Model
ECMWF IFS HRES
ifs_hres
source ecmwf · product oper · steps every 6 h to 240 h · initializations 0, 12 UTC · native extreme fields mx2t3, mn2t3, mx2t6, mn2t6 (diagnostic only, never in the headline ranking). Scores use the latest model version segment, ifs-gpid161, starting 2026-08-01. Earlier days ran a different version of the model and are excluded rather than silently pooled into the same average.
Instantaneous temperature — MAE °F by stationt2
Scored against the observed 2 m temperature at the same instant (ASOS routine METAR). This is the headline variable: the same four instants on the forecast and the observation side. These pages are always bilinear interpolation, the headline method. The nearest-node variant, and every other window/initialization/interpolation/variable combination, is published on each permanent link below — follow any number.
| Station | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KATL | — | 2.82−1.88 · n=29 | 3.08−1.59 · n=28 | 3.32−1.35 · n=27 | 3.29−0.80 · n=26 | 3.39−0.45 · n=25 | 3.48−0.68 · n=24 | 3.63−1.25 · n=23 | 3.84−0.96 · n=22 | 4.42−1.51 · n=21 | |
| KAUS | — | 2.22+0.75 · n=29 | 2.27+1.12 · n=28 | 2.42+1.40 · n=27 | 2.41+1.42 · n=26 | 2.58+1.63 · n=25 | 2.90+1.86 · n=24 | 3.10+2.12 · n=23 | 3.39+2.15 · n=22 | 3.15+2.07 · n=21 | |
| KBOS | — | 2.67−1.37 · n=26 | 2.76−1.22 · n=25 | 2.77−0.92 · n=24 | 3.49−0.90 · n=23 | 3.32−1.26 · n=22 | 2.98−1.12 · n=21 | 3.78−2.04 · n=20 | 2.98−0.99 · n=19 | 2.85−0.35 · n=18 | |
| KDCA | — | 2.87−1.78 · n=29 | 3.09−1.82 · n=28 | 3.46−2.10 · n=27 | 3.67−1.94 · n=26 | 4.04−1.77 · n=25 | 3.96−1.34 · n=24 | 4.17−1.34 · n=23 | 4.44−1.66 · n=22 | 4.83−1.79 · n=21 | |
| KDEN | — | 3.45+1.53 · n=28 | 3.79+2.10 · n=27 | 4.07+1.93 · n=26 | 4.15+1.78 · n=25 | 4.50+2.03 · n=24 | 4.91+1.25 · n=23 | 4.46+0.97 · n=22 | 4.47+0.65 · n=21 | 4.99+0.11 · n=20 | |
| KDFW | — | 1.86+1.49 · n=29 | 2.31+2.10 · n=28 | 2.74+2.51 · n=27 | 2.97+2.71 · n=26 | 3.11+2.60 · n=25 | 3.18+2.80 · n=24 | 3.19+2.84 · n=23 | 3.43+2.85 · n=22 | 3.92+2.29 · n=21 | |
| KEWR | — | 3.04−2.28 · n=29 | 2.70−2.01 · n=28 | 2.72−1.81 · n=27 | 3.20−1.28 · n=26 | 3.39−1.11 · n=25 | 3.26−0.75 · n=24 | 3.02−1.33 · n=23 | 3.30−1.05 · n=22 | 3.61−1.33 · n=21 | |
| KIAH | — | 2.13−0.27 · n=29 | 2.04−0.15 · n=28 | 2.04+0.07 · n=27 | 1.89+0.45 · n=26 | 1.92+0.48 · n=25 | 1.95+0.61 · n=24 | 2.39+0.62 · n=23 | 2.39+0.87 · n=22 | 2.53+0.43 · n=21 | |
| KLAS | — | 3.76−3.23 · n=28 | 3.51−2.31 · n=27 | 3.54−2.11 · n=26 | 3.70−2.03 · n=25 | 3.79−2.06 · n=24 | 3.98−2.37 · n=23 | 4.49−2.50 · n=22 | 4.85−2.07 · n=21 | 6.12−2.45 · n=20 | |
| KLAX | — | 1.32+0.52 · n=28 | 1.36+0.64 · n=27 | 1.42+0.79 · n=26 | 1.80+1.24 · n=25 | 1.81+1.40 · n=24 | 1.92+1.53 · n=23 | 1.97+1.42 · n=22 | 2.09+0.71 · n=21 | 2.59−0.20 · n=20 | |
| KMIA | — | 3.02−2.00 · n=29 | 3.06−1.93 · n=28 | 3.09−2.14 · n=27 | 3.23−2.19 · n=26 | 3.13−2.11 · n=25 | 2.83−1.84 · n=24 | 2.90−1.83 · n=23 | 3.06−1.93 · n=22 | 2.96−1.82 · n=21 | |
| KMSP | — | 2.37−0.92 · n=29 | 2.59−0.51 · n=28 | 2.48−0.60 · n=27 | 2.59−0.42 · n=26 | 2.70−0.48 · n=25 | 3.41−0.22 · n=24 | 3.87−1.41 · n=23 | 4.07−1.62 · n=22 | 3.74−1.30 · n=21 | |
| KMSY | — | 2.09+0.32 · n=29 | 2.37+0.22 · n=28 | 2.28+0.34 · n=27 | 2.41+0.31 · n=26 | 2.55−0.05 · n=25 | 2.90−0.31 · n=24 | 3.19−0.23 · n=23 | 3.12+0.22 · n=22 | 3.23+0.26 · n=21 | |
| KNYC | — | 2.14−0.40 · n=29 | 2.16−0.06 · n=28 | 2.28+0.08 · n=27 | 2.91+0.75 · n=26 | 3.02+0.85 · n=25 | 3.39+1.02 · n=24 | 2.77+0.51 · n=23 | 2.89+0.75 · n=22 | 3.62+0.60 · n=21 | |
| KOKC | — | 3.39+1.65 · n=29 | 3.84+2.49 · n=28 | 4.22+3.10 · n=27 | 4.32+3.32 · n=26 | 5.00+3.75 · n=25 | 4.91+3.88 · n=24 | 5.11+3.67 · n=23 | 4.99+3.04 · n=22 | 4.93+1.93 · n=21 | |
| KORD | — | 2.11−1.18 · n=29 | 2.38−1.15 · n=28 | 2.49−0.86 · n=27 | 2.50−1.06 · n=26 | 2.37−0.34 · n=25 | 3.18−0.04 · n=24 | 3.19−0.40 · n=23 | 4.07−1.01 · n=22 | 4.13−1.53 · n=21 | |
| KPHL | — | 3.32−2.69 · n=29 | 3.50−2.68 · n=28 | 3.54−2.67 · n=27 | 3.90−2.55 · n=26 | 4.02−2.33 · n=25 | 3.97−1.91 · n=24 | 3.76−2.31 · n=23 | 3.91−1.90 · n=22 | 4.73−2.52 · n=21 | |
| KPHX | — | 2.78−0.41 · n=28 | 3.09+0.34 · n=27 | 2.86−0.10 · n=26 | 3.02−0.42 · n=25 | 2.99−0.51 · n=24 | 3.19−0.12 · n=23 | 3.78+0.47 · n=22 | 3.96+0.31 · n=21 | 4.31−1.80 · n=20 | |
| KSAN | — | 2.18−2.07 · n=28 | 2.27−2.12 · n=27 | 2.36−2.10 · n=26 | 2.42−2.14 · n=25 | 2.56−2.28 · n=24 | 2.39−1.99 · n=23 | 2.38−1.81 · n=22 | 2.85−2.33 · n=21 | 3.19−3.01 · n=20 | |
| KSAT | — | 1.47+0.31 · n=29 | 1.69+0.57 · n=28 | 1.73+0.80 · n=27 | 1.86+0.75 · n=26 | 2.05+0.93 · n=25 | 2.08+1.04 · n=24 | 2.19+1.36 · n=23 | 2.52+1.15 · n=22 | 2.25+1.06 · n=21 | |
| KSEA | — | 2.41+1.03 · n=28 | 2.48+1.21 · n=27 | 2.84+1.38 · n=26 | 2.89+1.47 · n=25 | 3.03+0.96 · n=24 | 3.58+0.83 · n=23 | 3.42+1.19 · n=22 | 3.35+1.03 · n=21 | 3.79+0.83 · n=20 | |
| KSFO | — | 1.81−1.28 · n=28 | 1.87−1.22 · n=27 | 1.86−1.20 · n=26 | 1.73−1.26 · n=25 | 1.89−1.19 · n=24 | 1.89−1.25 · n=23 | 2.16−1.61 · n=22 | 2.26−1.71 · n=21 | 2.48−1.68 · n=20 | |
| KTTN | — | 2.09+0.25 · n=29 | 2.52+0.33 · n=28 | 2.55+0.49 · n=27 | 2.74+0.74 · n=26 | 3.04+1.13 · n=25 | 3.67+1.60 · n=24 | 3.11+0.97 · n=23 | 3.74+1.49 · n=22 | 4.17+0.85 · n=21 |
Up to 1 of the scored days in this table carry a QC flag on the observation (a CLI value that disagreed with the hourly observations, or a fallback source). They are kept in the scores and counted here rather than dropped — see methodology.
