Model
NCEP GFS
gfs
source gfs · product pgrb2.0p25 · steps every 6 h to 240 h · initializations 0, 12 UTC · native extreme fields TMAX, TMIN (diagnostic only, never in the headline ranking). Scores use the latest model version segment, gfs-0p25, starting 2026-08-01. Earlier days ran a different version of the model and are excluded rather than silently pooled into the same average.
Instantaneous temperature — MAE °F by stationt2
Scored against the observed 2 m temperature at the same instant (ASOS routine METAR). This is the headline variable: the same four instants on the forecast and the observation side. These pages are always bilinear interpolation, the headline method. The nearest-node variant, and every other window/initialization/interpolation/variable combination, is published on each permanent link below — follow any number.
| Station | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KATL | 1.83+0.67 · n=29 | 2.15+0.88 · n=29 | 2.29+0.94 · n=29 | 2.33+1.38 · n=29 | 2.78+1.66 · n=29 | 3.07+1.38 · n=29 | 3.61+1.10 · n=29 | 4.75+0.91 · n=29 | 4.96+0.03 · n=29 | 5.25−0.70 · n=29 | |
| KAUS | 3.47+1.33 · n=29 | 3.85+1.22 · n=29 | 3.85+1.31 · n=29 | 3.82+1.48 · n=29 | 4.36+1.29 · n=29 | 4.98+1.24 · n=29 | 5.63+1.20 · n=29 | 6.34+0.82 · n=29 | 7.05+0.61 · n=29 | 7.68+0.06 · n=29 | |
| KBOS | 2.02−0.57 · n=28 | 2.13−0.82 · n=28 | 2.48−0.78 · n=28 | 2.69−0.44 · n=28 | 3.48−0.78 · n=28 | 4.07−1.19 · n=28 | 4.82−1.85 · n=28 | 5.34−0.89 · n=28 | 6.04−0.65 · n=28 | 6.08−1.73 · n=28 | |
| KDCA | 2.15−1.23 · n=29 | 2.38−1.39 · n=29 | 2.57−1.52 · n=29 | 2.53−1.49 · n=29 | 2.90−1.71 · n=29 | 3.77−2.82 · n=29 | 4.71−3.30 · n=29 | 4.87−1.92 · n=29 | 5.74−2.20 · n=29 | 6.66−3.08 · n=29 | |
| KDEN | 2.44+0.83 · n=29 | 2.70+0.90 · n=29 | 2.83+0.84 · n=29 | 3.28+1.07 · n=29 | 4.35+0.82 · n=29 | 4.57−0.25 · n=29 | 5.46+0.16 · n=29 | 6.28−0.98 · n=29 | 8.01−3.46 · n=29 | — | |
| KDFW | 2.28+1.44 · n=29 | 2.33+1.25 · n=29 | 2.65+1.38 · n=29 | 2.79+1.55 · n=29 | 3.14+1.95 · n=29 | 3.92+1.55 · n=29 | 4.73+1.01 · n=29 | 5.35+0.45 · n=29 | 6.52−0.05 · n=29 | 7.54−1.40 · n=29 | |
| KEWR | 2.30+0.84 · n=29 | 2.43+0.54 · n=29 | 2.28+0.38 · n=29 | 2.74+0.32 · n=29 | 3.06+0.02 · n=29 | 3.52−0.81 · n=29 | 4.64−1.62 · n=29 | 4.90−0.46 · n=29 | 6.14+0.06 · n=29 | 6.16−0.63 · n=29 | |
| KIAH | 3.27+2.36 · n=29 | 3.14+2.41 · n=29 | 3.34+2.66 · n=29 | 3.55+2.91 · n=29 | 3.95+2.35 · n=29 | 4.32+2.86 · n=29 | 4.78+2.74 · n=29 | 5.28+1.86 · n=29 | 5.84+0.91 · n=29 | 5.79+0.75 · n=29 | |
| KLAS | 2.51−1.57 · n=29 | 2.38−1.18 · n=29 | 2.50−0.95 · n=29 | 2.62−1.05 · n=29 | 2.88−0.33 · n=29 | 3.21+0.51 · n=29 | 3.67+0.58 · n=29 | 3.93−0.35 · n=29 | 5.49−0.32 · n=29 | — | |
| KLAX | 3.11+1.38 · n=29 | 3.11+1.14 · n=29 | 3.02+0.82 · n=29 | 3.21+1.03 · n=29 | 3.82+1.41 · n=29 | 4.38+2.19 · n=29 | 4.77+2.63 · n=29 | 5.51+2.56 · n=29 | 6.39+2.85 · n=29 | — | |
| KMIA | 1.75+1.37 · n=29 | 1.87+1.36 · n=29 | 1.73+1.17 · n=29 | 2.02+1.24 · n=29 | 1.99+1.28 · n=29 | 2.17+1.50 · n=29 | 2.20+1.64 · n=29 | 2.39+1.56 · n=29 | 2.76+1.84 · n=29 | 2.95+1.65 · n=29 | |
| KMSP | 1.95+0.52 · n=29 | 2.40+0.42 · n=29 | 2.61+0.12 · n=29 | 2.60−0.02 · n=29 | 3.69−0.97 · n=29 | 5.43−2.55 · n=29 | 6.29−3.11 · n=29 | 7.75−3.34 · n=29 | 8.08−3.61 · n=29 | 8.45−5.14 · n=29 | |
| KMSY | 2.43−0.46 · n=29 | 2.43−0.69 · n=29 | 2.52−0.75 · n=29 | 2.61−0.80 · n=29 | 2.94−0.41 · n=29 | 3.57+0.22 · n=29 | 3.59+0.33 · n=29 | 4.29+0.02 · n=29 | 4.76+0.03 · n=29 | 5.35−0.08 · n=29 | |
| KNYC | 2.58+2.19 · n=28 | 2.70+1.86 · n=28 | 2.52+1.75 · n=28 | 3.02+1.79 · n=28 | 3.28+1.44 · n=28 | 3.31+0.70 · n=28 | 4.04−0.35 · n=28 | 4.71+0.80 · n=28 | 5.78+1.33 · n=28 | 5.67+0.82 · n=28 | |
| KOKC | 2.62+0.62 · n=29 | 2.90+0.56 · n=29 | 3.03+1.09 · n=29 | 3.27+1.08 · n=29 | 3.41+1.00 · n=29 | 4.83+1.17 · n=29 | 5.82+0.62 · n=29 | 6.50+0.12 · n=29 | 7.64−0.91 · n=29 | 7.97−3.74 · n=29 | |
| KORD | 2.19+1.23 · n=29 | 2.25+0.94 · n=29 | 2.48+1.24 · n=29 | 3.08+0.93 · n=29 | 3.47+0.35 · n=29 | 4.78−0.71 · n=29 | 5.46−0.95 · n=29 | 6.32−1.81 · n=29 | 7.79−1.71 · n=29 | 7.32−2.78 · n=29 | |
| KPHL | 2.28−0.93 · n=29 | 2.34−1.12 · n=29 | 2.50−1.42 · n=29 | 2.59−1.40 · n=29 | 3.17−1.93 · n=29 | 4.08−3.12 · n=29 | 5.14−3.63 · n=29 | 5.21−2.29 · n=29 | 6.23−2.32 · n=29 | 6.46−2.42 · n=29 | |
| KPHX | 2.49+0.99 · n=29 | 2.61+0.89 · n=29 | 2.91+1.11 · n=29 | 3.08+1.59 · n=29 | 3.37+1.78 · n=29 | 4.11+2.53 · n=29 | 4.86+3.01 · n=29 | 5.17+3.06 · n=29 | 6.01+2.54 · n=29 | — | |
| KSAN | 3.27+1.21 · n=29 | 3.31+0.98 · n=29 | 3.51+0.73 · n=29 | 3.45+0.70 · n=29 | 3.91+1.04 · n=29 | 4.20+1.64 · n=29 | 4.67+1.75 · n=29 | 5.52+1.55 · n=29 | 6.17+1.71 · n=29 | — | |
| KSAT | 2.26+0.21 · n=29 | 2.65−0.11 · n=29 | 2.83−0.26 · n=29 | 2.80+0.05 · n=29 | 3.48−0.07 · n=29 | 3.93−0.14 · n=29 | 4.22−0.04 · n=29 | 5.03−0.69 · n=29 | 5.65−0.87 · n=29 | 6.50−1.16 · n=29 | |
| KSEA | 2.41+0.24 · n=29 | 2.48+0.28 · n=29 | 2.75−0.21 · n=29 | 2.63−0.06 · n=29 | 3.13−0.31 · n=29 | 3.23−0.92 · n=29 | 3.87−1.24 · n=29 | 4.00−1.45 · n=29 | 4.18−1.24 · n=29 | — | |
| KSFO | 3.29+0.04 · n=29 | 3.30−0.23 · n=29 | 3.56−0.23 · n=29 | 3.60−0.10 · n=29 | 3.62+0.26 · n=29 | 3.94+0.18 · n=29 | 4.36−0.14 · n=29 | 3.78−0.24 · n=29 | 4.43+0.15 · n=29 | — | |
| KTTN | 2.49+1.09 · n=29 | 2.60+0.89 · n=29 | 2.53+0.72 · n=29 | 2.79+0.68 · n=29 | 3.19+0.43 · n=29 | 3.74−0.53 · n=29 | 4.96−1.26 · n=29 | 5.47+0.16 · n=29 | 6.46+0.42 · n=29 | 6.81+0.04 · n=29 |
+ model too warm − model too cold bias interval includes zero ★ lowest MAE among ranked models (n ≥ 30) = not distinguishable from the leader ▼ worse than the leader ▲ better than the leader — all three Holm-corrected within this table, over the family of comparisons against the leader; the uncorrected verdict for every pair is published in the pairwise table of each permanent link and in pairwise_latest.csv.gzn < 30 greyed and unranked CI is a 95 % moving-block bootstrap interval on the group's own days, and reads — when it could not be computed skill reads — when fewer than 10 days are common to the model and the baseline: the ratio of two means over a handful of shared days is not a number worth printing
Sampled daily maximum — MAE °F by stationtmax_s
Scored against the maximum of the four *observed* samples on the same day.
