Model
NCEP GFS
gfs
source gfs · product pgrb2.0p25 · steps every 6 h to 240 h · initializations 0, 12 UTC · native extreme fields TMAX, TMIN (diagnostic only, never in the headline ranking). Scores use the latest model version segment, gfs-0p25, starting 2026-08-01. Earlier days ran a different version of the model and are excluded rather than silently pooled into the same average.
Instantaneous temperature — MAE °F by stationt2
Scored against the observed 2 m temperature at the same instant (ASOS routine METAR). This is the headline variable: the same four instants on the forecast and the observation side. These pages are always bilinear interpolation, the headline method. The nearest-node variant, and every other window/initialization/interpolation/variable combination, is published on each permanent link below — follow any number.
| Station | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KATL | — | 3.13+0.90 · n=29 | 3.05−0.03 · n=28 | 3.33+0.71 · n=27 | 3.40+0.85 · n=26 | 3.69+0.46 · n=25 | 3.77−0.26 · n=24 | 3.61−0.20 · n=23 | 4.04−0.38 · n=22 | 4.33−0.16 · n=21 | |
| KAUS | — | 3.15+2.18 · n=29 | 3.02+2.17 · n=28 | 2.89+2.08 · n=27 | 3.01+2.07 · n=26 | 3.12+1.78 · n=25 | 3.24+1.99 · n=24 | 3.45+2.14 · n=23 | 3.38+2.14 · n=22 | 3.81+2.10 · n=21 | |
| KBOS | — | 3.01−1.47 · n=26 | 3.64−1.92 · n=25 | 3.99−2.79 · n=24 | 4.34−2.92 · n=23 | 3.89−2.69 · n=22 | 3.98−2.45 · n=21 | 3.96−1.40 · n=20 | 4.98−1.81 · n=19 | 6.78−1.86 · n=18 | |
| KDCA | — | 3.61−1.94 · n=29 | 3.79−2.24 · n=28 | 4.05−1.81 · n=27 | 4.20−2.11 · n=26 | 4.80−2.69 · n=25 | 5.13−2.89 · n=24 | 5.41−2.45 · n=23 | 5.28−2.67 · n=22 | 6.44−2.58 · n=21 | |
| KDEN | — | 4.21+1.17 · n=28 | 4.45+1.62 · n=27 | 4.41+2.07 · n=26 | 4.72+1.94 · n=25 | 4.38+0.79 · n=24 | 5.00+0.72 · n=23 | 4.96+2.26 · n=22 | 5.87+1.27 · n=21 | 5.78+0.25 · n=20 | |
| KDFW | — | 3.64+3.28 · n=29 | 3.91+3.76 · n=28 | 4.11+3.77 · n=27 | 3.79+3.62 · n=26 | 3.63+3.24 · n=25 | 4.15+3.25 · n=24 | 4.68+3.27 · n=23 | 4.33+3.19 · n=22 | 5.08+2.91 · n=21 | |
| KEWR | — | 1.83+0.45 · n=29 | 2.21+0.38 · n=28 | 2.81+0.44 · n=27 | 3.03+0.04 · n=26 | 3.40+0.40 · n=25 | 3.94+0.48 · n=24 | 3.88+0.74 · n=23 | 3.85+0.65 · n=22 | 4.62+0.51 · n=21 | |
| KIAH | — | 3.14+2.85 · n=29 | 3.14+2.81 · n=28 | 3.19+2.73 · n=27 | 3.25+2.68 · n=26 | 3.45+2.53 · n=25 | 3.29+2.35 · n=24 | 3.49+2.58 · n=23 | 3.82+2.29 · n=22 | 3.79+2.42 · n=21 | |
| KLAS | — | 4.01−3.04 · n=28 | 3.40−1.94 · n=27 | 3.68−1.62 · n=26 | 4.00−1.50 · n=25 | 4.05−1.18 · n=24 | 4.91−2.28 · n=23 | 6.26−2.97 · n=22 | 6.34−2.48 · n=21 | 5.79−2.14 · n=20 | |
| KLAX | — | 2.63+2.24 · n=28 | 2.94+2.47 · n=27 | 3.02+2.66 · n=26 | 2.95+2.56 · n=25 | 2.91+2.51 · n=24 | 2.70+2.35 · n=23 | 2.79+2.23 · n=22 | 3.04+1.77 · n=21 | 2.82+1.45 · n=20 | |
| KMIA | — | 2.41+1.81 · n=29 | 2.45+1.93 · n=28 | 2.25+1.64 · n=27 | 2.33+1.60 · n=26 | 2.11+1.37 · n=25 | 2.05+1.09 · n=24 | 1.96+1.00 · n=23 | 2.13+0.95 · n=22 | 2.08+0.89 · n=21 | |
| KMSP | — | 3.59+1.71 · n=29 | 3.77+1.43 · n=28 | 4.27+1.89 · n=27 | 4.25+1.76 · n=26 | 5.54+0.74 · n=25 | 5.30−0.04 · n=24 | 4.79−0.44 · n=23 | 6.31−1.71 · n=22 | 6.22−1.42 · n=21 | |
| KMSY | — | 2.19−1.03 · n=29 | 2.00−0.77 · n=28 | 2.35−0.78 · n=27 | 2.58−0.80 · n=26 | 2.46−0.88 · n=25 | 2.84−1.00 · n=24 | 2.53−0.60 · n=23 | 2.65−0.79 · n=22 | 2.79−1.40 · n=21 | |
| KNYC | — | 3.46+3.25 · n=29 | 3.66+3.22 · n=28 | 4.09+3.16 · n=27 | 3.87+2.94 · n=26 | 4.43+3.33 · n=25 | 4.72+3.25 · n=24 | 4.78+3.56 · n=23 | 4.82+3.46 · n=22 | 4.81+2.98 · n=21 | |
| KOKC | — | 4.51+2.92 · n=29 | 4.85+3.81 · n=28 | 5.72+4.42 · n=27 | 5.40+4.23 · n=26 | 5.54+3.59 · n=25 | 6.02+2.99 · n=24 | 5.62+3.58 · n=23 | 5.83+4.15 · n=22 | 6.04+2.12 · n=21 | |
| KORD | — | 2.07−0.72 · n=29 | 2.45−0.12 · n=28 | 2.85+0.38 · n=27 | 2.98−0.20 · n=26 | 2.98−0.34 · n=25 | 3.29−0.24 · n=24 | 3.94−1.39 · n=23 | 4.78−0.53 · n=22 | 4.68−1.34 · n=21 | |
| KPHL | — | 2.94−1.53 · n=29 | 2.93−1.65 · n=28 | 3.03−1.24 · n=27 | 3.84−1.81 · n=26 | 3.78−1.82 · n=25 | 4.30−2.05 · n=24 | 4.12−1.46 · n=23 | 4.66−1.52 · n=22 | 5.29−1.71 · n=21 | |
| KPHX | — | 2.56−0.44 · n=28 | 3.00−0.44 · n=27 | 3.03−0.23 · n=26 | 3.11−0.67 · n=25 | 3.64−1.20 · n=24 | 4.01−1.64 · n=23 | 4.43−1.26 · n=22 | 4.31−1.31 · n=21 | 4.10−1.67 · n=20 | |
| KSAN | — | 1.73+0.72 · n=28 | 1.86+0.85 · n=27 | 1.89+0.95 · n=26 | 1.86+0.74 · n=25 | 1.92+0.57 · n=24 | 1.84+0.55 · n=23 | 1.92+0.51 · n=22 | 2.00+0.17 · n=21 | 2.04+0.12 · n=20 | |
| KSAT | — | 2.16+0.66 · n=29 | 2.36+0.67 · n=28 | 2.57+0.59 · n=27 | 2.75+0.77 · n=26 | 2.60+0.79 · n=25 | 2.78+0.94 · n=24 | 2.91+0.90 · n=23 | 3.02+0.99 · n=22 | 3.41+0.72 · n=21 | |
| KSEA | — | 4.62+1.52 · n=28 | 4.90+1.32 · n=27 | 4.97+1.78 · n=26 | 4.79+1.61 · n=25 | 4.84+1.15 · n=24 | 4.76+1.32 · n=23 | 4.75+0.58 · n=22 | 4.98+0.90 · n=21 | 5.76+1.47 · n=20 | |
| KSFO | — | 1.86−0.48 · n=28 | 1.91−0.37 · n=27 | 1.93−0.50 · n=26 | 1.85−0.54 · n=25 | 1.79−0.48 · n=24 | 1.78−0.72 · n=23 | 1.89−1.03 · n=22 | 2.04−1.20 · n=21 | 2.16−1.27 · n=20 | |
| KTTN | — | 2.62+0.84 · n=29 | 2.89+0.42 · n=28 | 3.09+0.92 · n=27 | 3.63+0.42 · n=26 | 4.08+0.73 · n=25 | 4.60+0.54 · n=24 | 4.55+1.20 · n=23 | 4.92+0.96 · n=22 | 5.41+1.04 · n=21 |
Up to 1 of the scored days in this table carry a QC flag on the observation (a CLI value that disagreed with the hourly observations, or a fallback source). They are kept in the scores and counted here rather than dropped — see methodology.