+ model too warm − model too cold bias interval includes zero ★ lowest MAE = not distinguishable from the leader ▼ worse than the leader ▲ better than the leader — all three Holm-corrected within this table, over the family of comparisons against the leader; the uncorrected verdict for every pair is published in the pairwise table of each permanent link and in pairwise_latest.csv.gzn < 30 greyed and unranked CI is a 95 % moving-block bootstrap interval on the group's own days, and reads — when it could not be computed
Sampled daily maximum — MAE °F by stationtmax_s
Scored against the maximum of the four *observed* samples on the same day.
| Station | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KATL | — | 1.79+0.29 · n=29 | 2.33+0.48 · n=28 | 3.03+0.42 · n=27 | 3.31+1.17 · n=26 | 3.49+1.90 · n=25 | 3.59+1.77 · n=24 | 3.72+0.55 · n=23 | 3.58+0.56 · n=22 | 3.91+0.45 · n=21 | |
| KAUS | — | 2.11−1.83 · n=29 | 1.97−1.33 · n=28 | 1.73−0.74 · n=27 | 1.52−0.68 · n=26 | 2.26−0.68 · n=25 | 2.32−0.63 · n=24 | 2.22−0.65 · n=23 | 2.63−0.87 · n=22 | 2.19−0.99 · n=21 | |
| KBOS | — | 2.48+0.70 · n=26 | 2.78+0.73 · n=25 | 2.72+1.13 · n=24 | 3.82+1.44 · n=23 | 3.89+0.77 · n=22 | 3.15+0.96 · n=21 | 4.61−0.76 · n=20 | 3.20+0.41 · n=19 | 3.03+1.54 · n=18 | |
| KDCA | — | 1.95+0.21 · n=29 | 1.82−0.17 · n=28 | 2.45−0.57 · n=27 | 2.67+0.22 · n=26 | 3.15+0.28 · n=25 | 3.52+1.15 · n=24 | 4.50+0.25 · n=23 | 4.12+0.64 · n=22 | 4.90−0.17 · n=21 | |
| KDEN | — | 2.31+1.46 · n=28 | 2.65+1.36 · n=27 | 3.29+1.23 · n=26 | 3.12+0.43 · n=25 | 4.69+1.26 · n=24 | 5.32+0.81 · n=23 | 3.92−0.38 · n=22 | 4.95−0.83 · n=21 | 4.62−1.09 · n=20 | |
| KDFW | — | 1.51+1.13 · n=29 | 1.82+1.56 · n=28 | 2.16+1.97 · n=27 | 1.98+1.91 · n=26 | 2.41+1.91 · n=25 | 2.66+2.17 · n=24 | 2.47+2.31 · n=23 | 2.79+2.34 · n=22 | 3.17+1.47 · n=21 | |
| KEWR | — | 3.37−2.17 · n=29 | 2.78−1.96 · n=28 | 2.81−2.11 · n=27 | 3.78−1.08 · n=26 | 3.12−0.53 · n=25 | 3.41+0.00 · n=24 | 3.23−1.54 · n=23 | 3.35−0.71 · n=22 | 4.10−0.94 · n=21 | |
| KIAH | — | 1.63−0.94 · n=29 | 1.67−0.80 · n=28 | 1.44−0.19 · n=27 | 1.39+0.19 · n=26 | 1.63+0.01 · n=25 | 1.65+0.41 · n=24 | 1.84+0.30 · n=23 | 1.89+0.49 · n=22 | 2.49−0.02 · n=21 | |
| KLAS | — | 2.79−2.41 · n=28 | 2.36−0.70 · n=27 | 2.42−0.62 · n=26 | 2.44−0.42 · n=25 | 2.65−1.17 · n=24 | 2.74−1.67 · n=23 | 4.03−1.26 · n=22 | 3.93−0.48 · n=21 | 5.56−1.21 · n=20 | |
| KLAX | — | 1.37+0.38 · n=28 | 1.35+0.54 · n=27 | 1.46+0.71 · n=26 | 1.86+1.07 · n=25 | 1.85+1.32 · n=24 | 1.91+1.34 · n=23 | 1.95+1.03 · n=22 | 2.64+0.32 · n=21 | 2.99−0.55 · n=20 | |
| KMIA | — | 2.73−1.26 · n=29 | 2.67−1.41 · n=28 | 2.90−2.13 · n=27 | 3.14−1.98 · n=26 | 3.42−2.43 · n=25 | 2.96−1.74 · n=24 | 3.27−1.92 · n=23 | 4.03−2.56 · n=22 | 3.28−1.96 · n=21 | |
| KMSP | — | 2.29−0.70 · n=29 | 2.20−0.08 · n=28 | 2.33−0.52 · n=27 | 2.31−0.00 · n=26 | 2.50−0.36 · n=25 | 3.44+0.23 · n=24 | 3.29−1.70 · n=23 | 3.52−1.30 · n=22 | 2.79−1.16 · n=21 | |
| KMSY | — | 1.92−1.04 · n=29 | 2.09−1.19 · n=28 | 1.66−0.87 · n=27 | 1.86−0.62 · n=26 | 2.08−1.36 · n=25 | 2.76−2.03 · n=24 | 2.69−1.93 · n=23 | 2.53−0.93 · n=22 | 3.23−0.99 · n=21 | |
| KNYC | — | 2.50+1.05 · n=29 | 2.63+1.27 · n=28 | 2.81+1.38 · n=27 | 3.46+2.26 · n=26 | 3.14+2.93 · n=25 | 4.46+3.43 · n=24 | 3.35+1.85 · n=23 | 4.11+2.68 · n=22 | 4.46+2.20 · n=21 | |
| KOKC | — | 2.03−0.47 · n=29 | 2.20+0.70 · n=28 | 2.16+0.94 · n=27 | 1.75+0.86 · n=26 | 2.80+1.34 · n=25 | 3.11+1.00 · n=24 | 2.65+1.13 · n=23 | 2.65+0.89 · n=22 | 4.27−0.86 · n=21 | |
| KORD | — | 1.55−0.38 · n=29 | 1.95−0.04 · n=28 | 2.05+0.50 · n=27 | 1.95−0.30 · n=26 | 1.72+0.76 · n=25 | 2.75+1.01 · n=24 | 2.73+0.04 · n=23 | 4.18−0.57 · n=22 | 3.90−0.47 · n=21 | |
| KPHL | — | 2.24−1.22 · n=29 | 2.82−1.44 · n=28 | 2.59−1.20 · n=27 | 3.09−0.96 · n=26 | 3.27−0.33 · n=25 | 3.48+0.38 · n=24 | 3.13−1.12 · n=23 | 4.00−0.52 · n=22 | 5.14−1.22 · n=21 | |
| KPHX | — | 2.08−1.06 · n=28 | 1.71+0.07 · n=27 | 1.71−0.90 · n=26 | 1.93−1.31 · n=25 | 2.65−1.65 · n=24 | 2.87−1.24 · n=23 | 3.13−0.38 · n=22 | 2.94−0.44 · n=21 | 4.18−2.72 · n=20 | |