| Station | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KATL | 2.60+2.13 · n=29 | 3.05+2.40 · n=29 | 2.87+1.95 · n=29 | 3.54+3.02 · n=29 | 3.61+3.04 · n=29 | 3.66+2.04 · n=29 | 3.53+1.34 · n=29 | 5.21+0.66 · n=29 | 5.01−0.70 · n=29 | 6.03−2.16 · n=29 | |
| KAUS | 1.43−0.01 · n=29 | 1.76+0.13 · n=29 | 1.66−0.12 · n=29 | 1.64+0.04 · n=29 | 2.28−0.27 · n=29 | 3.32−0.84 · n=29 | 4.25−0.93 · n=29 | 5.23−1.19 · n=29 | 6.65−1.61 · n=29 | 7.18−1.94 · n=29 | |
| KBOS | 2.32−0.73 · n=28 | 1.96−0.39 · n=28 | 2.64−0.50 · n=28 | 3.18+0.11 · n=28 | 5.14−0.50 · n=28 | 4.83−0.08 · n=28 | 4.89−1.68 · n=28 | 5.56−0.79 · n=28 | 6.45−0.82 · n=28 | 6.05−2.21 · n=28 | |
| KDCA | 1.85−0.12 · n=29 | 2.42−0.23 · n=29 | 3.06−0.42 · n=29 | 3.03−0.50 · n=29 | 3.36−0.72 · n=29 | 3.80−1.62 · n=29 | 5.00−2.29 · n=29 | 5.28−1.09 · n=29 | 6.94−1.75 · n=29 | 7.89−4.47 · n=29 | |
| KDEN | 1.70−0.01 · n=29 | 1.96+0.22 · n=29 | 2.53+0.33 · n=29 | 3.15+0.48 · n=29 | 4.57+0.63 · n=29 | 4.78−0.29 · n=29 | 5.86+0.29 · n=29 | 6.59−0.01 · n=29 | 8.48−2.97 · n=29 | — | |
| KDFW | 1.22−0.38 · n=29 | 1.35−0.33 · n=29 | 1.93−0.38 · n=29 | 1.95−0.36 · n=29 | 2.32−0.12 · n=29 | 3.32−0.48 · n=29 | 4.80−1.11 · n=29 | 4.74−1.20 · n=29 | 6.37−1.92 · n=29 | 7.84−3.00 · n=29 | |
| KEWR | 1.75−0.71 · n=29 | 2.20−1.17 · n=29 | 1.92−1.16 · n=29 | 2.99−0.95 · n=29 | 2.56−1.26 · n=29 | 3.63−2.05 · n=29 | 5.31−3.05 · n=29 | 5.18−2.36 · n=29 | 6.56−2.12 · n=29 | 6.70−3.67 · n=29 | |
| KIAH | 1.65+0.27 · n=29 | 1.20+0.43 · n=29 | 1.78+0.66 · n=29 | 1.97+0.71 · n=29 | 2.77−0.08 · n=29 | 3.63+0.64 · n=29 | 3.99+0.50 · n=29 | 4.36−0.93 · n=29 | 6.09−2.68 · n=29 | 5.84−2.28 · n=29 | |
| KLAS | 3.58−3.44 · n=29 | 3.02−2.55 · n=29 | 3.23−2.65 · n=29 | 3.19−2.59 · n=29 | 3.04−1.52 · n=29 | 3.53−0.50 · n=29 | 3.89−0.25 · n=29 | 4.36−1.42 · n=29 | 6.09−1.52 · n=29 | — | |
| KLAX | 2.88−1.50 · n=29 | 3.37−1.73 · n=29 | 3.37−2.17 · n=29 | 3.37−1.82 · n=29 | 4.03−1.60 · n=29 | 4.50−0.73 · n=29 | 4.72−0.19 · n=29 | 5.79−0.29 · n=29 | 6.52+0.13 · n=29 | — | |
| KMIA | 1.57+0.88 · n=29 | 2.06+1.03 · n=29 | 1.70+0.68 · n=29 | 1.93+0.65 · n=29 | 1.93+0.45 · n=29 | 2.12+1.07 · n=29 | 2.31+1.16 · n=29 | 2.45+1.00 · n=29 | 2.90+1.50 · n=29 | 3.43+1.25 · n=29 | |
| KMSP | 1.36+0.39 · n=29 | 2.01+0.40 · n=29 | 2.07−0.04 · n=29 | 2.09−0.20 · n=29 | 3.80−1.05 · n=29 | 5.76−3.17 · n=29 | 6.69−3.15 · n=29 | 8.64−3.49 · n=29 | 8.74−4.05 · n=29 | 8.26−5.67 · n=29 | |
| KMSY | 3.16−2.80 · n=29 | 3.05−3.03 · n=29 | 3.35−3.26 · n=29 | 3.62−3.51 · n=29 | 3.63−3.10 · n=29 | 4.17−2.56 · n=29 | 3.45−2.23 · n=29 | 4.23−3.15 · n=29 | 4.37−2.70 · n=29 | 4.74−3.14 · n=29 | |
| KNYC | 3.33+3.17 · n=28 | 3.33+2.70 · n=28 | 2.79+2.77 · n=28 | 4.00+3.13 · n=28 | 3.74+2.62 · n=28 | 3.59+2.00 · n=28 | 4.21+0.41 · n=28 | 4.79+1.14 · n=28 | 5.67+1.51 · n=28 | 5.67+0.02 · n=28 | |
| KOKC | 1.84−0.50 · n=29 | 2.25−0.49 · n=29 | 2.40−0.01 · n=29 | 2.57+0.17 · n=29 | 2.50−0.08 · n=29 | 4.20−0.48 · n=29 | 6.33−0.26 · n=29 | 6.82−0.59 · n=29 | 7.95−1.50 · n=29 | 8.69−5.37 · n=29 | |
| KORD | 1.00−0.17 · n=29 | 1.48−0.75 · n=29 | 1.24−0.31 · n=29 | 1.93−0.69 · n=29 | 2.57−1.52 · n=29 | 4.33−3.12 · n=29 | 5.89−3.38 · n=29 | 5.97−3.12 · n=29 | 8.01−3.61 · n=29 | 7.36−4.74 · n=29 | |
| KPHL | 2.25−0.80 · n=29 | 2.41−1.13 · n=29 | 2.55−1.74 · n=29 | 2.88−1.34 · n=29 | 3.07−1.67 · n=29 | 3.86−3.15 · n=29 | 5.40−3.66 · n=29 | 4.88−2.18 · n=29 | 7.03−3.33 · n=29 | 6.16−3.69 · n=29 | |
| KPHX | 1.68−1.11 · n=29 | 1.73−0.91 · n=29 | 2.15−0.92 · n=29 | 2.17−0.51 · n=29 | 2.43+0.05 · n=29 | 3.36+0.98 · n=29 | 4.50+1.60 · n=29 | 4.70+1.48 · n=29 | 5.22+0.89 · n=29 | — | |
| KSAN | 2.64−2.14 · n=29 | 2.92−2.23 · n=29 | 3.30−2.57 · n=29 | 3.38−2.54 · n=29 | 3.80−2.12 · n=29 | 4.07−1.57 · n=29 | 4.41−1.24 · n=29 | 5.89−1.75 · n=29 | 6.44−1.58 · n=29 | — | |
| KSAT | 1.35+0.07 · n=29 | 1.38−0.12 · n=29 | 1.94−0.74 · n=29 | 1.61−0.01 · n=29 | 2.14−0.22 · n=29 | 3.01−0.82 · n=29 | 3.62−0.58 · n=29 | 5.21−1.23 · n=29 | 6.12−1.80 · n=29 | 6.57−1.73 · n=29 | |