+ model too warm − model too cold bias interval includes zero ★ lowest MAE = not distinguishable from the leader ▼ worse than the leader ▲ better than the leader — all three Holm-corrected within this table, over the family of comparisons against the leader; the uncorrected verdict for every pair is published in the pairwise table of each permanent link and in pairwise_latest.csv.gzn < 30 greyed and unranked CI is a 95 % moving-block bootstrap interval on the group's own days, and reads — when it could not be computed
Sampled daily maximum — MAE °F by stationtmax_s
Scored against the maximum of the four *observed* samples on the same day.
| Station | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KATL | — | 4.43+3.62 · n=29 | 3.75+2.47 · n=28 | 4.46+2.92 · n=27 | 4.76+3.45 · n=26 | 4.18+3.03 · n=25 | 5.00+1.01 · n=24 | 4.00+2.51 · n=23 | 5.17+1.14 · n=22 | 5.68+1.73 · n=21 | |
| KAUS | — | 2.57+2.39 · n=29 | 2.39+2.26 · n=28 | 2.97+2.70 · n=27 | 2.91+2.72 · n=26 | 2.65+2.45 · n=25 | 2.75+2.57 · n=24 | 3.18+2.34 · n=23 | 3.81+2.88 · n=22 | 4.20+2.81 · n=21 | |
| KBOS | — | 3.05+2.04 · n=26 | 3.66+1.45 · n=25 | 4.13−0.54 · n=24 | 4.30+0.39 · n=23 | 3.16+1.00 · n=22 | 4.79+0.67 · n=21 | 4.28+1.97 · n=20 | 6.21+1.15 · n=19 | 8.14+1.62 · n=18 | |
| KDCA | — | 3.04+1.58 · n=29 | 2.90+1.23 · n=28 | 3.43+2.15 · n=27 | 3.34+1.26 · n=26 | 4.66+0.43 · n=25 | 4.64+0.51 · n=24 | 5.96+1.75 · n=23 | 4.97+0.39 · n=22 | 7.16+0.46 · n=21 | |
| KDEN | — | 2.69+1.52 · n=28 | 3.22+1.97 · n=27 | 3.74+2.30 · n=26 | 3.43+1.65 · n=25 | 3.73+0.86 · n=24 | 3.92+0.78 · n=23 | 4.51+2.55 · n=22 | 5.66+0.98 · n=21 | 5.39−0.57 · n=20 | |
| KDFW | — | 4.05+4.05 · n=29 | 4.61+4.61 · n=28 | 4.62+4.62 · n=27 | 4.44+4.37 · n=26 | 4.13+4.07 · n=25 | 4.97+4.73 · n=24 | 4.91+3.71 · n=23 | 4.75+3.53 · n=22 | 4.97+3.67 · n=21 | |
| KEWR | — | 2.29+1.30 · n=29 | 2.31+0.97 · n=28 | 3.36+0.46 · n=27 | 2.90+0.06 · n=26 | 3.46+1.01 · n=25 | 3.74+0.85 · n=24 | 4.22+1.83 · n=23 | 3.37+1.65 · n=22 | 5.07+1.79 · n=21 | |
| KIAH | — | 3.59+3.59 · n=29 | 3.50+3.45 · n=28 | 3.39+3.31 · n=27 | 3.53+3.53 · n=26 | 3.67+2.99 · n=25 | 3.34+2.62 · n=24 | 3.94+3.26 · n=23 | 3.54+3.22 · n=22 | 3.94+3.17 · n=21 | |
| KLAS | — | 4.15−2.83 · n=28 | 3.36−1.64 · n=27 | 3.87−1.54 · n=26 | 3.94−0.95 · n=25 | 4.33−0.67 · n=24 | 5.37−2.27 · n=23 | 6.72−2.48 · n=22 | 6.76−2.32 · n=21 | 6.34−2.11 · n=20 | |
| KLAX | — | 2.15+1.51 · n=28 | 2.49+1.82 · n=27 | 2.45+1.88 · n=26 | 2.38+1.78 · n=25 | 2.26+1.75 · n=24 | 2.25+1.63 · n=23 | 2.44+1.49 · n=22 | 2.49+0.78 · n=21 | 2.72+0.57 · n=20 | |
| KMIA | — | 2.37+0.82 · n=29 | 2.24+0.95 · n=28 | 2.15+0.16 · n=27 | 2.06+0.24 · n=26 | 2.05−0.24 · n=25 | 2.15−0.72 · n=24 | 2.26−0.91 · n=23 | 2.27−0.87 · n=22 | 2.28−1.44 · n=21 | |
| KMSP | — | 4.83+4.83 · n=29 | 4.96+4.26 · n=28 | 5.17+5.04 · n=27 | 5.62+4.67 · n=26 | 6.75+2.74 · n=25 | 5.36+2.93 · n=24 | 3.74+1.47 · n=23 | 6.54+0.22 · n=22 | 4.28+1.06 · n=21 | |
| KMSY | — | 2.31−1.40 · n=29 | 1.91−1.23 · n=28 | 1.97−0.85 · n=27 | 2.34−0.93 · n=26 | 2.09−0.77 · n=25 | 2.78−1.44 · n=24 | 2.17−0.33 · n=23 | 2.42−1.09 · n=22 | 2.02−0.93 · n=21 | |
| KNYC | — | 5.20+5.02 · n=29 | 5.15+4.82 · n=28 | 5.20+4.05 · n=27 | 4.43+4.07 · n=26 | 6.15+5.11 · n=25 | 5.51+4.47 · n=24 | 6.33+5.70 · n=23 | 5.73+5.10 · n=22 | 5.90+4.77 · n=21 | |
| KOKC | — | 5.24+5.13 · n=29 | 5.94+5.57 · n=28 | 6.10+6.07 · n=27 | 5.66+5.52 · n=26 | 5.49+4.87 · n=25 | 6.51+4.28 · n=24 | 5.64+4.96 · n=23 | 5.50+5.47 · n=22 | 5.96+3.09 · n=21 | |
| KORD | — | 2.04+0.55 · n=29 | 2.70+1.91 · n=28 | 2.89+2.42 · n=27 | 2.86+1.03 · n=26 | 2.92+0.83 · n=25 | 2.95+0.95 · n=24 | 3.28−0.89 · n=23 | 4.14+0.82 · n=22 | 4.25−0.51 · n=21 | |
| KPHL | — | 2.55+0.96 · n=29 | 2.41+0.13 · n=28 | 2.68+0.94 · n=27 | 3.22−0.10 · n=26 | 3.34+1.03 · n=25 | 3.92−0.01 · n=24 | 4.07+0.96 · n=23 | 4.29+1.57 · n=22 | 5.73+1.22 · n=21 | |
| KPHX | — | 1.68−0.91 · n=28 | 2.03−0.78 · n=27 | 2.10−0.89 · n=26 | 2.70−2.01 · n=25 | 3.06−2.34 · n=24 | 3.52−2.96 · n=23 | 4.03−3.29 · n=22 | 3.58−3.06 · n=21 | 4.34−3.15 · n=20 | |