| KSAN | — | 3.31−3.31 · n=28 | 3.26−3.26 · n=27 | 3.48−3.25 · n=26 | 3.55−3.26 · n=25 | 3.68−3.45 · n=24 | 3.40−3.24 · n=23 | 3.41−3.00 · n=22 | 3.88−3.48 · n=21 | 4.36−4.36 · n=20 | |
| KSAT | — | 1.21−0.59 · n=29 | 1.30−0.15 · n=28 | 1.37+0.28 · n=27 | 1.45+0.30 · n=26 | 1.63+0.48 · n=25 | 1.64+0.23 · n=24 | 1.58+0.42 · n=23 | 2.30+0.04 · n=22 | 1.92−0.05 · n=21 | |
| KSEA | — | 2.16+0.81 · n=28 | 2.30+0.83 · n=27 | 2.76+0.95 · n=26 | 2.47+0.89 · n=25 | 3.20−0.05 · n=24 | 3.76−0.47 · n=23 | 3.45+0.33 · n=22 | 3.27+0.71 · n=21 | 4.55−0.51 · n=20 | |
| KSFO | — | 2.59−2.18 · n=28 | 2.70−2.11 · n=27 | 2.80−2.16 · n=26 | 2.54−2.12 · n=25 | 2.67−1.99 · n=24 | 2.75−2.05 · n=23 | 2.92−2.42 · n=22 | 3.16−2.85 · n=21 | 3.46−2.96 · n=20 | |
| KTTN | — | 2.36+1.56 · n=29 | 3.54+1.74 · n=28 | 3.15+1.48 · n=27 | 3.26+1.99 · n=26 | 3.82+2.87 · n=25 | 4.72+3.90 · n=24 | 3.59+1.97 · n=23 | 4.76+3.22 · n=22 | 4.92+2.42 · n=21 |
Sampled daily minimum — MAE °F by stationtmin_s
Scored against the minimum of the four *observed* samples on the same day.
| Station | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KATL | — | 2.10−1.75 · n=29 | 2.02−1.61 · n=28 | 2.15−1.29 · n=27 | 2.07−0.93 · n=26 | 2.34−0.59 · n=25 | 2.03−0.01 · n=24 | 2.03−0.56 · n=23 | 2.54−0.30 · n=22 | 3.44−1.22 · n=21 | |
| KAUS | — | 2.65+2.06 · n=29 | 3.04+2.46 · n=28 | 3.15+2.56 · n=27 | 3.32+2.88 · n=26 | 3.58+3.13 · n=25 | 3.48+3.26 · n=24 | 3.82+3.63 · n=23 | 4.25+4.06 · n=22 | 4.04+3.75 · n=21 | |
| KBOS | — | 2.20−1.81 · n=26 | 2.24−1.49 · n=25 | 2.39−1.53 · n=24 | 2.65−1.43 · n=23 | 2.46−1.59 · n=22 | 2.24−1.37 · n=21 | 3.14−2.38 · n=20 | 2.46−1.10 · n=19 | 2.04−0.88 · n=18 | |
| KDCA | — | 2.32−1.90 · n=29 | 2.54−1.95 · n=28 | 2.57−1.94 · n=27 | 3.75−2.47 · n=26 | 3.63−2.38 · n=25 | 3.11−1.98 · n=24 | 3.17−1.46 · n=23 | 3.31−1.64 · n=22 | 3.80−1.81 · n=21 | |
| KDEN | — | 2.70+0.90 · n=28 | 3.10+1.83 · n=27 | 3.04+1.62 · n=26 | 3.07+1.19 · n=25 | 2.64+1.03 · n=24 | 3.21+0.57 · n=23 | 2.48+0.29 · n=22 | 3.07+0.46 · n=21 | 2.78−0.86 · n=20 | |
| KDFW | — | 1.70+1.46 · n=29 | 2.04+2.04 · n=28 | 2.42+2.42 · n=27 | 2.86+2.70 · n=26 | 2.79+2.78 · n=25 | 2.99+2.90 · n=24 | 3.16+2.87 · n=23 | 3.24+3.01 · n=22 | 3.42+2.97 · n=21 | |
| KEWR | — | 2.04−1.15 · n=29 | 1.85−0.83 · n=28 | 1.81−0.74 · n=27 | 2.36−0.36 · n=26 | 2.25−0.65 · n=25 | 2.44−0.16 · n=24 | 2.39+0.10 · n=23 | 2.76−0.06 · n=22 | 2.74−0.56 · n=21 | |
| KIAH | — | 1.67+0.48 · n=29 | 1.42+0.58 · n=28 | 1.41+0.68 · n=27 | 1.65+1.04 · n=26 | 1.60+1.22 · n=25 | 1.74+1.14 · n=24 | 2.00+1.36 · n=23 | 2.26+1.65 · n=22 | 2.09+1.22 · n=21 | |
| KLAS | — | 5.13−4.95 · n=28 | 5.09−4.79 · n=27 | 5.21−4.62 · n=26 | 5.10−4.23 · n=25 | 5.19−4.14 · n=24 | 5.20−3.94 · n=23 | 5.52−4.23 · n=22 | 6.18−4.25 · n=21 | 6.95−4.57 · n=20 | |
| KLAX | — | 0.85−0.12 · n=28 | 0.90+0.02 · n=27 | 0.86−0.01 · n=26 | 1.12+0.48 · n=25 | 1.08+0.53 · n=24 | 1.13+0.77 · n=23 | 1.41+0.99 · n=22 | 1.18+0.40 · n=21 | 1.93−0.49 · n=20 | |
| KMIA | — | 2.59−2.31 · n=29 | 2.53−2.17 · n=28 | 2.75−2.44 · n=27 | 2.75−2.57 · n=26 | 2.64−2.36 · n=25 | 2.26−2.15 · n=24 | 2.36−2.08 · n=23 | 2.08−1.80 · n=22 | 2.63−1.98 · n=21 | |
| KMSP | — | 1.75−1.31 · n=29 | 1.90−1.11 · n=28 | 1.78−1.04 · n=27 | 1.90−1.10 · n=26 | 2.20−0.95 · n=25 | 2.54−0.50 · n=24 | 3.73−0.61 · n=23 | 4.00−1.83 · n=22 | 4.19−1.48 · n=21 | |
| KMSY | — | 1.83+1.49 · n=29 | 2.06+1.45 · n=28 | 1.77+1.50 · n=27 | 2.11+1.89 · n=26 | 2.22+1.58 · n=25 | 2.10+1.66 · n=24 | 2.30+1.23 · n=23 | 2.42+1.46 · n=22 | 2.65+1.20 · n=21 | |
| KNYC | — | 1.66−0.30 · n=29 | 1.73+0.08 · n=28 | 1.76+0.08 · n=27 | 2.56+0.81 · n=26 | 2.35+0.55 · n=25 | 2.44+0.85 · n=24 | 2.40+1.10 · n=23 | 2.31+0.88 · n=22 | 3.06+0.72 · n=21 | |
| KOKC | — | 4.17+3.42 · n=29 | 4.68+3.98 · n=28 | 5.32+4.70 · n=27 | 5.27+5.22 · n=26 | 5.88+5.81 · n=25 | 6.11+5.88 · n=24 | 6.58+6.01 · n=23 | 6.17+4.96 · n=22 | 4.67+4.22 · n=21 | |
