 2.69+0.31 · n=29 | 2.97−0.24 · n=29 | 4.15−0.44 · n=29 | 4.67+0.88 · n=29 | 5.53+1.42 · n=29 | |
| KDCA | 0.96+0.12 · n=29 | 0.90+0.27 · n=29 | 1.33+0.08 · n=29 | 1.52−0.06 · n=29 | 1.51−0.24 · n=29 | 2.44+0.19 · n=29 | 3.25−1.22 · n=29 | 4.13−0.77 · n=29 | 4.49+0.26 · n=29 | 5.30+1.01 · n=29 | |
| KDEN | 3.51+2.45 · n=29 | 3.48+2.48 · n=29 | 3.98+2.67 · n=29 | 3.89+2.15 · n=29 | 4.02+1.80 · n=29 | 4.80+1.94 · n=29 | 5.10+0.97 · n=29 | 4.80+0.64 · n=29 | 3.79−0.21 · n=29 | — | |
| KDFW | 3.11+2.92 · n=29 | 2.93+2.76 · n=29 | 2.96+2.70 · n=29 | 2.77+2.34 · n=29 | 3.29+2.64 · n=29 | 3.82+3.00 · n=29 | 4.50+3.13 · n=29 | 6.50+3.80 · n=29 | 6.76+3.55 · n=29 | 6.88+3.36 · n=29 | |
| KEWR | 2.66+2.26 · n=29 | 2.59+1.94 · n=29 | 2.85+2.08 · n=29 | 2.91+1.55 · n=29 | 2.57+1.49 · n=29 | 3.07+1.66 · n=29 | 3.47+0.75 · n=29 | 4.59+1.01 · n=29 | 4.56+2.01 · n=29 | 5.58+2.50 · n=29 | |
| KIAH | 3.95+3.73 · n=29 | 4.12+3.64 · n=29 | 4.08+3.57 · n=29 | 4.22+3.80 · n=29 | 3.74+3.37 · n=29 | 4.78+3.59 · n=29 | 6.10+4.36 · n=29 | 5.85+4.60 · n=29 | 6.24+4.29 · n=29 | 7.17+4.05 · n=29 | |
| KLAS | 2.65−1.49 · n=29 | 2.90−1.68 · n=29 | 2.87−1.67 · n=29 | 2.95−1.78 · n=29 | 2.99−2.09 · n=29 | 3.43−2.32 · n=29 | 3.25−2.13 · n=29 | 3.76−2.36 · n=29 | 4.18−1.59 · n=29 | — | |
| KLAX | 1.62+1.37 · n=29 | 1.56+1.22 · n=29 | 1.44+0.96 · n=29 | 1.36+0.64 · n=29 | 1.26+0.34 · n=29 | 1.54+0.24 · n=29 | 2.45−0.21 · n=29 | 2.41+0.18 · n=29 | 3.13+0.58 · n=29 | — | |
| KMIA | 1.60−0.64 · n=29 | 1.98−1.19 · n=29 | 2.17−1.35 · n=29 | 2.29−1.62 · n=29 | 2.12−1.51 · n=29 | 2.25−1.39 · n=29 | 2.52−1.51 · n=29 | 2.87−1.61 · n=29 | 3.58−1.76 · n=29 | 3.52−1.74 · n=29 | |
| KMSP | 2.51+2.16 · n=29 | 2.71+1.80 · n=29 | 2.64+1.97 · n=29 | 3.17+2.07 · n=29 | 3.63+2.48 · n=29 | 3.11+1.33 · n=29 | 4.22+1.90 · n=29 | 5.43+1.58 · n=29 | 5.01+1.03 · n=29 | 5.27+2.60 · n=29 | |
| KMSY | 3.45+3.14 · n=29 | 3.67+3.20 · n=29 | 3.65+3.17 · n=29 | 3.41+3.10 · n=29 | 3.80+3.31 · n=29 | 4.36+3.53 · n=29 | 5.21+4.33 · n=29 | 5.51+4.59 · n=29 | 6.47+4.73 · n=29 | 6.48+4.75 · n=29 | |
| KNYC | 1.56−0.06 · n=29 | 1.74−0.35 · n=29 | 2.26−0.25 · n=29 | 2.70−0.75 · n=29 | 2.30−0.96 · n=29 | 2.68−0.71 · n=29 | 3.34−1.50 · n=29 | 4.08−1.30 · n=29 | 3.60−0.31 · n=29 | 4.53+0.17 · n=29 | |