| KSAN | — | 1.23−0.54 · n=28 | 1.32−0.51 · n=27 | 1.11−0.52 · n=26 | 1.43−0.74 · n=25 | 1.57−0.95 · n=24 | 1.57−1.06 · n=23 | 2.12−1.06 · n=22 | 2.39−1.30 · n=21 | 2.42−1.33 · n=20 | |
| KSAT | — | 2.17+1.73 · n=29 | 2.06+1.76 · n=28 | 2.25+1.81 · n=27 | 2.65+2.51 · n=26 | 2.36+2.22 · n=25 | 2.74+2.71 · n=24 | 3.02+2.38 · n=23 | 3.28+2.96 · n=22 | 3.69+2.95 · n=21 | |
| KSEA | — | 5.08+4.62 · n=28 | 5.37+4.13 · n=27 | 5.84+5.25 · n=26 | 5.68+4.40 · n=25 | 5.09+3.47 · n=24 | 5.16+4.38 · n=23 | 4.43+3.38 · n=22 | 5.85+3.16 · n=21 | 7.41+4.45 · n=20 | |
| KSFO | — | 2.19−0.50 · n=28 | 2.22−0.29 · n=27 | 2.33−0.48 · n=26 | 2.10−0.40 · n=25 | 2.07−0.31 · n=24 | 2.01−0.84 · n=23 | 2.24−1.01 · n=22 | 2.41−1.51 · n=21 | 2.56−1.63 · n=20 | |
| KTTN | — | 4.15+3.57 · n=29 | 3.92+2.78 · n=28 | 4.16+3.14 · n=27 | 4.42+2.43 · n=26 | 4.99+4.04 · n=25 | 5.25+3.15 · n=24 | 5.57+4.30 · n=23 | 5.77+4.84 · n=22 | 6.53+4.63 · n=21 |
Sampled daily minimum — MAE °F by stationtmin_s
Scored against the minimum of the four *observed* samples on the same day.
| Station | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KATL | — | 1.63+0.13 · n=29 | 1.85−0.48 · n=28 | 1.94+0.02 · n=27 | 2.13+0.58 · n=26 | 2.52+0.49 · n=25 | 2.81+0.25 · n=24 | 2.23−0.52 · n=23 | 2.37−0.25 · n=22 | 2.71+0.22 · n=21 | |
| KAUS | — | 3.08+1.95 · n=29 | 3.18+1.81 · n=28 | 2.51+1.49 · n=27 | 2.67+1.40 · n=26 | 2.69+1.52 · n=25 | 2.88+1.62 · n=24 | 3.12+1.88 · n=23 | 2.96+1.78 · n=22 | 2.68+1.45 · n=21 | |
| KBOS | — | 3.04−2.83 · n=26 | 3.22−2.94 · n=25 | 3.85−3.43 · n=24 | 4.32−4.32 · n=23 | 4.07−4.06 · n=22 | 3.89−3.84 · n=21 | 3.33−2.83 · n=20 | 3.45−2.58 · n=19 | 5.20−3.65 · n=18 | |
| KDCA | — | 3.06−2.68 · n=29 | 3.21−2.84 · n=28 | 3.17−2.96 · n=27 | 4.00−2.92 · n=26 | 3.97−3.48 · n=25 | 4.51−3.56 · n=24 | 4.52−3.68 · n=23 | 4.35−3.18 · n=22 | 5.45−3.14 · n=21 | |
| KDEN | — | 3.19+1.25 · n=28 | 3.04+1.99 · n=27 | 3.46+2.53 · n=26 | 3.43+2.53 · n=25 | 2.96+1.77 · n=24 | 3.29+1.65 · n=23 | 3.49+1.52 · n=22 | 5.04+0.71 · n=21 | 4.16+1.14 · n=20 | |
| KDFW | — | 2.96+2.85 · n=29 | 3.33+3.24 · n=28 | 2.93+2.87 · n=27 | 2.82+2.78 · n=26 | 2.66+2.57 · n=25 | 3.01+2.45 · n=24 | 3.85+2.83 · n=23 | 3.66+2.66 · n=22 | 4.09+2.15 · n=21 | |
| KEWR | — | 1.52+0.69 · n=29 | 2.04+0.76 · n=28 | 2.26+1.40 · n=27 | 2.21+0.80 · n=26 | 2.77+0.66 · n=25 | 3.23+1.30 · n=24 | 3.08+1.12 · n=23 | 3.63+1.12 · n=22 | 3.74+0.64 · n=21 | |
| KIAH | — | 3.03+2.98 · n=29 | 3.15+3.08 · n=28 | 3.15+3.08 · n=27 | 3.02+2.77 · n=26 | 3.32+2.99 · n=25 | 3.22+2.70 · n=24 | 3.16+2.74 · n=23 | 3.25+2.53 · n=22 | 3.29+2.35 · n=21 | |
| KLAS | — | 4.12−2.88 · n=28 | 3.83−2.08 · n=27 | 4.20−1.47 · n=26 | 4.58−1.70 · n=25 | 4.28−1.16 · n=24 | 4.38−1.31 · n=23 | 5.57−2.91 · n=22 | 6.24−2.38 · n=21 | 5.78−1.53 · n=20 | |
| KLAX | — | 2.43+2.24 · n=28 | 2.97+2.70 · n=27 | 3.11+2.86 · n=26 | 3.06+2.83 · n=25 | 2.99+2.79 · n=24 | 2.90+2.78 · n=23 | 2.74+2.55 · n=22 | 2.83+2.24 · n=21 | 2.62+1.61 · n=20 | |
| KMIA | — | 2.48+2.44 · n=29 | 2.56+2.49 · n=28 | 2.45+2.32 · n=27 | 2.55+2.26 · n=26 | 2.39+2.23 · n=25 | 2.34+2.11 · n=24 | 2.17+2.07 · n=23 | 2.59+1.71 · n=22 | 2.21+2.14 · n=21 | |
| KMSP | — | 2.03−1.12 · n=29 | 2.39−1.16 · n=28 | 3.40−0.60 · n=27 | 2.45−0.98 · n=26 | 4.36−1.08 · n=25 | 4.74−2.40 · n=24 | 5.27−1.71 · n=23 | 5.44−3.09 · n=22 | 6.25−2.97 · n=21 | |
| KMSY | — | 1.22−0.55 · n=29 | 1.32−0.25 · n=28 | 1.40−0.37 · n=27 | 1.47−0.29 · n=26 | 1.63−0.37 · n=25 | 1.89−0.32 · n=24 | 1.85−0.39 · n=23 | 1.69−0.40 · n=22 | 1.54−1.11 · n=21 | |
| KNYC | — | 2.62+2.54 · n=29 | 2.79+2.67 · n=28 | 3.49+3.22 · n=27 | 2.99+2.63 · n=26 | 3.49+2.76 · n=25 | 4.16+3.41 · n=24 | 4.29+3.19 · n=23 | 4.46+3.24 · n=22 | 3.99+2.60 · n=21 | |
| KOKC | — | 3.07+1.09 · n=29 | 3.17+2.02 · n=28 | 3.87+2.12 · n=27 | 3.85+2.87 · n=26 | 4.54+2.39 · n=25 | 4.38+1.23 · n=24 | 4.37+2.07 · n=23 | 4.55+3.01 · n=22 | 4.96+0.88 · n=21 | |