| KORD | — | 1.69−1.32 · n=29 | 1.98−1.57 · n=28 | 1.61−1.17 · n=27 | 1.88−1.14 · n=26 | 1.91−0.90 · n=25 | 2.02−0.58 · n=24 | 2.00−0.10 · n=23 | 3.21−0.90 · n=22 | 3.73−1.96 · n=21 | |
| KPHL | — | 2.81−2.55 · n=29 | 2.94−2.58 · n=28 | 3.22−2.69 · n=27 | 3.90−2.57 · n=26 | 3.64−2.42 · n=25 | 3.59−2.39 · n=24 | 3.44−1.86 · n=23 | 2.98−1.41 · n=22 | 3.28−2.12 · n=21 | |
| KPHX | — | 2.97−1.27 · n=28 | 3.14−0.81 · n=27 | 2.97−0.65 · n=26 | 2.94−0.66 · n=25 | 3.03−0.91 · n=24 | 3.22−0.55 · n=23 | 3.91−0.23 · n=22 | 4.42−0.11 · n=21 | 3.25−1.58 · n=20 | |
| KSAN | — | 1.51−1.47 · n=28 | 1.50−1.45 · n=27 | 1.61−1.58 · n=26 | 1.64−1.51 · n=25 | 1.75−1.71 · n=24 | 1.62−1.37 · n=23 | 1.82−1.34 · n=22 | 1.63−1.47 · n=21 | 2.14−2.01 · n=20 | |
| KSAT | — | 1.42−0.46 · n=29 | 1.45−0.25 · n=28 | 1.52−0.22 · n=27 | 1.47+0.03 · n=26 | 1.85+0.19 · n=25 | 1.69+0.18 · n=24 | 1.73+0.51 · n=23 | 1.74+0.68 · n=22 | 1.73+0.58 · n=21 | |
| KSEA | — | 1.60+0.11 · n=28 | 1.34+0.29 · n=27 | 1.36+0.52 · n=26 | 1.76+0.87 · n=25 | 1.58+0.51 · n=24 | 2.27+0.41 · n=23 | 2.33+0.69 · n=22 | 2.16+0.12 · n=21 | 2.23+0.63 · n=20 | |
| KSFO | — | 1.12−0.71 · n=28 | 1.07−0.68 · n=27 | 1.08−0.68 · n=26 | 1.03−0.66 · n=25 | 0.97−0.63 · n=24 | 1.11−0.86 · n=23 | 1.52−1.20 · n=22 | 1.58−0.88 · n=21 | 1.78−0.81 · n=20 | |
| KTTN | — | 1.59+0.47 · n=29 | 1.73+0.55 · n=28 | 2.05+0.65 · n=27 | 2.63+0.98 · n=26 | 2.20+0.94 · n=25 | 2.87+1.28 · n=24 | 2.99+1.64 · n=23 | 3.19+1.81 · n=22 | 3.39+1.13 · n=21 |
Against the NWS daily extremes (secondary)
This comparison scores four 6-hourly forecast samples against the true daily extreme, so it includes a sampling penalty. The size of that penalty depends on each model's own diurnal amplitude, which is one of the things this site measures, so these numbers are published for operational relevance and are never used for ranking.
Daily maximum vs NWS CLI
| Station | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KATL | — | 3.08−3.06 · n=29 | 3.21−2.92 · n=28 | 3.46−2.95 · n=27 | 3.29−2.18 · n=26 | 2.92−1.42 · n=25 | 3.41−1.44 · n=24 | 4.15−2.62 · n=23 | 4.55−2.62 · n=22 | 4.56−2.75 · n=21 | |
| KAUS | — | 5.32−5.32 · n=29 | 4.88−4.88 · n=28 | 4.35−4.35 · n=27 | 4.31−4.31 · n=26 | 4.34−4.34 · n=25 | 4.23−4.23 · n=24 | 4.14−4.14 · n=23 | 4.29−4.29 · n=22 | 4.27−4.24 · n=21 | |
| KBOS | — | 2.37−1.17 · n=28 | 2.80−1.34 · n=27 | 2.87−0.93 · n=26 | 3.51−0.67 · n=25 | 4.18−0.75 · n=24 | 3.30−0.99 · n=23 | 4.98−2.00 · n=22 | 3.63−1.44 · n=21 | 4.18−1.80 · n=20 | |
| KDCA | — | 2.80−2.37 · n=29 | 3.18−2.67 · n=28 | 3.63−3.01 · n=27 | 3.65−2.28 · n=26 | 3.65−2.20 · n=25 | 3.96−1.34 · n=24 | 4.83−2.22 · n=23 | 4.76−1.94 · n=22 | 5.47−2.73 · n=21 | |
| KDEN | — | 3.42−2.82 · n=29 | 3.32−2.91 · n=28 | 3.81−2.85 · n=27 | 4.38−3.69 · n=26 | 4.21−3.01 · n=25 | 4.98−3.37 · n=24 | 6.09−4.65 · n=23 | 6.21−5.05 · n=22 | 6.51−5.38 · n=21 | |
| KDFW | — | 2.63−2.04 · n=29 | 2.34−1.65 · n=28 | 2.16−1.25 · n=27 | 2.17−1.28 · n=26 | 2.15−1.29 · n=25 | 2.03−1.04 · n=24 | 1.74−0.95 · n=23 | 2.14−0.84 · n=22 | 3.33−1.63 · n=21 | |
| KEWR | — | 4.79−4.49 · n=29 | 4.48−4.33 · n=28 | 4.43−4.24 · n=27 | 4.25−3.25 · n=26 | 3.63−2.75 · n=25 | 3.74−2.18 · n=24 | 4.23−3.74 · n=23 | 3.70−2.91 · n=22 | 4.64−3.20 · n=21 | |
| KIAH | — | 4.73−4.73 · n=29 | 4.59−4.59 · n=28 | 3.97−3.97 · n=27 | 3.54−3.54 · n=26 | 3.75−3.75 · n=25 | 3.50−3.42 · n=24 | 3.57−3.57 · n=23 | 3.69−3.42 · n=22 | 4.28−3.92 · n=21 | |
| KLAS | — | 4.45−4.17 · n=29 | 3.35−2.51 · n=28 | 3.34−2.43 · n=27 | 3.40−2.28 · n=26 | 3.79−3.01 · n=25 | 4.00−3.54 · n=24 | 4.72−3.09 · n=23 | 4.35−2.11 · n=22 | 5.81−2.78 · n=21 | |
| KLAX | — | 2.21−2.01 · n=29 | 2.06−1.88 · n=28 | 1.97−1.70 · n=27 | 2.00−1.34 · n=26 | 1.94−1.12 · n=25 | 2.07−1.13 · n=24 | 2.00−1.46 · n=23 | 2.24−1.85 · n=22 | 4.05−2.58 · n=21 | |
| KMIA | — | 3.71−3.71 · n=29 | 3.77−3.77 · n=28 | 4.17−4.17 · n=27 | 4.00−3.98 · n=26 | 4.38−4.27 · n=25 | 3.53−3.53 · n=24 | 3.79−3.75 · n=23 | 4.47−4.42 · n=22 | 3.99−3.91 · n=21 | |