| KSEA | 2.56+0.00 · n=29 | 2.36+0.35 · n=29 | 2.82−0.42 · n=29 | 2.19+0.52 · n=29 | 3.09−0.08 · n=29 | 3.13−0.67 · n=29 | 3.46−1.00 · n=29 | 4.06−0.70 · n=29 | 4.92−0.47 · n=29 | — | |
| KSFO | 3.82−2.04 · n=29 | 3.86−2.37 · n=29 | 4.36−2.44 · n=29 | 4.28−2.34 · n=29 | 4.41−1.81 · n=29 | 4.64−1.95 · n=29 | 5.08−2.35 · n=29 | 4.62−2.27 · n=29 | 5.60−1.94 · n=29 | — | |
| KTTN | 1.56+0.28 · n=29 | 1.56−0.03 · n=29 | 1.55−0.20 · n=29 | 2.52−0.19 · n=29 | 2.50−0.26 · n=29 | 3.14−1.49 · n=29 | 5.49−2.47 · n=29 | 5.29−0.94 · n=29 | 6.58−1.52 · n=29 | 6.59−2.79 · n=29 |
Sampled daily minimum — MAE °F by stationtmin_s
Scored against the minimum of the four *observed* samples on the same day.
| Station | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KATL | 1.45+0.41 · n=29 | 1.44+0.67 · n=29 | 1.71+1.07 · n=29 | 1.65+1.03 · n=29 | 2.36+1.74 · n=29 | 2.27+1.40 · n=29 | 3.04+1.49 · n=29 | 4.28+1.62 · n=29 | 4.84+1.25 · n=29 | 4.71+1.26 · n=29 | |
| KAUS | 4.88+4.24 · n=29 | 5.28+4.20 · n=29 | 5.38+4.42 · n=29 | 5.24+4.38 · n=29 | 6.02+4.61 · n=29 | 6.31+4.90 · n=29 | 6.57+4.56 · n=29 | 6.78+4.27 · n=29 | 7.65+5.13 · n=29 | 7.63+3.65 · n=29 | |
| KBOS | 1.71+0.16 · n=28 | 1.86−0.36 · n=28 | 1.91−0.08 · n=28 | 1.82+0.00 · n=28 | 2.33−0.51 · n=28 | 3.37−1.22 · n=28 | 4.30−1.29 · n=28 | 4.50−0.25 · n=28 | 4.77+0.11 · n=28 | 4.73−0.88 · n=28 | |
| KDCA | 1.72−0.57 · n=29 | 1.96−0.97 · n=29 | 1.86−0.88 · n=29 | 1.66−0.96 · n=29 | 2.23−1.20 · n=29 | 3.33−2.62 · n=29 | 3.90−2.90 · n=29 | 4.06−1.80 · n=29 | 4.71−1.47 · n=29 | 5.78−1.55 · n=29 | |
| KDEN | 2.49+1.38 · n=29 | 2.98+1.63 · n=29 | 2.27+1.39 · n=29 | 3.03+1.99 · n=29 | 3.26+1.00 · n=29 | 3.59−0.13 · n=29 | 4.27−0.83 · n=29 | 4.62−1.81 · n=29 | 6.05−3.67 · n=29 | — | |
| KDFW | 3.69+3.37 · n=29 | 3.60+2.95 · n=29 | 3.90+3.22 · n=29 | 4.09+3.42 · n=29 | 4.34+3.92 · n=29 | 5.01+3.94 · n=29 | 5.12+3.35 · n=29 | 6.20+2.45 · n=29 | 6.49+2.22 · n=29 | 6.63+0.83 · n=29 | |
| KEWR | 2.90+2.67 · n=29 | 2.88+2.41 · n=29 | 2.83+2.07 · n=29 | 2.72+1.82 · n=29 | 3.49+1.59 · n=29 | 3.67+0.51 · n=29 | 4.29+0.08 · n=29 | 4.36+1.53 · n=29 | 5.67+2.11 · n=29 | 5.44+1.92 · n=29 | |
| KIAH | 4.35+4.00 · n=29 | 4.56+3.97 · n=29 | 4.69+4.28 · n=29 | 4.94+4.52 · n=29 | 4.88+4.15 · n=29 | 5.16+4.37 · n=29 | 5.26+4.51 · n=29 | 6.15+3.93 · n=29 | 5.95+3.77 · n=29 | 6.14+3.03 · n=29 | |
| KLAS | 2.19+0.12 · n=29 | 2.04+0.27 · n=29 | 2.17+0.63 · n=29 | 2.18+0.44 · n=29 | 2.60+0.91 · n=29 | 3.12+1.44 · n=29 | 3.12+1.52 · n=29 | 3.15+0.41 · n=29 | 4.64+0.87 · n=29 | — | |
| KLAX | 4.69+4.59 · n=29 | 4.47+4.31 · n=29 | 4.24+4.03 · n=29 | 4.25+4.09 · n=29 | 4.64+4.35 · n=29 | 5.20+5.02 · n=29 | 5.65+5.45 · n=29 | 5.58+5.54 · n=29 | 6.44+5.68 · n=29 | — | |
| KMIA | 2.16+1.99 · n=29 | 2.11+1.97 · n=29 | 1.90+1.69 · n=29 | 2.20+1.95 · n=29 | 2.22+2.03 · n=29 | 2.48+2.13 · n=29 | 2.52+2.23 · n=29 | 2.54+2.21 · n=29 | 3.00+2.35 · n=29 | 3.27+2.14 · n=29 | |
| KMSP | 2.30+1.43 · n=29 | 2.20+1.09 · n=29 | 2.71+0.82 · n=29 | 2.70+1.05 · n=29 | 3.57−0.33 · n=29 | 5.36−1.13 · n=29 | 5.47−2.58 · n=29 | 6.82−1.84 · n=29 | 7.26−2.49 · n=29 | 7.79−4.32 · n=29 | |
| KMSY | 2.44+1.29 · n=29 | 2.43+1.15 · n=29 | 2.31+1.17 · n=29 | 2.39+1.34 · n=29 | 3.01+1.78 · n=29 | 3.81+2.42 · n=29 | 3.93+2.48 · n=29 | 4.70+2.53 · n=29 | 5.51+2.61 · n=29 | 6.59+2.44 · n=29 | |
| KNYC | 2.27+2.10 · n=28 | 2.38+1.82 · n=28 | 2.48+1.55 · n=28 | 2.57+1.39 · n=28 | 3.06+1.18 · n=28 | 3.17+0.16 · n=28 | 3.85−0.51 · n=28 | 4.28+1.06 · n=28 | 5.80+1.68 · n=28 | 5.38+1.60 · n=28 | |
| KOKC | 3.00+2.24 · n=29 | 3.24+2.25 · n=29 | 3.20+2.64 · n=29 | 3.62+2.70 · n=29 | 3.80+2.79 · n=29 | 5.11+3.42 · n=29 | 5.98+2.27 · n=29 | 5.94+1.17 · n=29 | 7.15−0.12 · n=29 | 7.32−2.23 · n=29 | |
| KORD | 3.21+2.99 · n=29 | 3.13+2.72 · n=29 | 3.30+2.96 · n=29 | 3.52+2.59 · n=29 | 3.86+2.06 · n=29 | 4.90+1.59 · n=29 | 5.19+1.59 · n=29 | 5.78−0.46 · n=29 | 7.22−0.02 · n=29 | 6.60−0.66 · n=29 | |
| KPHL | 1.66+0.05 · n=29 | 1.66−0.11 · n=29 | 1.91−0.38 · n=29 | 1.87−0.69 · n=29 | 2.44−1.02 · n=29 | 3.72−2.39 · n=29 | 4.37−2.55 · n=29 | 4.54−1.42 · n=29 | 5.27−1.06 · n=29 | 6.16−0.71 · n=29 | |