| KORD | — | 1.59−1.18 · n=29 | 1.78−1.15 · n=28 | 2.17−0.50 · n=27 | 2.49−0.56 · n=26 | 1.84−0.54 · n=25 | 2.59−0.21 · n=24 | 3.24−1.01 · n=23 | 4.80−0.78 · n=22 | 3.99−1.22 · n=21 | |
| KPHL | — | 2.22−2.10 · n=29 | 2.39−1.83 · n=28 | 2.56−1.52 · n=27 | 2.74−1.80 · n=26 | 2.92−2.20 · n=25 | 3.54−1.94 · n=24 | 3.22−1.68 · n=23 | 4.11−1.84 · n=22 | 4.27−1.94 · n=21 | |
| KPHX | — | 3.11+1.27 · n=28 | 3.27+1.36 · n=27 | 3.49+1.82 · n=26 | 3.18+1.95 · n=25 | 2.96+1.31 · n=24 | 3.77+1.28 · n=23 | 4.47+1.41 · n=22 | 4.80+1.41 · n=21 | 2.86+1.51 · n=20 | |
| KSAN | — | 1.72+1.38 · n=28 | 2.04+1.64 · n=27 | 2.16+1.74 · n=26 | 2.15+1.77 · n=25 | 2.12+1.71 · n=24 | 2.07+1.74 · n=23 | 1.78+1.63 · n=22 | 1.55+1.25 · n=21 | 1.62+0.95 · n=20 | |
| KSAT | — | 1.85−1.29 · n=29 | 2.12−1.41 · n=28 | 2.21−1.62 · n=27 | 2.27−1.56 · n=26 | 2.29−1.53 · n=25 | 2.38−1.68 · n=24 | 2.36−1.54 · n=23 | 2.39−1.74 · n=22 | 2.28−1.63 · n=21 | |
| KSEA | — | 2.21−2.02 · n=28 | 2.63−2.34 · n=27 | 2.52−2.11 · n=26 | 2.02−1.71 · n=25 | 2.40−1.86 · n=24 | 2.59−1.95 · n=23 | 3.25−2.25 · n=22 | 2.93−2.51 · n=21 | 3.51−1.69 · n=20 | |
| KSFO | — | 1.30−0.87 · n=28 | 1.12−0.71 · n=27 | 1.20−0.79 · n=26 | 1.40−0.99 · n=25 | 1.26−1.00 · n=24 | 1.16−1.01 · n=23 | 1.28−1.17 · n=22 | 1.54−1.32 · n=21 | 1.45−1.23 · n=20 | |
| KTTN | — | 1.51+0.05 · n=29 | 2.09−0.11 · n=28 | 2.16+0.69 · n=27 | 2.38+0.26 · n=26 | 3.44−0.11 · n=25 | 4.02+0.24 · n=24 | 3.65+0.85 · n=23 | 4.04+0.42 · n=22 | 4.97−0.00 · n=21 |
Against the NWS daily extremes (secondary)
This comparison scores four 6-hourly forecast samples against the true daily extreme, so it includes a sampling penalty. The size of that penalty depends on each model's own diurnal amplitude, which is one of the things this site measures, so these numbers are published for operational relevance and are never used for ranking.
Daily maximum vs NWS CLI
| Station | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KATL | — | 2.19+0.27 · n=29 | 3.16−0.92 · n=28 | 2.94−0.45 · n=27 | 3.03+0.11 · n=26 | 3.11−0.29 · n=25 | 4.97−2.20 · n=24 | 2.74−0.66 · n=23 | 4.43−2.04 · n=22 | 5.27−1.46 · n=21 | |
| KAUS | — | 1.58−1.11 · n=29 | 1.55−1.29 · n=28 | 1.43−0.91 · n=27 | 1.51−0.91 · n=26 | 1.67−1.20 · n=25 | 1.83−1.03 · n=24 | 2.32−1.15 · n=23 | 1.87−0.54 · n=22 | 2.53−0.45 · n=21 | |
| KBOS | — | 2.22−0.29 · n=28 | 2.90−0.81 · n=27 | 4.14−2.27 · n=26 | 3.99−0.94 · n=25 | 3.59−0.76 · n=24 | 3.94−1.20 · n=23 | 4.40−0.26 · n=22 | 6.86−0.99 · n=21 | 8.21+0.68 · n=20 | |
| KDCA | — | 2.62−1.00 · n=29 | 3.21−1.26 · n=28 | 2.87−0.29 · n=27 | 3.03−1.23 · n=26 | 3.98−2.04 · n=25 | 4.33−1.98 · n=24 | 4.97−0.72 · n=23 | 4.85−2.19 · n=22 | 7.45−2.10 · n=21 | |
| KDEN | — | 3.91−2.87 · n=29 | 3.83−2.42 · n=28 | 3.84−2.13 · n=27 | 3.55−2.72 · n=26 | 3.94−3.47 · n=25 | 5.11−3.52 · n=24 | 3.31−1.87 · n=23 | 5.38−3.35 · n=22 | 7.11−4.79 · n=21 | |
| KDFW | — | 1.83+0.88 · n=29 | 1.99+1.40 · n=28 | 1.83+1.40 · n=27 | 2.12+1.17 · n=26 | 1.42+0.87 · n=25 | 2.23+1.52 · n=24 | 3.17+0.44 · n=23 | 3.24+0.34 · n=22 | 3.13+0.58 · n=21 | |
| KEWR | — | 1.99−1.02 · n=29 | 2.37−1.40 · n=28 | 2.87−1.67 · n=27 | 3.52−2.11 · n=26 | 2.88−1.20 · n=25 | 3.43−1.33 · n=24 | 3.64−0.36 · n=23 | 3.31−0.55 · n=22 | 4.97−0.46 · n=21 | |
| KIAH | — | 1.28−0.20 · n=29 | 1.53−0.34 · n=28 | 1.97−0.47 · n=27 | 1.74−0.20 · n=26 | 2.23−0.77 · n=25 | 1.92−1.21 · n=24 | 2.40−0.61 · n=23 | 2.40−0.69 · n=22 | 2.50−0.73 · n=21 | |
| KLAS | — | 5.22−4.64 · n=29 | 4.29−3.47 · n=28 | 4.38−3.43 · n=27 | 4.28−2.88 · n=26 | 4.51−2.53 · n=25 | 5.61−4.17 · n=24 | 6.80−4.09 · n=23 | 7.05−3.89 · n=22 | 6.55−3.78 · n=21 | |
| KLAX | — | 1.90−0.88 · n=29 | 2.15−0.63 · n=28 | 2.02−0.59 · n=27 | 2.13−0.68 · n=26 | 1.80−0.65 · n=25 | 1.80−0.87 · n=24 | 2.18−0.69 · n=23 | 2.82−1.42 · n=22 | 2.80−1.88 · n=21 | |
| KMIA | — | 1.90−1.63 · n=29 | 1.74−1.41 · n=28 | 2.09−1.88 · n=27 | 2.08−1.76 · n=26 | 2.38−2.08 · n=25 | 2.58−2.51 · n=24 | 2.79−2.73 · n=23 | 2.82−2.73 · n=22 | 3.40−3.40 · n=21 | |