| KMSP | — | 3.92−3.32 · n=29 | 3.60−2.72 · n=28 | 3.81−3.19 · n=27 | 3.43−2.73 · n=26 | 3.81−3.16 · n=25 | 3.95−2.61 · n=24 | 5.16−4.44 · n=23 | 4.71−4.07 · n=22 | 4.27−3.92 · n=21 | |
| KMSY | — | 4.52−4.22 · n=29 | 4.44−4.44 · n=28 | 4.13−4.13 · n=27 | 3.85−3.85 · n=26 | 4.56−4.56 · n=25 | 5.24−5.24 · n=24 | 5.13−5.10 · n=23 | 4.31−4.21 · n=22 | 4.57−4.32 · n=21 | |
| KNYC | — | 2.56−0.98 · n=29 | 2.42−0.76 · n=28 | 3.08−0.66 · n=27 | 2.94+0.14 · n=26 | 2.63+0.85 · n=25 | 3.23+1.31 · n=24 | 3.60−0.23 · n=23 | 3.31+0.64 · n=22 | 3.90+0.11 · n=21 | |
| KOKC | — | 4.10−3.81 · n=29 | 3.80−2.70 · n=28 | 3.20−2.44 · n=27 | 3.21−2.49 · n=26 | 3.55−2.02 · n=25 | 4.08−2.38 · n=24 | 3.00−2.18 · n=23 | 3.78−2.38 · n=22 | 5.27−4.05 · n=21 | |
| KORD | — | 3.08−2.66 · n=29 | 2.54−2.22 · n=28 | 2.69−1.68 · n=27 | 2.93−2.50 · n=26 | 2.34−1.44 · n=25 | 3.10−1.11 · n=24 | 3.36−2.05 · n=23 | 4.81−2.62 · n=22 | 4.68−2.57 · n=21 | |
| KPHL | — | 4.01−3.91 · n=29 | 4.42−4.16 · n=28 | 4.34−3.83 · n=27 | 3.91−3.53 · n=26 | 4.14−2.85 · n=25 | 3.78−2.12 · n=24 | 4.52−3.64 · n=23 | 4.26−3.15 · n=22 | 6.14−3.93 · n=21 | |
| KPHX | — | 3.12−2.97 · n=29 | 2.28−1.75 · n=28 | 2.86−2.68 · n=27 | 3.08−3.03 · n=26 | 3.74−3.46 · n=25 | 3.53−2.86 · n=24 | 3.32−2.03 · n=23 | 3.57−1.91 · n=22 | 5.26−3.96 · n=21 | |
| KSAN | — | 5.67−5.67 · n=29 | 5.64−5.64 · n=28 | 5.65−5.65 · n=27 | 5.79−5.74 · n=26 | 5.86−5.86 · n=25 | 5.68−5.62 · n=24 | 5.42−5.41 · n=23 | 5.85−5.74 · n=22 | 6.59−6.39 · n=21 | |
| KSAT | — | 3.63−3.63 · n=29 | 3.23−3.23 · n=28 | 2.85−2.84 · n=27 | 2.79−2.79 · n=26 | 2.63−2.61 · n=25 | 2.94−2.90 · n=24 | 2.83−2.72 · n=23 | 3.42−3.15 · n=22 | 3.45−3.16 · n=21 | |
| KSEA | — | 1.94−0.79 · n=29 | 2.24−0.73 · n=28 | 2.60−0.68 · n=27 | 2.67−0.72 · n=26 | 3.34−1.52 · n=25 | 4.24−2.04 · n=24 | 3.61−1.23 · n=23 | 3.42−0.85 · n=22 | 4.59−2.02 · n=21 | |
| KSFO | — | 6.23−6.23 · n=29 | 5.94−5.94 · n=28 | 5.92−5.92 · n=27 | 5.97−5.92 · n=26 | 5.96−5.84 · n=25 | 5.88−5.77 · n=24 | 6.42−6.29 · n=23 | 6.63−6.63 · n=22 | 6.66−6.66 · n=21 | |
| KTTN | — | 2.47−1.30 · n=29 | 3.00−1.19 · n=28 | 3.02−1.26 · n=27 | 2.85−0.78 · n=26 | 3.20+0.03 · n=25 | 3.53+1.07 · n=24 | 3.69−0.90 · n=23 | 3.64+0.27 · n=22 | 4.50−0.53 · n=21 |
Daily minimum vs NWS CLI
| Station | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KATL | — | 1.47−0.31 · n=29 | 1.69−0.21 · n=28 | 1.80+0.08 · n=27 | 1.77+0.42 · n=26 | 2.42+0.77 · n=25 | 2.16+1.36 · n=24 | 2.21+0.88 · n=23 | 2.55+1.11 · n=22 | 3.35+0.16 · n=21 | |
| KAUS | — | 3.74+3.44 · n=29 | 4.14+3.78 · n=28 | 4.15+3.86 · n=27 | 4.39+4.23 · n=26 | 4.62+4.41 · n=25 | 4.56+4.47 · n=24 | 4.79+4.72 · n=23 | 5.16+5.10 · n=22 | 4.91+4.79 · n=21 | |
| KBOS | — | 1.16+0.42 · n=28 | 1.54+0.66 · n=27 | 1.60+0.62 · n=26 | 1.78+1.00 · n=25 | 1.98+0.53 · n=24 | 2.06+0.96 · n=23 | 2.18+0.28 · n=22 | 1.94+0.89 · n=21 | 2.64+0.81 · n=20 | |
| KDCA | — | 1.61+0.31 · n=29 | 2.03+0.30 · n=28 | 2.22+0.36 · n=27 | 2.74−0.16 · n=26 | 3.14−0.02 · n=25 | 2.88+0.40 · n=24 | 2.73+0.97 · n=23 | 3.28+0.77 · n=22 | 3.70+0.57 · n=21 | |
| KDEN | — | 3.52+3.01 · n=29 | 4.16+3.93 · n=28 | 4.03+3.75 · n=27 | 3.93+3.47 · n=26 | 3.46+3.20 · n=25 | 3.37+2.90 · n=24 | 2.82+2.59 · n=23 | 3.10+2.79 · n=22 | 2.97+1.69 · n=21 | |
| KDFW | — | 2.17+2.01 · n=29 | 2.51+2.51 · n=28 | 2.83+2.83 · n=27 | 3.14+3.12 · n=26 | 3.23+3.22 · n=25 | 3.36+3.36 · n=24 | 3.47+3.35 · n=23 | 3.55+3.51 · n=22 | 3.75+3.50 · n=21 | |
| KEWR | — | 2.34+1.13 · n=29 | 2.23+1.46 · n=28 | 2.28+1.48 · n=27 | 2.94+1.83 · n=26 | 2.54+1.59 · n=25 | 2.82+2.18 · n=24 | 3.02+2.45 · n=23 | 3.69+2.35 · n=22 | 3.42+1.82 · n=21 | |
| KIAH | — | 1.82+1.00 · n=29 | 1.66+1.08 · n=28 | 1.71+1.16 · n=27 | 1.97+1.54 · n=26 | 2.01+1.70 · n=25 | 1.95+1.64 · n=24 | 2.26+1.84 · n=23 | 2.61+2.15 · n=22 | 2.35+1.74 · n=21 | |
| KLAS | — | 4.00−3.48 · n=29 | 3.93−3.31 · n=28 | 3.89−3.15 · n=27 | 3.86−2.76 · n=26 | 4.01−2.66 · n=25 | 4.34−2.64 · n=24 | 4.61−2.84 · n=23 | 5.21−2.83 · n=22 | 5.93−3.08 · n=21 | |