| KPHX | 3.34+2.94 · n=29 | 3.44+3.00 · n=29 | 3.74+3.13 · n=29 | 4.00+3.81 · n=29 | 4.28+3.64 · n=29 | 4.79+4.01 · n=29 | 5.28+4.48 · n=29 | 5.63+4.66 · n=29 | 6.82+4.48 · n=29 | — | |
| KSAN | 5.13+5.13 · n=29 | 5.02+5.02 · n=29 | 4.82+4.82 · n=29 | 4.73+4.72 · n=29 | 4.99+4.88 · n=29 | 5.47+5.28 · n=29 | 5.63+5.61 · n=29 | 5.55+5.44 · n=29 | 6.28+5.69 · n=29 | — | |
| KSAT | 3.08+1.41 · n=29 | 3.55+1.42 · n=29 | 3.58+1.39 · n=29 | 3.64+1.53 · n=29 | 4.02+1.82 · n=29 | 4.12+1.89 · n=29 | 4.31+1.58 · n=29 | 4.51+1.36 · n=29 | 5.05+1.77 · n=29 | 5.81+0.53 · n=29 | |
| KSEA | 1.45−0.21 · n=29 | 1.43−0.49 · n=29 | 1.66−0.86 · n=29 | 1.85−1.06 · n=29 | 1.95−1.22 · n=29 | 2.19−1.42 · n=29 | 3.24−2.21 · n=29 | 3.61−2.45 · n=29 | 3.50−2.56 · n=29 | — | |
| KSFO | 2.88+1.40 · n=29 | 2.88+1.25 · n=29 | 3.18+1.27 · n=29 | 3.54+1.54 · n=29 | 3.48+1.58 · n=29 | 3.36+1.47 · n=29 | 3.87+1.42 · n=29 | 3.06+0.90 · n=29 | 3.09+1.47 · n=29 | — | |
| KTTN | 3.03+2.70 · n=29 | 3.17+2.54 · n=29 | 3.15+2.23 · n=29 | 3.04+2.14 · n=29 | 3.62+1.81 · n=29 | 4.01+0.81 · n=29 | 4.90+0.62 · n=29 | 5.32+1.72 · n=29 | 5.53+2.26 · n=29 | 6.73+2.55 · n=29 |
Against the NWS daily extremes (secondary)
This comparison scores four 6-hourly forecast samples against the true daily extreme, so it includes a sampling penalty. The size of that penalty depends on each model's own diurnal amplitude, which is one of the things this site measures, so these numbers are published for operational relevance and are never used for ranking.
Daily maximum vs NWS CLI
| Station | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KATL | 1.19−0.55 · n=29 | 1.79−0.29 · n=29 | 1.56−0.74 · n=29 | 1.89+0.34 · n=29 | 2.45+0.35 · n=29 | 2.85−0.64 · n=29 | 3.66−1.35 · n=29 | 5.56−2.03 · n=29 | 5.98−3.39 · n=29 | 6.83−4.85 · n=29 | |
| KAUS | 4.62−4.42 · n=29 | 5.03−4.28 · n=29 | 4.95−4.53 · n=29 | 4.92−4.37 · n=29 | 5.02−4.69 · n=29 | 6.02−5.26 · n=29 | 7.00−5.34 · n=29 | 7.38−5.61 · n=29 | 9.10−6.02 · n=29 | 9.42−6.36 · n=29 | |
| KBOS | 3.16−2.31 · n=29 | 2.90−2.01 · n=29 | 3.42−2.20 · n=29 | 3.62−1.58 · n=29 | 5.57−2.13 · n=29 | 5.47−1.89 · n=29 | 5.78−3.56 · n=29 | 6.56−2.67 · n=29 | 6.82−2.35 · n=29 | 6.75−3.97 · n=29 | |
| KDCA | 2.30−1.95 · n=29 | 2.86−2.05 · n=29 | 3.47−2.25 · n=29 | 3.53−2.32 · n=29 | 3.94−2.55 · n=29 | 4.67−3.45 · n=29 | 5.83−4.11 · n=29 | 5.95−2.91 · n=29 | 7.68−3.58 · n=29 | 9.04−6.29 · n=29 | |
| KDEN | 5.06−5.05 · n=29 | 4.81−4.81 · n=29 | 5.25−4.71 · n=29 | 5.70−4.55 · n=29 | 6.90−4.41 · n=29 | 7.68−5.32 · n=29 | 8.19−4.75 · n=29 | 8.76−5.05 · n=29 | 10.95−8.01 · n=29 | — | |
| KDFW | 3.87−3.83 · n=29 | 3.95−3.78 · n=29 | 4.53−3.83 · n=29 | 4.62−3.81 · n=29 | 4.41−3.57 · n=29 | 5.31−3.93 · n=29 | 6.95−4.56 · n=29 | 6.72−4.65 · n=29 | 8.52−5.37 · n=29 | 9.82−6.45 · n=29 | |
| KEWR | 2.67−2.48 · n=29 | 3.22−2.94 · n=29 | 2.99−2.93 · n=29 | 3.66−2.72 · n=29 | 3.76−3.03 · n=29 | 4.91−3.82 · n=29 | 6.44−4.82 · n=29 | 5.97−4.13 · n=29 | 6.82−3.89 · n=29 | 7.72−5.45 · n=29 | |
| KIAH | 3.92−3.32 · n=29 | 3.63−3.15 · n=29 | 3.55−2.93 · n=29 | 3.76−2.88 · n=29 | 4.22−3.66 · n=29 | 4.55−2.95 · n=29 | 5.38−3.08 · n=29 | 5.66−4.52 · n=29 | 7.99−6.26 · n=29 | 7.60−5.87 · n=29 | |
| KLAS | 5.08−5.08 · n=29 | 4.35−4.20 · n=29 | 4.45−4.29 · n=29 | 4.35−4.24 · n=29 | 3.88−3.17 · n=29 | 4.15−2.14 · n=29 | 4.30−1.90 · n=29 | 4.96−3.06 · n=29 | 6.83−3.16 · n=29 | — | |
| KLAX | 4.73−4.26 · n=29 | 5.30−4.49 · n=29 | 5.57−4.93 · n=29 | 5.45−4.58 · n=29 | 5.55−4.36 · n=29 | 5.29−3.49 · n=29 | 5.53−2.95 · n=29 | 6.82−3.05 · n=29 | 6.89−2.63 · n=29 | — | |
| KMIA | 1.28−1.05 · n=29 | 1.67−0.91 · n=29 | 1.77−1.25 · n=29 | 1.91−1.28 · n=29 | 1.96−1.48 · n=29 | 1.76−0.86 · n=29 | 1.96−0.77 · n=29 | 1.99−0.94 · n=29 | 2.40−0.44 · n=29 | 2.82−0.68 · n=29 | |
| KMSP | 3.74−2.92 · n=29 | 4.04−2.92 · n=29 | 4.02−3.35 · n=29 | 4.16−3.51 · n=29 | 6.13−4.36 · n=29 | 8.30−6.48 · n=29 | 8.99−6.46 · n=29 | 10.95−6.81 · n=29 | 10.97−7.36 · n=29 | 10.40−8.98 · n=29 | |