| KMSP | — | 2.53+2.21 · n=29 | 3.64+1.61 · n=28 | 3.78+2.37 · n=27 | 4.56+1.94 · n=26 | 5.64−0.06 · n=25 | 4.60+0.09 · n=24 | 3.82−1.27 · n=23 | 6.22−2.55 · n=22 | 4.70−1.70 · n=21 | |
| KMSY | — | 4.84−4.57 · n=29 | 4.48−4.48 · n=28 | 4.10−4.10 · n=27 | 4.47−4.16 · n=26 | 4.31−3.97 · n=25 | 4.90−4.65 · n=24 | 3.97−3.51 · n=23 | 4.48−4.36 · n=22 | 4.52−4.26 · n=21 | |
| KNYC | — | 3.77+2.99 · n=29 | 3.77+2.79 · n=28 | 4.13+2.01 · n=27 | 3.43+1.96 · n=26 | 4.55+3.03 · n=25 | 4.13+2.35 · n=24 | 5.29+3.61 · n=23 | 4.30+3.05 · n=22 | 5.07+2.67 · n=21 | |
| KOKC | — | 2.61+1.78 · n=29 | 3.38+2.18 · n=28 | 3.22+2.69 · n=27 | 3.17+2.18 · n=26 | 2.84+1.51 · n=25 | 4.51+0.91 · n=24 | 3.63+1.66 · n=23 | 3.09+2.19 · n=22 | 4.64−0.10 · n=21 | |
| KORD | — | 2.12−1.73 · n=29 | 2.22−0.27 · n=28 | 2.52+0.24 · n=27 | 3.04−1.16 · n=26 | 2.83−1.37 · n=25 | 3.20−1.17 · n=24 | 4.18−2.97 · n=23 | 4.45−1.22 · n=22 | 4.86−2.60 · n=21 | |
| KPHL | — | 2.60−1.73 · n=29 | 2.85−2.58 · n=28 | 3.02−1.69 · n=27 | 3.53−2.68 · n=26 | 3.16−1.49 · n=25 | 4.47−2.51 · n=24 | 4.69−1.56 · n=23 | 4.64−1.07 · n=22 | 5.98−1.50 · n=21 | |
| KPHX | — | 2.76−2.58 · n=29 | 2.96−2.52 · n=28 | 3.24−2.61 · n=27 | 4.16−3.87 · n=26 | 4.79−4.40 · n=25 | 4.87−4.58 · n=24 | 4.99−4.73 · n=23 | 5.02−4.37 · n=22 | 5.36−4.67 · n=21 | |
| KSAN | — | 2.91−2.91 · n=29 | 2.98−2.91 · n=28 | 2.98−2.98 · n=27 | 3.25−3.24 · n=26 | 3.35−3.35 · n=25 | 3.50−3.50 · n=24 | 3.52−3.44 · n=23 | 3.82−3.55 · n=22 | 3.83−3.71 · n=21 | |
| KSAT | — | 1.65−1.31 · n=29 | 1.65−1.31 · n=28 | 1.66−1.30 · n=27 | 1.31−0.58 · n=26 | 1.14−0.87 · n=25 | 1.26−0.42 · n=24 | 1.98−0.76 · n=23 | 1.76−0.23 · n=22 | 2.07−0.16 · n=21 | |
| KSEA | — | 3.87+2.94 · n=29 | 4.48+2.40 · n=28 | 4.71+3.51 · n=27 | 4.65+2.43 · n=26 | 4.97+2.14 · n=25 | 4.54+2.53 · n=24 | 3.49+1.77 · n=23 | 5.09+1.68 · n=22 | 6.50+2.82 · n=21 | |
| KSFO | — | 4.80−4.57 · n=29 | 4.54−4.14 · n=28 | 4.69−4.22 · n=27 | 4.45−4.20 · n=26 | 4.49−4.18 · n=25 | 5.00−4.60 · n=24 | 4.94−4.81 · n=23 | 5.19−5.19 · n=22 | 5.44−5.44 · n=21 | |
| KTTN | — | 2.73+0.71 · n=29 | 2.90−0.14 · n=28 | 2.85+0.40 · n=27 | 3.79−0.34 · n=26 | 3.52+1.20 · n=25 | 4.09+0.32 · n=24 | 5.12+1.43 · n=23 | 4.44+1.89 · n=22 | 5.83+1.68 · n=21 |
Daily minimum vs NWS CLI
| Station | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KATL | — | 2.17+1.58 · n=29 | 1.91+0.92 · n=28 | 2.22+1.39 · n=27 | 2.66+1.92 · n=26 | 2.92+1.85 · n=25 | 2.91+1.63 · n=24 | 2.33+0.92 · n=23 | 2.46+1.16 · n=22 | 2.96+1.60 · n=21 | |
| KAUS | — | 3.83+3.33 · n=29 | 3.79+3.14 · n=28 | 3.24+2.79 · n=27 | 3.30+2.75 · n=26 | 3.23+2.80 · n=25 | 3.25+2.82 · n=24 | 3.61+2.97 · n=23 | 3.51+2.83 · n=22 | 2.97+2.50 · n=21 | |
| KBOS | — | 1.56−0.64 · n=28 | 1.66−0.76 · n=27 | 2.08−1.39 · n=26 | 2.62−1.85 · n=25 | 2.49−1.76 · n=24 | 2.82−1.48 · n=23 | 2.48−0.38 · n=22 | 2.66−0.21 · n=21 | 3.75−1.17 · n=20 | |
| KDCA | — | 2.42−0.47 · n=29 | 2.50−0.59 · n=28 | 2.25−0.66 · n=27 | 2.87−0.61 · n=26 | 3.02−1.12 · n=25 | 3.96−1.18 · n=24 | 4.01−1.24 · n=23 | 4.01−0.77 · n=22 | 4.71−0.76 · n=21 | |
| KDEN | — | 4.11+3.47 · n=29 | 4.22+4.18 · n=28 | 4.88+4.74 · n=27 | 4.88+4.72 · n=26 | 4.55+4.03 · n=25 | 4.73+4.11 · n=24 | 4.89+3.91 · n=23 | 5.62+3.27 · n=22 | 5.12+3.80 · n=21 | |
| KDFW | — | 3.40+3.40 · n=29 | 3.79+3.71 · n=28 | 3.28+3.28 · n=27 | 3.21+3.20 · n=26 | 3.01+3.01 · n=25 | 3.28+2.91 · n=24 | 4.06+3.31 · n=23 | 3.72+3.16 · n=22 | 3.87+2.67 · n=21 | |
| KEWR | — | 3.35+2.97 · n=29 | 3.47+3.05 · n=28 | 4.01+3.62 · n=27 | 3.56+3.00 · n=26 | 3.89+2.90 · n=25 | 4.23+3.63 · n=24 | 4.57+3.46 · n=23 | 4.64+3.53 · n=22 | 4.38+3.02 · n=21 | |
| KIAH | — | 3.49+3.49 · n=29 | 3.60+3.58 · n=28 | 3.63+3.56 · n=27 | 3.42+3.27 · n=26 | 3.66+3.47 · n=25 | 3.64+3.20 · n=24 | 3.55+3.22 · n=23 | 3.65+3.03 · n=22 | 3.70+2.87 · n=21 | |
| KLAS | — | 3.32−1.52 · n=29 | 3.26−0.71 · n=28 | 3.60−0.12 · n=27 | 3.87−0.34 · n=26 | 3.61+0.25 · n=25 | 4.06−0.05 · n=24 | 4.71−1.37 · n=23 | 5.18−0.77 · n=22 | 5.08−0.22 · n=21 | |