| KLAX | — | 0.78+0.53 · n=29 | 0.83+0.63 · n=28 | 0.99+0.65 · n=27 | 1.27+1.09 · n=26 | 1.31+1.11 · n=25 | 1.50+1.39 · n=24 | 1.70+1.54 · n=23 | 1.62+1.22 · n=22 | 2.02+0.43 · n=21 | |
| KMIA | — | 1.56−0.12 · n=29 | 1.64+0.07 · n=28 | 1.80−0.27 · n=27 | 1.79−0.40 · n=26 | 2.02−0.14 · n=25 | 1.63+0.04 · n=24 | 2.04+0.16 · n=23 | 1.77+0.45 · n=22 | 1.80+0.29 · n=21 | |
| KMSP | — | 1.54−0.28 · n=29 | 1.73−0.08 · n=28 | 1.54−0.00 · n=27 | 1.33−0.03 · n=26 | 1.98+0.17 · n=25 | 2.25+0.62 · n=24 | 3.59+0.35 · n=23 | 3.60−0.83 · n=22 | 3.95−0.48 · n=21 | |
| KMSY | — | 3.18+3.04 · n=29 | 3.24+2.95 · n=28 | 3.19+3.01 · n=27 | 3.65+3.43 · n=26 | 3.44+3.10 · n=25 | 3.31+3.16 · n=24 | 3.39+2.71 · n=23 | 3.49+2.87 · n=22 | 3.59+2.63 · n=21 | |
| KNYC | — | 1.89+1.53 · n=29 | 2.21+1.94 · n=28 | 2.09+1.89 · n=27 | 3.01+2.54 · n=26 | 2.35+2.23 · n=25 | 3.00+2.56 · n=24 | 3.01+2.84 · n=23 | 3.42+2.65 · n=22 | 3.60+2.53 · n=21 | |
| KOKC | — | 4.72+4.70 · n=29 | 5.52+5.31 · n=28 | 6.29+6.03 · n=27 | 6.60+6.60 · n=26 | 7.21+7.21 · n=25 | 7.30+7.30 · n=24 | 7.30+7.14 · n=23 | 6.98+6.14 · n=22 | 5.67+5.41 · n=21 | |
| KORD | — | 1.44+0.30 · n=29 | 1.48+0.01 · n=28 | 1.69+0.34 · n=27 | 1.96+0.40 · n=26 | 2.15+0.50 · n=25 | 2.34+0.84 · n=24 | 2.56+1.29 · n=23 | 3.31+0.51 · n=22 | 3.57−0.63 · n=21 | |
| KPHL | — | 1.82−0.41 · n=29 | 1.99−0.40 · n=28 | 2.53−0.66 · n=27 | 3.14−0.57 · n=26 | 2.66−0.38 · n=25 | 3.01−0.31 · n=24 | 2.79+0.18 · n=23 | 2.96+0.59 · n=22 | 2.93−0.12 · n=21 | |
| KPHX | — | 3.12+0.29 · n=29 | 3.18+0.75 · n=28 | 3.31+0.81 · n=27 | 3.19+0.88 · n=26 | 2.89+0.93 · n=25 | 3.40+1.22 · n=24 | 3.99+1.56 · n=23 | 4.33+1.88 · n=22 | 3.17+0.40 · n=21 | |
| KSAN | — | 1.13−0.82 · n=29 | 1.09−0.84 · n=28 | 1.11−0.96 · n=27 | 1.27−0.91 · n=26 | 1.46−1.21 · n=25 | 1.45−0.81 · n=24 | 1.36−0.80 · n=23 | 1.20−0.86 · n=22 | 1.83−1.23 · n=21 | |
| KSAT | — | 1.69+0.40 · n=29 | 1.92+0.65 · n=28 | 1.77+0.63 · n=27 | 1.97+0.88 · n=26 | 2.44+1.03 · n=25 | 2.13+1.01 · n=24 | 2.26+1.38 · n=23 | 2.45+1.54 · n=22 | 2.35+1.49 · n=21 | |
| KSEA | — | 1.48+1.34 · n=29 | 1.56+1.55 · n=28 | 1.75+1.67 · n=27 | 2.15+2.07 · n=26 | 1.97+1.61 · n=25 | 2.23+1.44 · n=24 | 2.35+1.66 · n=23 | 2.08+1.15 · n=22 | 2.60+1.55 · n=21 | |
| KSFO | — | 0.87−0.19 · n=29 | 0.90−0.18 · n=28 | 0.87−0.19 · n=27 | 0.83−0.19 · n=26 | 0.84−0.19 · n=25 | 0.80−0.38 · n=24 | 1.19−0.68 · n=23 | 1.25−0.38 · n=22 | 1.52−0.25 · n=21 | |
| KTTN | — | 3.55+3.54 · n=29 | 3.80+3.66 · n=28 | 3.75+3.61 · n=27 | 4.04+3.91 · n=26 | 3.91+3.86 · n=25 | 4.40+4.28 · n=24 | 4.67+4.64 · n=23 | 5.32+4.90 · n=22 | 4.73+4.18 · n=21 |
Native daily maximum vs NWS CLI
| Station | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KATL | — | 2.04−1.67 · n=28 | 2.27−1.29 · n=28 | 2.59−0.97 · n=27 | 2.68−0.68 · n=26 | 2.84−0.19 · n=25 | 3.11−0.02 · n=24 | 3.66−0.99 · n=23 | 4.33−1.42 · n=22 | 3.89−0.81 · n=21 | |
| KAUS | — | 2.40−2.40 · n=28 | 2.05−2.00 · n=28 | 1.57−1.49 · n=27 | 1.54−1.41 · n=26 | 1.66−1.46 · n=25 | 1.71−1.32 · n=24 | 1.37−0.78 · n=23 | 2.09−1.10 · n=22 | 2.11−1.16 · n=21 | |
| KBOS | — | 2.16−0.41 · n=27 | 2.57−0.48 · n=27 | 3.07+0.04 · n=26 | 3.59+0.80 · n=25 | 3.93+0.43 · n=24 | 2.99+0.13 · n=23 | 4.39−0.67 · n=22 | 3.53−0.37 · n=21 | 4.15−0.80 · n=20 | |
| KDCA | — | 2.17−0.66 · n=28 | 2.35−1.15 · n=28 | 2.80−1.27 · n=27 | 2.95−0.84 · n=26 | 3.33−0.80 · n=25 | 3.85+0.26 · n=24 | 3.93−0.46 · n=23 | 4.36−0.67 · n=22 | 5.35−1.52 · n=21 | |
| KDEN | — | 2.25−0.55 · n=28 | 1.90−0.64 · n=28 | 3.03−0.64 · n=27 | 3.38−1.04 · n=26 | 3.59−0.53 · n=25 | 4.51−0.93 · n=24 | 4.36−1.58 · n=23 | 4.75−2.34 · n=22 | 4.66−2.43 · n=21 | |
| KDFW | — | 1.27+0.32 · n=28 | 1.44+0.71 · n=28 | 1.81+1.08 · n=27 | 1.78+1.04 · n=26 | 2.10+1.43 · n=25 | 2.01+1.27 · n=24 | 1.85+1.32 · n=23 | 2.29+1.37 · n=22 | 3.01+0.77 · n=21 | |
| KEWR | — | 3.54−3.00 · n=28 | 3.50−3.00 · n=28 | 3.29−2.90 · n=27 | 3.44−2.13 · n=26 | 2.89−1.58 · n=25 | 3.17−1.20 · n=24 | 3.19−1.96 · n=23 | 2.68−1.34 · n=22 | 3.91−1.70 · n=21 | |