| KMSY | 5.20−5.11 · n=29 | 5.34−5.34 · n=29 | 5.57−5.57 · n=29 | 5.82−5.82 · n=29 | 5.59−5.41 · n=29 | 5.53−4.87 · n=29 | 4.66−4.54 · n=29 | 5.85−5.46 · n=29 | 5.80−5.01 · n=29 | 6.24−5.45 · n=29 | |
| KNYC | 1.84+1.00 · n=29 | 1.93+0.53 · n=29 | 1.79+0.55 · n=29 | 2.97+0.89 · n=29 | 3.07+0.51 · n=29 | 3.24−0.18 · n=29 | 4.52−1.42 · n=29 | 5.00−0.60 · n=29 | 5.73−0.32 · n=29 | 5.77−2.03 · n=29 | |
| KOKC | 3.98−3.68 · n=29 | 4.22−3.67 · n=29 | 4.34−3.18 · n=29 | 4.16−3.01 · n=29 | 4.33−3.26 · n=29 | 6.16−3.65 · n=29 | 7.83−3.44 · n=29 | 8.05−3.76 · n=29 | 9.60−4.68 · n=29 | 11.20−8.54 · n=29 | |
| KORD | 2.46−2.44 · n=29 | 3.06−3.02 · n=29 | 2.99−2.58 · n=29 | 3.64−2.96 · n=29 | 4.12−3.79 · n=29 | 5.74−5.39 · n=29 | 7.09−5.65 · n=29 | 7.51−5.39 · n=29 | 8.76−5.88 · n=29 | 8.27−7.01 · n=29 | |
| KPHL | 2.83−2.70 · n=29 | 3.06−3.03 · n=29 | 3.79−3.64 · n=29 | 3.53−3.24 · n=29 | 4.15−3.57 · n=29 | 5.52−5.05 · n=29 | 6.83−5.56 · n=29 | 6.14−4.08 · n=29 | 8.04−5.23 · n=29 | 7.42−5.59 · n=29 | |
| KPHX | 3.76−3.76 · n=29 | 3.72−3.57 · n=29 | 4.08−3.57 · n=29 | 3.64−3.16 · n=29 | 3.12−2.61 · n=29 | 3.93−1.68 · n=29 | 4.68−1.06 · n=29 | 4.63−1.17 · n=29 | 5.81−1.77 · n=29 | — | |
| KSAN | 4.62−4.56 · n=29 | 4.71−4.65 · n=29 | 5.03−4.98 · n=29 | 5.14−4.95 · n=29 | 5.17−4.53 · n=29 | 5.30−3.98 · n=29 | 5.44−3.65 · n=29 | 6.67−4.16 · n=29 | 7.07−4.00 · n=29 | — | |
| KSAT | 3.78−3.54 · n=29 | 3.97−3.73 · n=29 | 4.55−4.35 · n=29 | 3.92−3.62 · n=29 | 4.18−3.83 · n=29 | 5.00−4.43 · n=29 | 5.48−4.19 · n=29 | 6.39−4.83 · n=29 | 8.02−5.41 · n=29 | 8.22−5.33 · n=29 | |
| KSEA | 3.08−1.47 · n=29 | 2.76−1.12 · n=29 | 3.51−1.89 · n=29 | 2.54−0.95 · n=29 | 3.58−1.55 · n=29 | 3.55−2.14 · n=29 | 4.22−2.47 · n=29 | 4.36−2.17 · n=29 | 4.67−1.94 · n=29 | — | |
| KSFO | 5.78−5.78 · n=29 | 6.12−6.12 · n=29 | 6.34−6.18 · n=29 | 6.09−6.09 · n=29 | 5.96−5.55 · n=29 | 6.21−5.70 · n=29 | 6.40−6.09 · n=29 | 6.71−6.02 · n=29 | 7.06−5.68 · n=29 | — | |
| KTTN | 1.94−1.65 · n=29 | 2.36−1.96 · n=29 | 2.41−2.13 · n=29 | 3.07−2.12 · n=29 | 3.57−2.19 · n=29 | 4.26−3.42 · n=29 | 6.46−4.40 · n=29 | 5.95−2.87 · n=29 | 7.06−3.45 · n=29 | 7.50−4.72 · n=29 |
Daily minimum vs NWS CLI
| Station | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KATL | 2.33+1.91 · n=29 | 2.40+2.17 · n=29 | 2.81+2.57 · n=29 | 2.72+2.53 · n=29 | 3.72+3.25 · n=29 | 3.46+2.90 · n=29 | 3.93+2.99 · n=29 | 5.08+3.12 · n=29 | 5.09+2.75 · n=29 | 4.92+2.77 · n=29 | |
| KAUS | 6.25+5.95 · n=29 | 6.65+5.91 · n=29 | 6.79+6.14 · n=29 | 6.65+6.09 · n=29 | 7.41+6.32 · n=29 | 7.75+6.62 · n=29 | 7.89+6.28 · n=29 | 7.79+5.99 · n=29 | 9.03+6.85 · n=29 | 8.31+5.37 · n=29 | |
| KBOS | 2.61+2.17 · n=29 | 2.52+1.72 · n=29 | 2.65+1.85 · n=29 | 2.71+1.92 · n=29 | 2.88+1.40 · n=29 | 3.36+0.90 · n=29 | 4.52+0.85 · n=29 | 4.68+1.59 · n=29 | 5.11+2.26 · n=29 | 4.87+1.28 · n=29 | |
| KDCA | 1.56+1.08 · n=29 | 1.82+0.68 · n=29 | 1.89+0.77 · n=29 | 1.71+0.69 · n=29 | 1.86+0.45 · n=29 | 2.90−0.97 · n=29 | 3.77−1.25 · n=29 | 4.34−0.15 · n=29 | 4.67+0.18 · n=29 | 5.65+0.09 · n=29 | |
| KDEN | 4.09+3.40 · n=29 | 4.51+3.64 · n=29 | 3.96+3.40 · n=29 | 4.62+4.00 · n=29 | 4.25+3.01 · n=29 | 4.20+1.89 · n=29 | 4.11+1.19 · n=29 | 4.54+0.20 · n=29 | 5.53−1.66 · n=29 | — | |
| KDFW | 5.29+5.24 · n=29 | 4.99+4.82 · n=29 | 5.35+5.09 · n=29 | 5.62+5.29 · n=29 | 5.88+5.78 · n=29 | 6.34+5.81 · n=29 | 6.50+5.21 · n=29 | 6.91+4.32 · n=29 | 7.25+4.08 · n=29 | 7.45+2.70 · n=29 | |
| KEWR | 5.04+5.04 · n=29 | 4.83+4.78 · n=29 | 4.62+4.45 · n=29 | 4.32+4.19 · n=29 | 4.77+3.96 · n=29 | 4.78+2.88 · n=29 | 5.46+2.45 · n=29 | 5.97+3.90 · n=29 | 7.11+4.49 · n=29 | 6.43+4.29 · n=29 | |
| KIAH | 6.14+5.98 · n=29 | 6.26+5.95 · n=29 | 6.46+6.26 · n=29 | 6.75+6.50 · n=29 | 6.54+6.13 · n=29 | 6.72+6.35 · n=29 | 7.05+6.49 · n=29 | 7.49+5.91 · n=29 | 7.24+5.75 · n=29 | 7.03+5.01 · n=29 | |
| KLAS | 2.59+1.71 · n=29 | 2.49+1.85 · n=29 | 2.68+2.21 · n=29 | 2.70+2.02 · n=29 | 3.49+2.49 · n=29 | 3.87+3.02 · n=29 | 4.00+3.10 · n=29 | 3.68+2.00 · n=29 | 4.92+2.46 · n=29 | — | |