| KOKC | 5.03+4.89 · n=29 | 4.78+4.65 · n=29 | 4.77+4.43 · n=29 | 4.47+4.07 · n=29 | 4.96+4.30 · n=29 | 4.89+4.72 · n=29 | 5.42+4.23 · n=29 | 6.41+3.98 · n=29 | 6.77+3.82 · n=29 | 7.18+3.78 · n=29 | |
| KORD | 1.64+0.89 · n=29 | 1.77+0.97 · n=29 | 2.05+0.74 · n=29 | 2.02+0.41 · n=29 | 2.40−0.04 · n=29 | 3.40+0.60 · n=29 | 4.68+0.94 · n=29 | 4.96+0.94 · n=29 | 5.53+1.51 · n=29 | 6.74+1.86 · n=29 | |
| KPHL | 1.14−0.09 · n=29 | 1.34−0.45 · n=29 | 1.46−0.29 · n=29 | 2.04−0.81 · n=29 | 1.90−1.04 · n=29 | 2.16−0.62 · n=29 | 4.03−1.58 · n=29 | 4.63−1.72 · n=29 | 4.70−0.23 · n=29 | 5.63+0.63 · n=29 | |
| KPHX | 2.81−2.45 · n=29 | 2.81−2.81 · n=29 | 3.34−2.88 · n=29 | 3.97−3.17 · n=29 | 4.19−3.34 · n=29 | 4.17−3.47 · n=29 | 4.52−3.40 · n=29 | 4.78−2.98 · n=29 | 5.11−2.13 · n=29 | — | |
| KSAN | 3.29+3.24 · n=29 | 3.06+3.02 · n=29 | 3.00+2.91 · n=29 | 2.72+2.55 · n=29 | 2.59+2.44 · n=29 | 2.46+2.36 · n=29 | 2.70+2.07 · n=29 | 3.00+1.84 · n=29 | 3.20+2.32 · n=29 | — | |
| KSAT | 2.64+2.31 · n=29 | 2.80+2.33 · n=29 | 2.82+2.25 · n=29 | 2.78+2.12 · n=29 | 3.33+2.53 · n=29 | 4.03+2.87 · n=29 | 4.59+2.90 · n=29 | 6.53+3.98 · n=29 | 6.65+3.45 · n=29 | 6.63+3.13 · n=29 | |
| KSEA | 1.67+1.11 · n=29 | 1.82+1.08 · n=29 | 1.72+1.16 · n=29 | 2.01+0.87 · n=29 | 1.98+1.15 · n=29 | 2.38+0.92 · n=29 | 2.11+0.74 · n=29 | 2.22−0.26 · n=29 | 2.68−0.34 · n=29 | — | |
| KSFO | 1.55+0.84 · n=29 | 1.46+0.66 · n=29 | 1.78+0.68 · n=29 | 1.87+0.38 · n=29 | 1.72+0.20 · n=29 | 2.02−0.19 · n=29 | 2.29+0.04 · n=29 | 2.32−0.15 · n=29 | 2.66−0.35 · n=29 | — | |
| KTTN | 5.00+4.99 · n=29 | 4.72+4.67 · n=29 | 4.89+4.83 · n=29 | 4.56+4.33 · n=29 | 4.69+4.09 · n=29 | 5.03+4.67 · n=29 | 5.30+3.75 · n=29 | 5.95+3.37 · n=29 | 6.08+4.61 · n=29 | 7.32+5.73 · n=29 |
Native daily maximum vs NWS CLI
| Station | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KATL | 1.60−1.21 · n=29 | 2.11−0.70 · n=29 | 2.28−0.57 · n=29 | 2.39+0.05 · n=29 | 3.06+0.03 · n=29 | 2.91−0.48 · n=29 | 2.70−0.45 · n=29 | 3.89+0.05 · n=29 | 3.76−0.36 · n=29 | — | |
| KAUS | 2.74−1.96 · n=29 | 2.75−1.80 · n=29 | 3.16−2.26 · n=29 | 3.33−1.78 · n=29 | 3.35−1.37 · n=29 | 4.43−1.41 · n=29 | 5.12−0.97 · n=29 | 5.55−1.88 · n=29 | 5.47−1.85 · n=29 | — | |