| KLAX | — | 2.98+2.86 · n=29 | 3.47+3.30 · n=28 | 3.58+3.44 · n=27 | 3.49+3.38 · n=26 | 3.53+3.42 · n=25 | 3.38+3.34 · n=24 | 3.30+3.30 · n=23 | 3.33+3.03 · n=22 | 2.98+2.24 · n=21 | |
| KMIA | — | 4.63+4.63 · n=29 | 4.72+4.72 · n=28 | 4.49+4.49 · n=27 | 4.45+4.44 · n=26 | 4.45+4.45 · n=25 | 4.30+4.30 · n=24 | 4.31+4.31 · n=23 | 4.60+3.97 · n=22 | 4.40+4.40 · n=21 | |
| KMSP | — | 1.84−0.08 · n=29 | 2.32−0.12 · n=28 | 3.35+0.44 · n=27 | 2.48+0.10 · n=26 | 4.24+0.04 · n=25 | 4.74−1.27 · n=24 | 5.25−0.75 · n=23 | 5.24−2.09 · n=22 | 6.11−1.97 · n=21 | |
| KMSY | — | 1.47+1.01 · n=29 | 1.73+1.25 · n=28 | 1.67+1.15 · n=27 | 1.91+1.25 · n=26 | 2.10+1.15 · n=25 | 2.19+1.18 · n=24 | 2.21+1.09 · n=23 | 1.94+1.01 · n=22 | 1.70+0.32 · n=21 | |
| KNYC | — | 4.37+4.37 · n=29 | 4.52+4.52 · n=28 | 5.06+5.04 · n=27 | 4.42+4.36 · n=26 | 4.81+4.44 · n=25 | 5.61+5.12 · n=24 | 5.55+4.93 · n=23 | 5.58+5.01 · n=22 | 4.52+4.41 · n=21 | |
| KOKC | — | 3.10+2.37 · n=29 | 3.49+3.34 · n=28 | 4.01+3.45 · n=27 | 4.31+4.26 · n=26 | 4.56+3.79 · n=25 | 4.62+2.65 · n=24 | 5.04+3.20 · n=23 | 5.09+4.19 · n=22 | 5.49+2.07 · n=21 | |
| KORD | — | 1.75+0.44 · n=29 | 2.20+0.42 · n=28 | 2.51+1.02 · n=27 | 2.55+0.98 · n=26 | 2.45+0.86 · n=25 | 2.99+1.21 · n=24 | 3.27+0.38 · n=23 | 4.58+0.62 · n=22 | 4.06+0.12 · n=21 | |
| KPHL | — | 1.82+0.03 · n=29 | 2.05+0.35 · n=28 | 1.75+0.51 · n=27 | 2.48+0.20 · n=26 | 2.65−0.16 · n=25 | 3.06+0.14 · n=24 | 3.53+0.36 · n=23 | 3.93+0.16 · n=22 | 4.27+0.06 · n=21 | |
| KPHX | — | 4.25+2.64 · n=29 | 4.10+2.87 · n=28 | 4.30+3.24 · n=27 | 3.93+3.54 · n=26 | 3.85+2.69 · n=25 | 4.19+2.94 · n=24 | 4.88+3.42 · n=23 | 5.12+3.52 · n=22 | 4.31+3.47 · n=21 | |
| KSAN | — | 2.12+2.00 · n=29 | 2.39+2.23 · n=28 | 2.47+2.28 · n=27 | 2.48+2.30 · n=26 | 2.43+2.21 · n=25 | 2.38+2.19 · n=24 | 2.23+2.18 · n=23 | 2.09+1.91 · n=22 | 2.02+1.47 · n=21 | |
| KSAT | — | 1.88−0.42 · n=29 | 2.10−0.51 · n=28 | 2.15−0.76 · n=27 | 2.18−0.72 · n=26 | 2.06−0.69 · n=25 | 2.37−0.85 · n=24 | 2.13−0.67 · n=23 | 2.13−0.87 · n=22 | 2.46−0.73 · n=21 | |
| KSEA | — | 1.22−0.69 · n=29 | 1.49−1.04 · n=28 | 1.54−0.88 · n=27 | 1.45−0.45 · n=26 | 1.83−0.74 · n=25 | 1.94−0.92 · n=24 | 2.46−1.22 · n=23 | 2.40−1.50 · n=22 | 3.11−0.76 · n=21 | |
| KSFO | — | 1.01−0.31 · n=29 | 0.88−0.16 · n=28 | 0.98−0.27 · n=27 | 1.00−0.45 · n=26 | 0.97−0.47 · n=25 | 0.82−0.48 · n=24 | 0.98−0.63 · n=23 | 1.11−0.71 · n=22 | 1.18−0.69 · n=21 | |
| KTTN | — | 3.13+3.12 · n=29 | 3.27+3.00 · n=28 | 3.86+3.65 · n=27 | 3.64+3.19 · n=26 | 4.24+2.81 · n=25 | 4.74+3.24 · n=24 | 5.25+3.85 · n=23 | 5.35+3.52 · n=22 | 5.31+3.05 · n=21 |
Native daily maximum vs NWS CLI
| Station | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KATL | — | 2.58+1.83 · n=29 | 2.67+1.12 · n=28 | 3.06+1.46 · n=27 | 3.01+1.73 · n=26 | 3.25+1.26 · n=25 | 4.20+0.16 · n=24 | 2.87+0.94 · n=23 | 4.40−0.12 · n=22 | 4.69+0.53 · n=21 | |
| KAUS | — | 2.55+2.55 · n=29 | 2.52+2.46 · n=28 | 2.81+2.67 · n=27 | 2.70+2.41 · n=26 | 2.22+2.03 · n=25 | 2.47+2.32 · n=24 | 2.81+2.41 · n=23 | 3.01+2.29 · n=22 | 3.23+2.46 · n=21 | |
| KBOS | — | 2.40+1.20 · n=28 | 2.74+0.58 · n=27 | 2.96+0.24 · n=26 | 3.46+0.83 · n=25 | 3.26+0.53 · n=24 | 3.89+0.35 · n=23 | 3.93+1.54 · n=22 | 5.94+0.80 · n=21 | 8.28+2.32 · n=20 | |
| KDCA | — | 2.48+0.99 · n=29 | 3.13+0.22 · n=28 | 3.13+1.38 · n=27 | 3.21+0.42 · n=26 | 3.70−0.21 · n=25 | 3.98+0.47 · n=24 | 5.06+0.87 · n=23 | 4.07+0.12 · n=22 | 7.55−0.28 · n=21 | |
| KDEN | — | 2.36+0.89 · n=29 | 2.67+1.43 · n=28 | 3.42+2.10 · n=27 | 3.03+1.56 · n=26 | 3.66+0.62 · n=25 | 3.62+0.98 · n=24 | 3.50+2.38 · n=23 | 5.48+1.39 · n=22 | 6.42−0.71 · n=21 | |
| KDFW | — | 3.19+2.92 · n=29 | 3.28+3.28 · n=28 | 3.68+3.65 · n=27 | 3.35+3.30 · n=26 | 3.26+3.26 · n=25 | 3.48+3.45 · n=24 | 3.64+2.49 · n=23 | 4.03+2.40 · n=22 | 4.19+2.73 · n=21 | |
| KEWR | — | 1.89+0.58 · n=29 | 1.89+0.38 · n=28 | 2.44+0.07 · n=27 | 2.31+0.13 · n=26 | 2.91+0.25 · n=25 | 3.09+0.25 · n=24 | 3.43+1.21 · n=23 | 3.03+1.04 · n=22 | 4.73+0.88 · n=21 | |