| KLAX | 6.33+6.33 · n=29 | 6.05+6.05 · n=29 | 5.77+5.77 · n=29 | 5.83+5.83 · n=29 | 6.29+6.09 · n=29 | 6.78+6.76 · n=29 | 7.32+7.19 · n=29 | 7.27+7.27 · n=29 | 7.75+7.42 · n=29 | — | |
| KMIA | 3.71+3.71 · n=29 | 3.69+3.69 · n=29 | 3.41+3.41 · n=29 | 3.68+3.68 · n=29 | 3.75+3.75 · n=29 | 3.87+3.85 · n=29 | 3.97+3.95 · n=29 | 4.01+3.94 · n=29 | 4.17+4.07 · n=29 | 3.92+3.86 · n=29 | |
| KMSP | 3.92+3.68 · n=29 | 3.80+3.33 · n=29 | 3.73+3.06 · n=29 | 3.72+3.29 · n=29 | 3.59+1.91 · n=29 | 5.14+1.11 · n=29 | 5.05−0.34 · n=29 | 6.13+0.40 · n=29 | 7.32−0.24 · n=29 | 6.39−2.08 · n=29 | |
| KMSY | 3.76+3.29 · n=29 | 3.57+3.15 · n=29 | 3.59+3.17 · n=29 | 3.74+3.34 · n=29 | 4.20+3.77 · n=29 | 5.39+4.42 · n=29 | 5.47+4.48 · n=29 | 6.02+4.53 · n=29 | 6.81+4.61 · n=29 | 7.46+4.44 · n=29 | |
| KNYC | 3.49+3.49 · n=29 | 3.36+3.17 · n=29 | 3.26+2.89 · n=29 | 2.98+2.74 · n=29 | 3.58+2.62 · n=29 | 3.39+1.60 · n=29 | 4.31+1.06 · n=29 | 4.81+2.61 · n=29 | 6.19+3.14 · n=29 | 5.40+2.82 · n=29 | |
| KOKC | 3.92+3.70 · n=29 | 4.01+3.71 · n=29 | 4.25+4.10 · n=29 | 4.53+4.16 · n=29 | 4.82+4.25 · n=29 | 5.97+4.88 · n=29 | 6.25+3.73 · n=29 | 6.56+2.64 · n=29 | 7.10+1.35 · n=29 | 7.11−0.77 · n=29 | |
| KORD | 4.47+4.47 · n=29 | 4.27+4.20 · n=29 | 4.52+4.45 · n=29 | 4.14+4.07 · n=29 | 4.52+3.54 · n=29 | 5.04+3.07 · n=29 | 5.67+3.07 · n=29 | 6.07+1.03 · n=29 | 7.32+1.46 · n=29 | 6.36+0.83 · n=29 | |
| KPHL | 2.80+2.03 · n=29 | 2.50+1.87 · n=29 | 2.54+1.60 · n=29 | 2.39+1.29 · n=29 | 2.98+0.96 · n=29 | 3.56−0.42 · n=29 | 4.67−0.58 · n=29 | 4.83+0.56 · n=29 | 5.56+0.92 · n=29 | 6.16+1.27 · n=29 | |
| KPHX | 4.31+4.24 · n=29 | 4.37+4.30 · n=29 | 4.72+4.42 · n=29 | 5.10+5.10 · n=29 | 5.00+4.93 · n=29 | 5.58+5.30 · n=29 | 6.29+5.77 · n=29 | 6.35+5.96 · n=29 | 7.71+5.77 · n=29 | — | |
| KSAN | 7.02+7.02 · n=29 | 6.91+6.91 · n=29 | 6.71+6.71 · n=29 | 6.61+6.61 · n=29 | 6.77+6.77 · n=29 | 7.22+7.17 · n=29 | 7.50+7.50 · n=29 | 7.37+7.33 · n=29 | 7.70+7.58 · n=29 | — | |
| KSAT | 3.50+2.39 · n=29 | 3.86+2.40 · n=29 | 3.96+2.37 · n=29 | 4.04+2.51 · n=29 | 4.42+2.80 · n=29 | 4.64+2.87 · n=29 | 4.76+2.56 · n=29 | 4.50+2.34 · n=29 | 5.65+2.75 · n=29 | 5.73+1.51 · n=29 | |
| KSEA | 1.94+1.62 · n=29 | 1.88+1.34 · n=29 | 2.05+0.98 · n=29 | 1.77+0.78 · n=29 | 2.23+0.61 · n=29 | 2.04+0.42 · n=29 | 2.74−0.38 · n=29 | 2.99−0.61 · n=29 | 2.79−0.73 · n=29 | — | |
| KSFO | 3.10+2.33 · n=29 | 3.08+2.18 · n=29 | 3.36+2.20 · n=29 | 3.78+2.47 · n=29 | 3.70+2.51 · n=29 | 3.53+2.40 · n=29 | 4.21+2.35 · n=29 | 3.21+1.83 · n=29 | 3.44+2.40 · n=29 | — | |
| KTTN | 5.76+5.76 · n=29 | 5.60+5.60 · n=29 | 5.33+5.29 · n=29 | 5.29+5.20 · n=29 | 5.62+4.87 · n=29 | 5.43+3.87 · n=29 | 6.23+3.68 · n=29 | 7.44+4.78 · n=29 | 7.31+5.33 · n=29 | 7.79+5.61 · n=29 |
Native daily maximum vs NWS CLI
| Station | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KATL | 1.52+1.30 · n=29 | 2.11+1.62 · n=29 | 1.88+1.15 · n=29 | 2.22+1.78 · n=29 | 2.65+1.81 · n=29 | 3.36+1.16 · n=29 | 3.61+0.89 · n=29 | 5.21−0.11 · n=29 | 4.78−1.16 · n=29 | — | |
| KAUS | 2.34−1.63 · n=29 | 2.98−1.91 · n=29 | 2.71−1.97 · n=29 | 2.65−1.62 · n=29 | 3.29−1.90 · n=29 | 4.61−2.60 · n=29 | 5.67−2.87 · n=29 | 6.12−3.16 · n=29 | 8.01−3.99 · n=29 | — | |
| KBOS | 2.51−0.38 · n=29 | 2.29−0.48 · n=29 | 3.02−0.54 · n=29 | 3.20−0.01 · n=29 | 4.69−0.23 · n=29 | 4.64−0.22 · n=29 | 4.41−1.53 · n=29 | 5.80−1.17 · n=29 | 6.52−1.13 · n=29 | — | |
| KDCA | 1.86−0.37 · n=29 | 2.59−0.65 · n=29 | 3.05−0.53 · n=29 | 3.35−0.61 · n=29 | 3.36−0.81 · n=29 | 3.68−1.79 · n=29 | 5.08−2.37 · n=29 | 5.65−1.58 · n=29 | 7.52−2.25 · n=29 | — | |
| KDEN | 1.65−0.20 · n=29 | 1.93−0.40 · n=29 | 2.49−0.22 · n=29 | 3.27−0.09 · n=29 | 4.54−0.16 · n=29 | 5.15−0.46 · n=29 | 6.02+0.15 · n=29 | 7.09−1.03 · n=29 | 9.11−3.64 · n=29 | — | |
| KDFW | 1.60−0.99 · n=29 | 1.88−1.16 · n=29 | 2.23−1.12 · n=29 | 2.35−1.11 · n=29 | 2.50−0.67 · n=29 | 3.65−1.34 · n=29 | 5.42−2.03 · n=29 | 5.28−2.22 · n=29 | 7.23−2.76 · n=29 | — | |