| KBOS | 2.03−1.63 · n=29 | 2.46−1.88 · n=29 | 2.49−1.80 · n=29 | 2.91−1.89 · n=29 | 3.63−2.01 · n=29 | 5.39−2.95 · n=29 | 5.32−2.61 · n=29 | 5.79−3.53 · n=29 | 6.00−1.66 · n=29 | — | |
| KDCA | 2.40−1.69 · n=29 | 2.84−1.48 · n=29 | 3.04−1.88 · n=29 | 3.31−2.01 · n=29 | 3.90−2.28 · n=29 | 3.98−3.16 · n=29 | 4.90−2.43 · n=29 | 5.27−3.45 · n=29 | 4.49−1.50 · n=29 | — | |
| KDEN | 1.49+0.23 · n=29 | 1.50−0.07 · n=29 | 2.19−0.16 · n=29 | 2.81−0.40 · n=29 | 3.07−1.17 · n=29 | 4.28−2.59 · n=29 | 5.20−2.21 · n=29 | 6.44−2.49 · n=29 | 6.25−1.88 · n=29 | — | |
| KDFW | 2.05−1.58 · n=29 | 2.42−1.72 · n=29 | 3.19−2.06 · n=29 | 3.07−2.13 · n=29 | 3.38−1.79 · n=29 | 4.52−1.46 · n=29 | 5.31−1.62 · n=29 | 6.28−1.10 · n=29 | 6.66−2.20 · n=29 | — | |
| KEWR | 3.08−2.46 · n=29 | 3.36−2.94 · n=29 | 3.71−3.13 · n=29 | 4.29−3.38 · n=29 | 4.33−3.73 · n=29 | 5.29−4.33 · n=29 | 5.36−4.45 · n=29 | 5.08−4.24 · n=29 | 5.01−2.59 · n=29 | — | |
| KIAH | 3.21−2.43 · n=29 | 3.31−2.45 · n=29 | 3.27−2.33 · n=29 | 3.37−2.00 · n=29 | 3.39−1.78 · n=29 | 3.38−1.41 · n=29 | 4.20−0.92 · n=29 | 4.34−1.19 · n=29 | 4.74−2.08 · n=29 | — | |
| KLAS | 3.00−2.84 · n=29 | 2.99−2.89 · n=29 | 3.31−2.88 · n=29 | 3.75−3.42 · n=29 | 4.51−4.11 · n=29 | 4.62−3.79 · n=29 | 4.92−3.75 · n=29 | 5.42−3.47 · n=29 | 6.11−1.68 · n=29 | — | |
| KLAX | 3.63−2.85 · n=29 | 3.92−2.96 · n=29 | 4.07−3.15 · n=29 | 4.33−3.44 · n=29 | 4.93−3.93 · n=29 | 5.06−3.86 · n=29 | 6.09−3.70 · n=29 | 6.35−3.20 · n=29 | 7.52−3.11 · n=29 | — | |
| KMIA | 2.35−2.28 · n=29 | 2.40−2.29 · n=29 | 2.42−2.39 · n=29 | 2.43−2.24 · n=29 | 2.43−2.20 · n=29 | 3.01−2.92 · n=29 | 2.57−2.42 · n=29 | 2.18−1.99 · n=29 | 2.46−1.98 · n=29 | — | |
| KMSP | 2.86−1.81 · n=29 | 3.45−1.98 · n=29 | 3.43−1.99 · n=29 | 4.12−2.03 · n=29 | 4.62−1.83 · n=29 | 5.04−2.41 · n=29 | 5.94−1.80 · n=29 | 6.18−1.53 · n=29 | 7.26−2.17 · n=29 | — | |
| KMSY | 2.69−2.55 · n=29 | 2.75−2.57 · n=29 | 2.83−2.51 · n=29 | 2.69−2.69 · n=29 | 3.34−3.16 · n=29 | 3.39−2.81 · n=29 | 3.33−1.96 · n=29 | 4.54−1.84 · n=29 | 3.64−2.16 · n=29 | — | |
| KNYC | 1.44+0.71 · n=29 | 1.32+0.18 · n=29 | 1.73+0.09 · n=29 | 2.45−0.17 · n=29 | 2.41−0.58 · n=29 | 3.48−1.26 · n=29 | 3.69−1.30 · n=29 | 3.92−1.10 · n=29 | 3.81+0.38 · n=29 | — | |