| KIAH | — | 2.14−2.05 · n=28 | 1.98−1.91 · n=28 | 1.72−1.15 · n=27 | 1.49−0.87 · n=26 | 1.68−0.81 · n=25 | 1.43−0.78 · n=24 | 1.55−0.56 · n=23 | 1.96−0.61 · n=22 | 2.50−0.88 · n=21 | |
| KLAS | — | 2.97−2.34 · n=28 | 2.59−1.33 · n=28 | 2.14−0.64 · n=27 | 2.41−0.43 · n=26 | 2.62−0.78 · n=25 | 2.60−1.08 · n=24 | 3.59−1.17 · n=23 | 3.96−0.52 · n=22 | 4.83−0.57 · n=21 | |
| KLAX | — | 1.37+0.29 · n=28 | 1.47+0.34 · n=28 | 1.46+0.63 · n=27 | 1.74+1.10 · n=26 | 1.82+1.21 · n=25 | 2.14+1.61 · n=24 | 1.87+1.22 · n=23 | 2.34+0.81 · n=22 | 3.18−0.05 · n=21 | |
| KMIA | — | 2.89−2.88 · n=28 | 2.95−2.95 · n=28 | 3.00−2.99 · n=27 | 3.05−2.91 · n=26 | 3.48−3.28 · n=25 | 2.70−2.68 · n=24 | 3.15−3.01 · n=23 | 3.43−3.33 · n=22 | 2.91−2.82 · n=21 | |
| KMSP | — | 2.68−1.17 · n=28 | 2.73−0.42 · n=28 | 2.90−1.21 · n=27 | 2.39−0.37 · n=26 | 2.64−0.66 · n=25 | 3.48−0.46 · n=24 | 3.99−2.24 · n=23 | 3.87−2.06 · n=22 | 3.16−2.00 · n=21 | |
| KMSY | — | 2.43−1.86 · n=28 | 2.57−2.33 · n=28 | 2.09−1.94 · n=27 | 2.11−2.08 · n=26 | 2.88−2.68 · n=25 | 3.35−2.80 · n=24 | 3.70−2.90 · n=23 | 2.97−2.35 · n=22 | 3.32−2.50 · n=21 | |
| KNYC | — | 1.92+0.40 · n=28 | 2.62+0.60 · n=28 | 2.75+0.71 · n=27 | 2.92+1.43 · n=26 | 2.61+1.93 · n=25 | 3.26+2.38 · n=24 | 3.34+1.47 · n=23 | 2.90+2.12 · n=22 | 3.97+1.70 · n=21 | |
| KOKC | — | 2.36−0.85 · n=28 | 2.67+0.07 · n=28 | 2.34+0.23 · n=27 | 2.25−0.04 · n=26 | 2.78+0.58 · n=25 | 3.17+0.15 · n=24 | 2.58+0.30 · n=23 | 2.93+0.03 · n=22 | 4.31−1.16 · n=21 | |
| KORD | — | 2.18−1.22 · n=28 | 1.91−1.10 · n=28 | 2.28−0.42 · n=27 | 2.15−0.93 · n=26 | 2.15−0.08 · n=25 | 3.25+0.47 · n=24 | 3.34−0.86 · n=23 | 4.42−0.91 · n=22 | 4.90−1.16 · n=21 | |
| KPHL | — | 3.19−2.78 · n=28 | 3.72−2.65 · n=28 | 3.59−2.62 · n=27 | 3.45−2.03 · n=26 | 3.55−1.86 · n=25 | 3.47−1.51 · n=24 | 3.60−2.28 · n=23 | 3.57−1.71 · n=22 | 5.51−2.84 · n=21 | |
| KPHX | — | 1.85−1.27 · n=28 | 1.78−0.23 · n=28 | 1.51−0.36 · n=27 | 1.83−0.91 · n=26 | 2.57−1.50 · n=25 | 2.44−1.06 · n=24 | 2.59−0.38 · n=23 | 2.92+0.11 · n=22 | 4.02−2.05 · n=21 | |
| KSAN | — | 4.44−4.44 · n=28 | 4.53−4.53 · n=28 | 4.65−4.59 · n=27 | 4.77−4.66 · n=26 | 4.92−4.87 · n=25 | 4.57−4.35 · n=24 | 4.37−4.19 · n=23 | 4.88−4.66 · n=22 | 5.56−5.22 · n=21 | |
| KSAT | — | 1.02−0.79 · n=28 | 0.91−0.49 · n=28 | 1.05−0.32 · n=27 | 1.15−0.42 · n=26 | 1.01−0.18 · n=25 | 1.15−0.14 · n=24 | 1.12+0.06 · n=23 | 1.52−0.12 · n=22 | 1.38−0.28 · n=21 | |
| KSEA | — | 1.99−0.38 · n=28 | 2.17−0.20 · n=28 | 2.38−0.14 · n=27 | 2.42−0.23 · n=26 | 2.97−0.97 · n=25 | 3.81−1.31 · n=24 | 3.43−0.81 · n=23 | 3.21−0.50 · n=22 | 4.21−1.35 · n=21 | |
| KSFO | — | 4.22−3.94 · n=28 | 4.18−3.68 · n=28 | 4.32−3.79 · n=27 | 4.35−4.00 · n=26 | 4.45−3.91 · n=25 | 4.32−3.73 · n=24 | 4.94−4.44 · n=23 | 4.97−4.80 · n=22 | 4.97−4.80 · n=21 | |
| KTTN | — | 2.12+0.07 · n=28 | 2.80−0.02 · n=28 | 2.48+0.11 · n=27 | 2.90+0.75 · n=26 | 3.00+1.32 · n=25 | 3.81+1.81 · n=24 | 3.19+0.70 · n=23 | 3.76+1.61 · n=22 | 4.47+0.57 · n=21 |
Native daily minimum vs NWS CLI
| Station | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KATL | — | 2.14−1.75 · n=28 | 2.26−1.74 · n=28 | 2.19−1.55 · n=27 | 1.93−1.06 · n=26 | 2.42−0.80 · n=24 | 1.78−0.30 · n=24 | 2.03−0.72 · n=22 | 2.36−0.47 · n=22 | 3.15−1.25 · n=21 | |
| KAUS | — | 3.68+3.37 · n=28 | 3.96+3.59 · n=28 | 3.90+3.61 · n=27 | 4.22+4.05 · n=26 | 4.59+4.37 · n=24 | 4.41+4.32 · n=24 | 4.91+4.82 · n=22 | 5.06+5.01 · n=22 | 4.83+4.71 · n=21 | |
| KBOS | — | 2.33−1.92 · n=27 | 2.56−2.08 · n=27 | 2.40−1.55 · n=26 | 2.41−1.68 · n=25 | 2.42−1.70 · n=23 | 2.70−2.28 · n=23 | 2.79−1.76 · n=21 | 2.54−1.84 · n=21 | 2.89−1.76 · n=20 | |
| KDCA | — | 2.71−2.24 · n=28 | 2.67−1.67 · n=28 | 2.87−2.00 · n=27 | 3.32−2.19 · n=26 | 3.40−2.04 · n=24 | 2.88−1.97 · n=24 | 2.50−1.12 · n=22 | 3.26−1.51 · n=22 | 3.61−2.14 · n=21 | |
| KDEN | — | 2.92+2.33 · n=28 | 3.59+3.28 · n=28 | 3.64+3.28 · n=27 | 3.39+2.82 · n=26 | 3.15+2.73 · n=24 | 2.79+1.54 · n=23 | 2.42+1.46 · n=22 | 2.74+1.33 · n=22 | 3.02+0.71 · n=21 | |