| KEWR | 2.40−0.58 · n=29 | 2.76−1.11 · n=29 | 2.59−1.03 · n=29 | 3.10−0.78 · n=29 | 3.09−1.34 · n=29 | 3.58−2.14 · n=29 | 4.81−2.96 · n=29 | 5.13−2.57 · n=29 | 6.35−2.50 · n=29 | — | |
| KIAH | 2.09−1.32 · n=29 | 1.95−1.23 · n=29 | 2.13−0.82 · n=29 | 2.39−0.63 · n=29 | 3.36−1.56 · n=29 | 3.65−0.87 · n=29 | 4.59−1.18 · n=29 | 4.88−2.53 · n=29 | 6.88−3.99 · n=29 | — | |
| KLAS | 3.61−3.61 · n=29 | 3.50−3.32 · n=29 | 3.43−3.04 · n=29 | 3.82−3.14 · n=29 | 3.47−2.28 · n=29 | 3.75−1.17 · n=29 | 3.85−0.82 · n=29 | 4.61−1.76 · n=29 | 6.33−2.11 · n=29 | — | |
| KLAX | 3.18−1.60 · n=29 | 3.64−1.82 · n=29 | 3.62−2.00 · n=29 | 3.82−1.71 · n=29 | 4.70−1.63 · n=29 | 5.14−0.61 · n=29 | 5.53−0.02 · n=29 | 6.26−0.29 · n=29 | 6.95+0.01 · n=29 | — | |
| KMIA | 0.97−0.24 · n=29 | 1.36−0.20 · n=29 | 1.45−0.63 · n=29 | 1.46−0.51 · n=29 | 1.52−0.65 · n=29 | 1.46−0.26 · n=29 | 1.78−0.08 · n=29 | 1.78−0.30 · n=29 | 2.32+0.20 · n=29 | — | |
| KMSP | 2.22−0.30 · n=29 | 2.26−0.30 · n=29 | 2.66−1.00 · n=29 | 2.62−1.23 · n=29 | 5.27−2.26 · n=29 | 7.17−4.27 · n=29 | 7.84−3.84 · n=29 | 9.72−4.60 · n=29 | 9.86−5.03 · n=29 | — | |
| KMSY | 2.53−2.23 · n=29 | 2.66−2.58 · n=29 | 3.09−3.03 · n=29 | 3.21−3.11 · n=29 | 3.17−2.86 · n=29 | 3.54−2.44 · n=29 | 3.07−2.36 · n=29 | 4.08−3.25 · n=29 | 4.65−3.31 · n=29 | — | |
| KNYC | 3.23+3.00 · n=29 | 2.85+2.43 · n=29 | 2.92+2.57 · n=29 | 3.55+2.87 · n=29 | 3.49+2.37 · n=29 | 3.17+1.61 · n=29 | 3.43+0.63 · n=29 | 4.88+0.83 · n=29 | 5.86+1.09 · n=29 | — | |
| KOKC | 2.55−0.93 · n=29 | 2.51−1.16 · n=29 | 2.93−0.63 · n=29 | 2.87−0.65 · n=29 | 3.31−0.86 · n=29 | 4.95−1.33 · n=29 | 6.32−0.86 · n=29 | 7.09−1.24 · n=29 | 8.26−1.52 · n=29 | — | |
| KORD | 1.33−1.15 · n=29 | 1.79−1.59 · n=29 | 1.90−1.06 · n=29 | 2.86−1.35 · n=29 | 3.17−2.36 · n=29 | 4.93−3.71 · n=29 | 6.17−4.14 · n=29 | 6.74−3.72 · n=29 | 8.29−4.19 · n=29 | — | |
| KPHL | 2.12−1.40 · n=29 | 2.26−1.83 · n=29 | 2.60−1.94 · n=29 | 2.83−1.81 · n=29 | 3.10−2.15 · n=29 | 4.23−3.41 · n=29 | 5.61−3.77 · n=29 | 5.86−3.15 · n=29 | 7.24−3.66 · n=29 | — | |
| KPHX | 2.82−2.55 · n=29 | 2.98−2.69 · n=29 | 3.37−2.62 · n=29 | 2.87−2.15 · n=29 | 2.81−1.79 · n=29 | 3.58−0.80 · n=29 | 4.62−0.19 · n=29 | 4.45−0.17 · n=29 | 5.37−0.95 · n=29 | — | |
| KSAN | 2.95−2.47 · n=29 | 3.32−2.76 · n=29 | 3.52−2.96 · n=29 | 3.85−2.92 · n=29 | 4.25−2.87 · n=29 | 4.38−2.11 · n=29 | 4.73−1.85 · n=29 | 6.24−2.40 · n=29 | 6.55−2.11 · n=29 | — | |
| KSAT | 1.69−0.63 · n=29 | 1.94−1.21 · n=29 | 1.97−1.30 · n=29 | 1.89−0.94 · n=29 | 2.61−1.04 · n=29 | 3.48−1.67 · n=29 | 4.08−1.43 · n=29 | 5.79−2.25 · n=29 | 6.34−2.51 · n=29 | — | |
| KSEA | 2.93+0.81 · n=29 | 2.90+0.90 · n=29 | 3.33+0.32 · n=29 | 2.77+1.38 · n=29 | 3.33+0.89 · n=29 | 3.23−0.08 · n=29 | 4.08+0.16 · n=29 | 4.75+0.11 · n=29 | 4.89+0.15 · n=29 | — | |
| KSFO | 3.34−2.50 · n=29 | 3.33−2.84 · n=29 | 3.75−2.86 · n=29 | 3.75−2.54 · n=29 | 3.96−2.31 · n=29 | 4.51−2.44 · n=29 | 4.27−2.65 · n=29 | 4.52−2.31 · n=29 | 5.77−1.59 · n=29 | — | |
| KTTN | 1.81−0.15 · n=29 | 2.22−0.58 · n=29 | 2.13−0.77 · n=29 | 2.98−0.31 · n=29 | 2.97−0.84 · n=29 | 3.18−1.86 · n=29 | 5.11−2.45 · n=29 | 5.36−1.83 · n=29 | 6.87−2.10 · n=29 | — |
Native daily minimum vs NWS CLI
| Station | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KATL | 2.05+0.97 · n=29 | 2.06+1.33 · n=29 | 2.29+1.79 · n=29 | 2.21+1.93 · n=29 | 3.03+2.49 · n=29 | 3.18+2.46 · n=29 | 3.85+2.39 · n=29 | 4.45+2.04 · n=29 | 4.73+1.99 · n=29 | — | |
| KAUS | 5.88+5.04 · n=29 | 6.26+5.09 · n=29 | 6.23+5.38 · n=29 | 6.31+5.50 · n=29 | 6.86+5.62 · n=29 | 7.13+5.86 · n=29 | 7.70+5.81 · n=29 | 7.47+4.89 · n=29 | 8.29+5.46 · n=29 | — | |
| KBOS | 1.95+0.55 · n=29 | 2.01+0.05 · n=29 | 1.99+0.11 · n=29 | 2.50+0.11 · n=29 | 3.04−0.66 · n=29 | 3.55−1.51 · n=29 | 3.95−0.61 · n=29 | 4.46−0.07 · n=29 | 4.90−0.15 · n=29 | — | |
| KDCA | 2.06−0.35 · n=29 | 2.56−0.92 · n=29 | 2.28−0.71 · n=29 | 2.23−1.13 · n=29 | 2.89−2.09 · n=29 | 3.81−2.70 · n=29 | 4.39−2.74 · n=29 | 4.21−1.90 · n=29 | 4.41−2.05 · n=29 | — | |