| KOKC | 2.17−0.68 · n=29 | 2.76−0.61 · n=29 | 3.06−1.17 · n=29 | 3.68−1.03 · n=29 | 4.14−1.13 · n=29 | 4.80−1.33 · n=29 | 5.49−1.40 · n=29 | 6.48−1.31 · n=29 | 7.21−1.41 · n=29 | — | |
| KORD | 3.14−2.95 · n=29 | 3.91−3.25 · n=29 | 4.22−3.99 · n=29 | 4.38−4.23 · n=29 | 4.87−4.74 · n=29 | 5.42−4.78 · n=29 | 6.26−4.50 · n=29 | 6.24−4.57 · n=29 | 5.98−4.46 · n=29 | — | |
| KPHL | 2.69−2.41 · n=29 | 2.97−2.57 · n=29 | 3.69−3.10 · n=29 | 4.10−3.51 · n=29 | 4.26−3.45 · n=29 | 4.86−4.18 · n=29 | 4.96−4.12 · n=29 | 4.98−4.03 · n=29 | 4.38−2.50 · n=29 | — | |
| KPHX | 3.41−3.37 · n=29 | 3.66−3.44 · n=29 | 3.37−2.99 · n=29 | 3.82−3.63 · n=29 | 4.63−3.94 · n=29 | 3.67−2.69 · n=29 | 3.64−2.29 · n=29 | 4.44−1.36 · n=29 | 5.19−0.48 · n=29 | — | |
| KSAN | 5.07−5.07 · n=29 | 5.61−5.41 · n=29 | 5.69−5.31 · n=29 | 5.96−5.95 · n=29 | 6.54−6.54 · n=29 | 6.47−6.44 · n=29 | 6.41−6.13 · n=29 | 7.14−6.42 · n=29 | 7.52−6.22 · n=29 | — | |
| KSAT | 1.93−0.99 · n=29 | 1.85−0.68 · n=29 | 1.95−0.95 · n=29 | 2.34−0.55 · n=29 | 2.92−0.68 · n=29 | 3.79−0.48 · n=29 | 4.00−0.18 · n=29 | 4.23−0.84 · n=29 | 4.30−0.99 · n=29 | — | |
| KSEA | 1.40−1.07 · n=29 | 1.53−1.23 · n=29 | 1.89−1.46 · n=29 | 2.21−1.46 · n=29 | 2.51−1.80 · n=29 | 2.25−1.53 · n=29 | 3.47−1.95 · n=29 | 3.58−2.17 · n=29 | 3.64−2.43 · n=29 | — | |
| KSFO | 3.29−2.87 · n=29 | 3.74−3.36 · n=29 | 3.79−3.33 · n=29 | 4.14−3.93 · n=29 | 4.94−4.93 · n=29 | 5.80−5.74 · n=29 | 6.18−5.57 · n=29 | 6.81−5.27 · n=29 | 6.72−5.57 · n=29 | — | |
| KTTN | 2.18−1.00 · n=29 | 2.28−1.18 · n=29 | 2.81−1.80 · n=29 | 3.23−2.05 · n=29 | 3.23−2.20 · n=29 | 4.16−2.85 · n=29 | 4.45−2.97 · n=29 | 4.33−2.75 · n=29 | 4.03−1.03 · n=29 | — |
Native daily minimum vs NWS CLI
| Station | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KATL | 1.29−0.96 · n=29 | 1.44−1.04 · n=29 | 1.41−0.71 · n=29 | 1.71−0.78 · n=29 | 1.84−0.63 · n=29 | 2.20+0.09 · n=29 | 3.10+0.96 · n=29 | 3.45+0.42 · n=29 | 3.93+0.07 · n=29 | — | |
| KAUS | 4.69+4.23 · n=29 | 4.65+4.16 · n=29 | 4.64+4.06 · n=29 | 4.59+4.15 · n=29 | 5.31+4.76 · n=29 | 5.71+4.98 · n=29 | 6.69+5.18 · n=29 | 8.24+5.78 · n=29 | 8.40+5.19 · n=29 | — | |