| KIAH | — | 3.37+3.37 · n=29 | 3.04+3.04 · n=28 | 3.28+3.17 · n=27 | 3.38+3.22 · n=26 | 3.83+2.87 · n=25 | 2.84+2.62 · n=24 | 3.40+2.90 · n=23 | 3.72+3.53 · n=22 | 4.15+3.40 · n=21 | |
| KLAS | — | 3.66−2.93 · n=29 | 3.43−2.29 · n=28 | 3.49−2.06 · n=27 | 3.69−1.84 · n=26 | 4.09−1.41 · n=25 | 5.06−2.65 · n=24 | 6.45−2.95 · n=23 | 6.49−2.46 · n=22 | 5.86−2.41 · n=21 | |
| KLAX | — | 2.51+2.21 · n=29 | 3.06+2.45 · n=28 | 3.14+2.60 · n=27 | 3.07+2.43 · n=26 | 3.09+2.55 · n=25 | 2.74+2.38 · n=24 | 2.96+2.19 · n=23 | 3.14+1.62 · n=22 | 2.73+1.10 · n=21 | |
| KMIA | — | 1.27−0.61 · n=29 | 1.33−0.52 · n=28 | 1.52−0.96 · n=27 | 1.53−0.89 · n=26 | 1.83−1.22 · n=25 | 2.02−1.68 · n=24 | 2.12−1.98 · n=23 | 2.12−1.98 · n=22 | 2.53−2.51 · n=21 | |
| KMSP | — | 5.40+5.40 · n=29 | 5.68+4.83 · n=28 | 5.48+5.34 · n=27 | 6.51+5.26 · n=26 | 7.33+3.31 · n=25 | 5.94+3.10 · n=24 | 4.58+1.87 · n=23 | 6.54+0.67 · n=22 | 4.89+1.06 · n=21 | |
| KMSY | — | 2.16−1.40 · n=29 | 1.70−1.48 · n=28 | 1.69−1.18 · n=27 | 2.19−1.36 · n=26 | 1.98−1.44 · n=25 | 2.70−1.84 · n=24 | 2.01−0.75 · n=23 | 2.53−1.33 · n=22 | 2.72−1.72 · n=21 | |
| KNYC | — | 4.76+4.66 · n=29 | 4.69+4.67 · n=28 | 4.55+3.77 · n=27 | 4.13+4.05 · n=26 | 5.17+4.33 · n=25 | 4.85+3.99 · n=24 | 5.39+4.95 · n=23 | 5.04+4.67 · n=22 | 5.36+4.46 · n=21 | |
| KOKC | — | 5.04+5.00 · n=29 | 5.70+5.40 · n=28 | 5.70+5.70 · n=27 | 5.47+5.32 · n=26 | 4.95+4.56 · n=25 | 6.26+3.86 · n=24 | 5.44+4.86 · n=23 | 5.26+5.05 · n=22 | 5.45+2.57 · n=21 | |
| KORD | — | 1.37−0.11 · n=29 | 2.51+1.64 · n=28 | 2.83+2.11 · n=27 | 3.01+0.66 · n=26 | 2.21+0.38 · n=25 | 2.92+0.68 · n=24 | 3.64−0.94 · n=23 | 4.44+0.20 · n=22 | 5.01−0.93 · n=21 | |
| KPHL | — | 1.77−0.45 · n=29 | 2.12−1.01 · n=28 | 2.43−0.16 · n=27 | 2.73−1.06 · n=26 | 2.99−0.44 · n=25 | 3.85−0.85 · n=24 | 4.40−0.04 · n=23 | 4.54+0.27 · n=22 | 5.54−0.07 · n=21 | |
| KPHX | — | 2.39−2.16 · n=29 | 2.77−2.26 · n=28 | 3.00−2.33 · n=27 | 3.69−3.34 · n=26 | 4.41−4.00 · n=25 | 4.67−4.34 · n=24 | 4.69−4.40 · n=23 | 4.66−3.93 · n=22 | 5.09−4.29 · n=21 | |
| KSAN | — | 1.85−1.46 · n=29 | 1.80−1.30 · n=28 | 1.79−1.30 · n=27 | 2.00−1.74 · n=26 | 2.00−1.65 · n=25 | 2.09−1.86 · n=24 | 2.82−1.63 · n=23 | 2.90−1.98 · n=22 | 2.67−2.15 · n=21 | |
| KSAT | — | 1.54+1.38 · n=29 | 1.70+1.61 · n=28 | 1.94+1.87 · n=27 | 2.07+1.80 · n=26 | 1.95+1.81 · n=25 | 2.19+2.19 · n=24 | 2.26+2.16 · n=23 | 2.69+2.30 · n=22 | 2.68+2.31 · n=21 | |
| KSEA | — | 4.54+4.40 · n=29 | 5.04+3.64 · n=28 | 5.23+4.81 · n=27 | 5.36+3.56 · n=26 | 5.20+3.47 · n=25 | 4.99+3.94 · n=24 | 4.25+2.85 · n=23 | 5.45+2.97 · n=22 | 7.12+4.21 · n=21 | |
| KSFO | — | 2.93−1.18 · n=29 | 2.71−0.91 · n=28 | 2.83−0.78 · n=27 | 2.96−0.70 · n=26 | 2.82−0.92 · n=25 | 2.76−1.37 · n=24 | 3.04−1.68 · n=23 | 2.82−1.87 · n=22 | 3.54−2.29 · n=21 | |
| KTTN | — | 3.18+2.30 · n=29 | 2.84+1.43 · n=28 | 2.82+1.97 · n=27 | 3.09+1.60 · n=26 | 3.92+2.17 · n=25 | 4.09+1.90 · n=24 | 5.12+3.14 · n=23 | 4.69+3.31 · n=22 | 5.79+3.00 · n=21 |
Native daily minimum vs NWS CLI
| Station | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KATL | — | 1.81+0.21 · n=29 | 1.81−0.56 · n=28 | 1.98−0.13 · n=27 | 2.34+0.37 · n=26 | 2.21+0.04 · n=25 | 2.39−0.16 · n=24 | 2.25−0.80 · n=23 | 2.30−0.21 · n=22 | 2.24+0.03 · n=21 | |
| KAUS | — | 3.77+3.25 · n=29 | 3.73+3.06 · n=28 | 3.18+2.71 · n=27 | 3.21+2.60 · n=26 | 3.13+2.65 · n=25 | 3.29+2.68 · n=24 | 3.53+2.85 · n=23 | 3.38+2.68 · n=22 | 2.89+2.33 · n=21 | |
| KBOS | — | 3.13−3.13 · n=28 | 3.40−3.21 · n=27 | 3.52−3.39 · n=26 | 4.14−4.05 · n=25 | 4.03−4.03 · n=24 | 3.92−3.63 · n=23 | 3.40−3.14 · n=22 | 3.72−2.95 · n=21 | 5.25−3.55 · n=20 | |
| KDCA | — | 3.21−2.82 · n=29 | 2.99−2.76 · n=28 | 3.31−2.89 · n=27 | 3.69−3.16 · n=26 | 3.63−3.19 · n=25 | 4.39−3.40 · n=24 | 4.44−3.41 · n=23 | 4.85−2.72 · n=22 | 5.47−2.79 · n=21 | |
| KDEN | — | 3.34+1.93 · n=29 | 3.64+2.58 · n=28 | 4.07+3.05 · n=27 | 3.16+2.42 · n=26 | 3.61+2.46 · n=25 | 3.97+2.17 · n=24 | 4.81+1.91 · n=23 | 5.45+1.94 · n=22 | 4.29+2.15 · n=21 | |