| KDEN | 3.21+1.22 · n=29 | 3.68+1.28 · n=29 | 3.10+1.48 · n=29 | 3.34+1.52 · n=29 | 3.62+0.63 · n=29 | 3.82−0.87 · n=29 | 3.39−0.99 · n=29 | 4.40−3.05 · n=29 | 6.23−3.78 · n=29 | — | |
| KDFW | 4.43+4.26 · n=29 | 4.36+4.10 · n=29 | 4.81+4.29 · n=29 | 5.22+4.63 · n=29 | 5.24+5.10 · n=29 | 5.69+4.69 · n=29 | 5.98+4.22 · n=29 | 6.85+3.06 · n=29 | 7.14+2.13 · n=29 | — | |
| KEWR | 4.29+3.68 · n=29 | 4.07+3.48 · n=29 | 3.89+3.12 · n=29 | 3.93+2.82 · n=29 | 4.77+2.45 · n=29 | 4.64+0.97 · n=29 | 5.06+1.45 · n=29 | 5.23+2.61 · n=29 | 5.66+2.31 · n=29 | — | |
| KIAH | 5.49+5.30 · n=29 | 5.61+5.27 · n=29 | 5.98+5.72 · n=29 | 6.24+5.93 · n=29 | 6.13+5.61 · n=29 | 6.00+5.60 · n=29 | 6.64+5.97 · n=29 | 6.85+4.90 · n=29 | 6.90+5.12 · n=29 | — | |
| KLAS | 2.36−0.04 · n=29 | 2.26+0.07 · n=29 | 2.50+0.37 · n=29 | 2.48+0.29 · n=29 | 2.39+0.67 · n=29 | 2.99+1.15 · n=29 | 2.92+0.89 · n=29 | 3.17+0.11 · n=29 | 4.60+0.27 · n=29 | — | |
| KLAX | 4.92+4.92 · n=29 | 4.80+4.72 · n=29 | 4.70+4.60 · n=29 | 4.67+4.66 · n=29 | 5.11+4.76 · n=29 | 5.81+5.61 · n=29 | 6.15+5.98 · n=29 | 6.10+6.07 · n=29 | 6.24+5.71 · n=29 | — | |
| KMIA | 2.93+2.82 · n=29 | 2.77+2.75 · n=29 | 2.64+2.64 · n=29 | 2.78+2.76 · n=29 | 2.88+2.88 · n=29 | 3.11+3.06 · n=29 | 3.18+3.10 · n=29 | 3.49+3.27 · n=29 | 3.66+3.29 · n=29 | — | |
| KMSP | 2.88+2.37 · n=29 | 2.81+2.03 · n=29 | 2.66+1.79 · n=29 | 3.04+2.11 · n=29 | 3.63−0.01 · n=29 | 5.14−0.47 · n=29 | 5.31−1.91 · n=29 | 6.12−1.61 · n=29 | 7.23−2.50 · n=29 | — | |
| KMSY | 3.19+2.31 · n=29 | 2.96+2.10 · n=29 | 3.03+2.23 · n=29 | 3.26+2.38 · n=29 | 3.76+2.85 · n=29 | 4.78+3.60 · n=29 | 5.07+3.56 · n=29 | 5.67+3.21 · n=29 | 6.46+3.71 · n=29 | — | |
| KNYC | 2.76+2.16 · n=29 | 2.62+2.02 · n=29 | 2.47+1.63 · n=29 | 2.70+1.41 · n=29 | 3.58+1.14 · n=29 | 3.48−0.27 · n=29 | 4.00+0.16 · n=29 | 4.35+1.40 · n=29 | 4.89+0.97 · n=29 | — | |
| KOKC | 3.45+2.82 · n=29 | 3.31+2.52 · n=29 | 3.20+2.73 · n=29 | 3.48+2.71 · n=29 | 4.31+3.20 · n=29 | 5.18+3.29 · n=29 | 5.66+2.20 · n=29 | 5.97+1.47 · n=29 | 6.74−0.59 · n=29 | — | |
| KORD | 3.97+3.71 · n=29 | 3.75+3.62 · n=29 | 4.20+3.98 · n=29 | 4.12+3.36 · n=29 | 4.20+2.78 · n=29 | 5.16+2.32 · n=29 | 5.37+1.68 · n=29 | 6.26−0.27 · n=29 | 6.92+0.49 · n=29 | — | |
| KPHL | 2.31+0.77 · n=29 | 2.34+0.55 · n=29 | 2.41+0.32 · n=29 | 2.48−0.26 · n=29 | 3.67−1.36 · n=29 | 4.60−2.22 · n=29 | 4.93−1.79 · n=29 | 5.11−1.07 · n=29 | 5.07−1.16 · n=29 | — | |
| KPHX | 3.52+2.44 · n=29 | 3.69+2.62 · n=29 | 3.92+3.04 · n=29 | 3.99+3.47 · n=29 | 4.12+3.33 · n=29 | 4.61+3.58 · n=29 | 5.11+3.98 · n=29 | 5.76+3.89 · n=29 | 6.76+4.03 · n=29 | — | |
| KSAN | 5.77+5.77 · n=29 | 5.74+5.74 · n=29 | 5.57+5.57 · n=29 | 5.44+5.44 · n=29 | 5.58+5.58 · n=29 | 6.31+6.18 · n=29 | 6.33+6.33 · n=29 | 6.36+6.28 · n=29 | 6.53+6.34 · n=29 | — | |
| KSAT | 3.12+1.51 · n=29 | 3.60+1.71 · n=29 | 3.47+1.60 · n=29 | 3.72+1.88 · n=29 | 4.05+2.09 · n=29 | 4.18+2.06 · n=29 | 4.75+2.20 · n=29 | 4.47+1.35 · n=29 | 5.29+1.92 · n=29 | — | |
| KSEA | 1.53−0.05 · n=29 | 1.50−0.51 · n=29 | 1.95−0.85 · n=29 | 1.70−0.85 · n=29 | 2.13−1.34 · n=29 | 2.38−1.39 · n=29 | 3.03−1.97 · n=29 | 3.51−2.18 · n=29 | 3.41−2.20 · n=29 | — | |
| KSFO | 2.80+1.03 · n=29 | 2.82+1.01 · n=29 | 3.15+0.90 · n=29 | 3.32+1.24 · n=29 | 3.35+1.34 · n=29 | 3.08+1.32 · n=29 | 3.60+1.06 · n=29 | 2.79+0.58 · n=29 | 2.83+1.14 · n=29 | — | |
| KTTN | 4.38+4.01 · n=29 | 4.18+3.71 · n=29 | 4.03+3.47 · n=29 | 3.99+3.27 · n=29 | 4.86+2.57 · n=29 | 4.67+1.32 · n=29 | 5.62+1.92 · n=29 | 6.14+3.01 · n=29 | 5.70+2.68 · n=29 | — |
Month-by-month slices live on the canonical page: they do not depend on the window, initialization or interpolation selected here.
Source and licence
Where the numbers come from, what may be done with them, and what was — deliberately — not done to the forecast before scoring it.
Where it comes from
gfs · pgrb2.0p25
Steps every 6 h to 240 h; sampled at 00/06/12/18 UTC only.
Licence
NOAA/NCEP, U.S. Government work, public domain.
Post-processing
None. Raw grid values, bilinear (headline) or nearest-node interpolation, no MOS, no bias correction, no downscaling.