| KBOS | 2.03−1.70 · n=29 | 1.94−1.67 · n=29 | 2.26−1.53 · n=29 | 2.48−1.38 · n=29 | 3.12−1.74 · n=29 | 3.78−1.78 · n=29 | 3.74−2.35 · n=29 | 4.80−2.54 · n=29 | 5.10−1.15 · n=29 | — | |
| KDCA | 1.85−1.56 · n=29 | 1.70−1.29 · n=29 | 1.96−1.48 · n=29 | 2.33−1.90 · n=29 | 2.43−2.00 · n=29 | 3.33−1.97 · n=29 | 4.41−3.29 · n=29 | 4.50−2.83 · n=29 | 4.78−1.63 · n=29 | — | |
| KDEN | 2.87+1.22 · n=29 | 3.08+1.26 · n=29 | 3.47+1.28 · n=29 | 3.65+0.97 · n=29 | 4.07+0.40 · n=29 | 4.93−0.36 · n=29 | 4.94−1.24 · n=29 | 4.88−1.42 · n=29 | 4.03−2.10 · n=29 | — | |
| KDFW | 2.46+1.82 · n=29 | 2.39+1.95 · n=29 | 2.26+1.95 · n=29 | 2.23+1.64 · n=29 | 2.84+1.83 · n=29 | 3.48+2.22 · n=29 | 4.32+2.22 · n=29 | 6.01+3.04 · n=29 | 6.18+2.60 · n=29 | — | |
| KEWR | 2.15+0.41 · n=29 | 2.19+0.14 · n=29 | 2.30+0.20 · n=29 | 2.36−0.39 · n=29 | 2.39−0.44 · n=29 | 3.11−0.31 · n=29 | 3.78−1.01 · n=29 | 4.18−0.81 · n=29 | 4.43+0.30 · n=29 | — | |
| KIAH | 3.35+3.07 · n=29 | 3.50+2.93 · n=29 | 3.50+2.92 · n=29 | 3.74+3.28 · n=29 | 3.50+3.05 · n=29 | 4.48+3.16 · n=29 | 5.84+4.01 · n=29 | 5.81+3.89 · n=29 | 5.84+3.61 · n=29 | — | |
| KLAS | 3.23−2.95 · n=29 | 3.56−2.93 · n=29 | 3.55−3.03 · n=29 | 3.39−3.00 · n=29 | 3.67−3.35 · n=29 | 4.24−3.73 · n=29 | 4.43−4.07 · n=29 | 4.69−3.99 · n=29 | 5.02−3.42 · n=29 | — | |
| KLAX | 1.15+0.13 · n=29 | 1.05+0.01 · n=29 | 1.13−0.29 · n=29 | 1.15−0.42 · n=29 | 1.33−0.78 · n=29 | 1.92−1.38 · n=29 | 2.54−1.61 · n=29 | 2.43−1.20 · n=29 | 3.34−1.14 · n=29 | — | |
| KMIA | 2.16−1.82 · n=29 | 2.58−2.47 · n=29 | 2.82−2.65 · n=29 | 2.76−2.60 · n=29 | 2.82−2.54 · n=29 | 3.10−2.74 · n=29 | 3.11−2.67 · n=29 | 3.55−2.83 · n=29 | 3.71−2.98 · n=29 | — | |
| KMSP | 1.55+0.82 · n=29 | 1.62+0.37 · n=29 | 1.67+0.56 · n=29 | 2.06+0.58 · n=29 | 2.74+0.85 · n=29 | 2.77+0.51 · n=29 | 3.90+0.99 · n=29 | 4.66−0.28 · n=29 | 4.79+0.01 · n=29 | — | |
| KMSY | 2.91+2.46 · n=29 | 3.09+2.51 · n=29 | 3.37+2.72 · n=29 | 3.07+2.59 · n=29 | 3.62+2.94 · n=29 | 4.19+3.18 · n=29 | 5.04+3.91 · n=29 | 5.39+4.09 · n=29 | 5.89+4.02 · n=29 | — | |
| KNYC | 2.26−2.03 · n=29 | 2.51−2.27 · n=29 | 2.81−2.32 · n=29 | 3.21−2.83 · n=29 | 3.43−3.00 · n=29 | 3.86−2.87 · n=29 | 4.57−3.46 · n=29 | 4.31−3.18 · n=29 | 4.35−2.21 · n=29 | — | |