| KDFW | — | 2.14+1.98 · n=28 | 2.40+2.40 · n=28 | 2.75+2.75 · n=27 | 3.05+3.03 · n=26 | 3.20+3.20 · n=24 | 3.29+3.25 · n=24 | 3.45+3.31 · n=22 | 3.36+3.30 · n=22 | 3.57+3.29 · n=21 | |
| KEWR | — | 1.98−1.10 · n=28 | 1.64−0.65 · n=28 | 1.73−0.55 · n=27 | 2.17−0.29 · n=26 | 2.35−0.37 · n=24 | 2.15−0.23 · n=24 | 2.45+0.46 · n=22 | 2.59+0.44 · n=22 | 3.31−0.25 · n=21 | |
| KIAH | — | 1.77+0.70 · n=28 | 1.58+1.00 · n=28 | 1.64+1.09 · n=27 | 1.92+1.49 · n=26 | 1.83+1.50 · n=24 | 1.92+1.62 · n=24 | 2.24+1.79 · n=22 | 2.62+2.04 · n=22 | 2.26+1.64 · n=21 | |
| KLAS | — | 4.93−4.72 · n=28 | 4.91−4.58 · n=28 | 4.90−4.41 · n=27 | 4.92−4.00 · n=26 | 4.90−4.16 · n=24 | 5.58−4.50 · n=23 | 5.69−4.80 · n=22 | 5.98−4.19 · n=22 | 7.02−4.63 · n=21 | |
| KLAX | — | 0.70+0.01 · n=28 | 0.72+0.06 · n=28 | 0.78+0.06 · n=27 | 1.06+0.49 · n=26 | 1.02+0.47 · n=24 | 1.27+0.36 · n=23 | 1.26+0.57 · n=22 | 1.21−0.03 · n=22 | 1.81−0.73 · n=21 | |
| KMIA | — | 1.96−1.29 · n=28 | 2.12−1.32 · n=28 | 2.23−1.65 · n=27 | 2.22−1.82 · n=26 | 2.39−1.41 · n=24 | 1.97−1.37 · n=24 | 2.34−1.51 · n=22 | 2.07−1.00 · n=22 | 2.17−1.31 · n=21 | |
| KMSP | — | 1.64−0.73 · n=28 | 1.83−0.71 · n=28 | 1.53−0.77 · n=27 | 1.47−0.72 · n=26 | 2.07−0.56 · n=24 | 2.48+0.06 · n=24 | 3.88−0.32 · n=22 | 3.84−1.38 · n=22 | 4.18−1.05 · n=21 | |
| KMSY | — | 2.78+2.59 · n=28 | 2.75+2.43 · n=28 | 2.62+2.28 · n=27 | 3.02+2.77 · n=26 | 2.90+2.36 · n=24 | 2.81+2.60 · n=24 | 2.96+2.12 · n=22 | 3.07+2.42 · n=22 | 3.22+2.10 · n=21 | |
| KNYC | — | 1.82−0.76 · n=28 | 1.70−0.40 · n=28 | 1.78−0.36 · n=27 | 2.00+0.19 · n=26 | 2.13+0.10 · n=24 | 2.09+0.03 · n=24 | 2.11+0.85 · n=22 | 2.26+0.67 · n=22 | 3.18+0.34 · n=21 | |
| KOKC | — | 4.77+4.55 · n=28 | 5.47+5.25 · n=28 | 6.17+5.91 · n=27 | 6.21+6.21 · n=26 | 7.14+7.14 · n=24 | 7.20+7.20 · n=24 | 7.14+6.62 · n=22 | 6.64+5.79 · n=22 | 5.37+4.53 · n=21 | |
| KORD | — | 1.28−0.71 · n=28 | 1.65−1.10 · n=28 | 1.54−0.79 · n=27 | 1.67−0.83 · n=26 | 1.87−1.01 · n=24 | 2.21−0.60 · n=24 | 2.53+0.01 · n=22 | 3.35−0.85 · n=22 | 3.90−1.64 · n=21 | |
| KPHL | — | 3.06−2.89 · n=28 | 3.04−2.62 · n=28 | 3.61−3.01 · n=27 | 4.03−2.72 · n=26 | 3.70−2.39 · n=24 | 3.78−2.97 · n=24 | 3.32−1.78 · n=22 | 3.16−1.60 · n=22 | 3.63−2.56 · n=21 | |
| KPHX | — | 3.40−1.14 · n=28 | 3.16−0.60 · n=28 | 3.35−0.41 · n=27 | 3.49−0.78 · n=26 | 3.15−0.42 · n=24 | 3.35+0.05 · n=23 | 3.90+0.01 · n=22 | 4.03−0.42 · n=22 | 3.81−1.54 · n=21 | |
| KSAN | — | 1.34−1.15 · n=28 | 1.32−1.19 · n=28 | 1.45−1.38 · n=27 | 1.49−1.35 · n=26 | 1.68−1.60 · n=24 | 1.57−1.29 · n=23 | 1.63−1.53 · n=22 | 1.82−1.62 · n=22 | 2.47−2.34 · n=21 | |
| KSAT | — | 1.68+0.36 · n=28 | 1.86+0.52 · n=28 | 1.64+0.43 · n=27 | 1.97+0.73 · n=26 | 2.44+1.02 · n=24 | 2.09+0.91 · n=24 | 2.29+1.36 · n=22 | 2.37+1.42 · n=22 | 2.30+1.38 · n=21 | |
| KSEA | — | 1.09+0.59 · n=28 | 1.13+0.84 · n=28 | 1.34+0.98 · n=27 | 1.65+1.23 · n=26 | 1.42+0.58 · n=24 | 1.68−0.08 · n=23 | 1.93+0.19 · n=22 | 2.09−0.16 · n=22 | 2.21+0.28 · n=21 | |
| KSFO | — | 0.92−0.52 · n=28 | 0.93−0.59 · n=28 | 0.98−0.67 · n=27 | 0.95−0.61 · n=26 | 0.99−0.60 · n=24 | 1.34−1.09 · n=23 | 1.46−1.14 · n=22 | 1.47−0.87 · n=22 | 1.50−0.93 · n=21 | |
| KTTN | — | 1.51+0.83 · n=28 | 1.92+1.35 · n=28 | 2.24+1.20 · n=27 | 2.90+1.45 · n=26 | 2.62+1.63 · n=24 | 2.75+1.36 · n=24 | 2.93+2.17 · n=22 | 4.04+2.75 · n=22 | 3.85+1.81 · n=21 |
Month-by-month slices live on the canonical page: they do not depend on the window, initialization or interpolation selected here.
Source and licence
Where the numbers come from, what may be done with them, and what was — deliberately — not done to the forecast before scoring it.
Where it comes from
ecmwf · oper
Steps every 6 h to 240 h; sampled at 00/06/12/18 UTC only.
Licence
ECMWF open data, CC BY 4.0, © ECMWF.
Post-processing
None. Raw grid values, bilinear (headline) or nearest-node interpolation, no MOS, no bias correction, no downscaling.