| KDFW | — | 3.30+2.63 · n=29 | 3.37+3.17 · n=28 | 3.18+2.96 · n=27 | 2.95+2.94 · n=26 | 2.83+2.83 · n=25 | 3.54+2.23 · n=24 | 3.90+3.07 · n=23 | 3.45+2.84 · n=22 | 3.94+2.26 · n=21 | |
| KEWR | — | 2.02+1.16 · n=29 | 2.41+1.22 · n=28 | 2.51+1.48 · n=27 | 2.42+0.90 · n=26 | 3.06+0.84 · n=25 | 2.99+1.54 · n=24 | 3.86+1.36 · n=23 | 3.67+1.24 · n=22 | 4.08+1.06 · n=21 | |
| KIAH | — | 3.43+3.43 · n=29 | 3.53+3.52 · n=28 | 3.56+3.48 · n=27 | 3.21+3.05 · n=26 | 3.85+2.96 · n=25 | 3.58+3.13 · n=24 | 3.52+3.19 · n=23 | 3.85+2.71 · n=22 | 3.69+2.80 · n=21 | |
| KLAS | — | 4.31−3.39 · n=29 | 4.42−2.77 · n=28 | 4.57−2.12 · n=27 | 4.50−2.01 · n=26 | 4.86−2.11 · n=25 | 4.37−2.50 · n=24 | 5.55−3.12 · n=23 | 5.97−2.34 · n=22 | 5.72−2.39 · n=21 | |
| KLAX | — | 2.22+2.00 · n=29 | 2.62+2.30 · n=28 | 2.71+2.37 · n=27 | 2.83+2.38 · n=26 | 2.70+2.50 · n=25 | 2.73+2.48 · n=24 | 2.35+2.27 · n=23 | 2.51+1.90 · n=22 | 2.60+1.36 · n=21 | |
| KMIA | — | 3.02+2.97 · n=29 | 3.51+3.27 · n=28 | 3.37+3.19 · n=27 | 3.51+3.42 · n=26 | 3.66+3.38 · n=25 | 3.65+3.27 · n=24 | 3.26+3.21 · n=23 | 3.73+2.94 · n=22 | 3.51+2.97 · n=21 | |
| KMSP | — | 2.00−0.90 · n=29 | 2.42−0.92 · n=28 | 2.88−0.76 · n=27 | 2.47−0.66 · n=26 | 3.64−1.33 · n=25 | 5.10−2.14 · n=24 | 5.61−2.18 · n=23 | 5.55−3.23 · n=22 | 6.44−3.04 · n=21 | |
| KMSY | — | 1.14+0.16 · n=29 | 1.26+0.40 · n=28 | 1.46+0.33 · n=27 | 1.69+0.43 · n=26 | 1.91+0.44 · n=25 | 1.82+0.27 · n=24 | 1.79+0.43 · n=23 | 1.93+0.16 · n=22 | 1.93−0.51 · n=21 | |
| KNYC | — | 2.74+2.69 · n=29 | 2.92+2.78 · n=28 | 3.14+3.00 · n=27 | 2.97+2.51 · n=26 | 3.49+2.57 · n=25 | 4.17+3.34 · n=24 | 4.05+2.88 · n=23 | 3.91+2.73 · n=22 | 3.32+2.51 · n=21 | |
| KOKC | — | 2.68+1.68 · n=29 | 2.73+2.41 · n=28 | 3.70+2.75 · n=27 | 4.00+3.44 · n=26 | 4.31+2.80 · n=25 | 4.34+2.23 · n=24 | 4.68+2.57 · n=23 | 3.96+2.20 · n=22 | 5.26+1.51 · n=21 | |
| KORD | — | 1.67−0.55 · n=29 | 2.02−0.52 · n=28 | 2.23−0.21 · n=27 | 2.27−0.31 · n=26 | 2.03−0.52 · n=25 | 2.58−0.06 · n=24 | 3.51−0.74 · n=23 | 4.89−0.91 · n=22 | 4.46−1.31 · n=21 | |
| KPHL | — | 2.20−1.95 · n=29 | 2.38−2.03 · n=28 | 2.63−1.68 · n=27 | 3.02−2.30 · n=26 | 3.13−2.54 · n=25 | 3.13−2.00 · n=24 | 3.91−1.76 · n=23 | 4.30−2.07 · n=22 | 4.66−2.19 · n=21 | |
| KPHX | — | 3.81+0.60 · n=29 | 4.01+0.82 · n=28 | 3.57+1.26 · n=27 | 3.95+1.13 · n=26 | 3.74+0.48 · n=25 | 4.08+0.50 · n=24 | 4.71+1.13 · n=23 | 4.48+1.56 · n=22 | 2.80+0.90 · n=21 | |
| KSAN | — | 1.63+1.18 · n=29 | 1.84+1.40 · n=28 | 1.93+1.51 · n=27 | 1.94+1.44 · n=26 | 1.85+1.33 · n=25 | 1.83+1.42 · n=24 | 1.63+1.34 · n=23 | 1.60+0.98 · n=22 | 1.83+0.82 · n=21 | |
| KSAT | — | 1.85−0.52 · n=29 | 2.17−0.65 · n=28 | 2.19−0.85 · n=27 | 2.21−0.84 · n=26 | 2.20−0.91 · n=25 | 2.44−1.02 · n=24 | 2.22−0.80 · n=23 | 2.27−1.07 · n=22 | 2.39−0.89 · n=21 | |
| KSEA | — | 2.44−2.31 · n=29 | 2.49−2.28 · n=28 | 2.46−2.11 · n=27 | 2.24−2.03 · n=26 | 2.53−2.19 · n=25 | 3.04−2.61 · n=24 | 3.29−2.96 · n=23 | 3.24−3.01 · n=22 | 3.56−2.55 · n=21 | |
| KSFO | — | 1.40−1.01 · n=29 | 1.21−0.85 · n=28 | 1.34−1.03 · n=27 | 1.46−1.21 · n=26 | 1.37−1.13 · n=25 | 1.39−1.24 · n=24 | 1.46−1.37 · n=23 | 1.54−1.42 · n=22 | 1.49−1.43 · n=21 | |
| KTTN | — | 1.56+0.78 · n=29 | 2.09+0.58 · n=28 | 2.37+1.24 · n=27 | 3.19+0.26 · n=26 | 3.24+0.00 · n=25 | 3.79+0.93 · n=24 | 4.33+0.86 · n=23 | 4.26+0.73 · n=22 | 5.30+0.36 · n=21 |
Month-by-month slices live on the canonical page: they do not depend on the window, initialization or interpolation selected here.
Source and licence
Where the numbers come from, what may be done with them, and what was — deliberately — not done to the forecast before scoring it.
Where it comes from
gfs · pgrb2.0p25
Steps every 6 h to 240 h; sampled at 00/06/12/18 UTC only.
Licence
NOAA/NCEP, U.S. Government work, public domain.
Post-processing
None. Raw grid values, bilinear (headline) or nearest-node interpolation, no MOS, no bias correction, no downscaling.