| KOKC | 4.07+3.74 · n=29 | 3.89+3.49 · n=29 | 3.99+3.39 · n=29 | 3.89+3.29 · n=29 | 4.24+3.43 · n=29 | 4.18+3.63 · n=29 | 5.64+3.17 · n=29 | 5.81+3.13 · n=29 | 6.55+2.83 · n=29 | — | |
| KORD | 1.09+0.15 · n=29 | 1.18+0.13 · n=29 | 1.51−0.07 · n=29 | 1.72−0.69 · n=29 | 2.23−0.72 · n=29 | 2.88−0.24 · n=29 | 4.62−0.19 · n=29 | 4.34−0.04 · n=29 | 5.54+0.68 · n=29 | — | |
| KPHL | 2.23−2.21 · n=29 | 2.51−2.45 · n=29 | 2.53−2.38 · n=29 | 3.07−3.00 · n=29 | 3.65−3.14 · n=29 | 3.77−2.92 · n=29 | 5.19−3.86 · n=29 | 5.24−3.90 · n=29 | 5.56−2.49 · n=29 | — | |
| KPHX | 4.23−4.23 · n=29 | 4.35−4.35 · n=29 | 4.39−4.28 · n=29 | 4.99−4.71 · n=29 | 5.03−4.55 · n=29 | 5.66−5.23 · n=29 | 5.89−5.61 · n=29 | 5.75−4.62 · n=29 | 6.12−3.96 · n=29 | — | |
| KSAN | 2.48+2.11 · n=29 | 2.19+1.79 · n=29 | 2.09+1.70 · n=29 | 2.11+1.58 · n=29 | 1.92+1.48 · n=29 | 1.57+0.92 · n=29 | 2.35+0.36 · n=29 | 2.48+0.69 · n=29 | 2.75+0.97 · n=29 | — | |
| KSAT | 2.11+1.57 · n=29 | 2.17+1.47 · n=29 | 2.27+1.53 · n=29 | 2.29+1.30 · n=29 | 3.15+1.88 · n=29 | 3.84+2.20 · n=29 | 4.31+2.23 · n=29 | 6.36+3.00 · n=29 | 6.49+2.51 · n=29 | — | |
| KSEA | 1.23−0.18 · n=29 | 1.44−0.17 · n=29 | 1.36−0.08 · n=29 | 1.58−0.15 · n=29 | 1.99−0.11 · n=29 | 2.39−0.84 · n=29 | 2.58−1.29 · n=29 | 2.79−1.64 · n=29 | 3.22−2.00 · n=29 | — | |
| KSFO | 1.53−0.21 · n=29 | 1.47−0.30 · n=29 | 1.70−0.34 · n=29 | 1.92−0.47 · n=29 | 1.76−0.80 · n=29 | 2.14−1.15 · n=29 | 2.35−1.01 · n=29 | 2.21−1.49 · n=29 | 2.96−1.68 · n=29 | — | |
| KTTN | 2.87+2.71 · n=29 | 2.84+2.47 · n=29 | 3.07+2.68 · n=29 | 2.80+1.98 · n=29 | 2.96+2.06 · n=29 | 3.62+2.27 · n=29 | 4.79+1.46 · n=29 | 4.99+1.18 · n=29 | 5.69+2.66 · n=29 | — |
Month-by-month slices live on the canonical page: they do not depend on the window, initialization or interpolation selected here.
Source and licence
Where the numbers come from, what may be done with them, and what was — deliberately — not done to the forecast before scoring it.
Where it comes from
ecmwf · oper
Steps every 6 h to 240 h; sampled at 00/06/12/18 UTC only.
Licence
ECMWF open data, CC BY 4.0, © ECMWF.
Post-processing
None. Raw grid values, bilinear (headline) or nearest-node interpolation, no MOS, no bias correction, no downscaling.