Pangu-Weather (IFS init) (pangu_ifs)
source aiwp · product PANG · initial conditions from IFS · steps every 6 h to 240 h · initializations 0, 12 UTC.
Scores use the latest model version segment, PANG_v100, starting 2026-08-28. Earlier days ran a different version of the model and are excluded rather than silently pooled into the same average.
These pages are always bilinear interpolation, the headline method. The nearest-node variant, and every other window/initialization/interpolation/variable combination, is published on each permanent link below — follow any number.
Daily maximum temperature — MAE °F by station
| Station | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KATL | 3.28-3.28 · n=3 | 2.86-2.86 · n=2 | 4.71-4.71 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KAUS | 5.12-5.12 · n=3 | 5.91-5.91 · n=2 | 6.34-6.34 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KBOS | 2.55-0.54 · n=2 | 2.63-0.53 · n=2 | 3.84-3.84 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KDCA | 2.80-2.80 · n=3 | 1.96-1.96 · n=2 | 3.70-3.70 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KDEN | 2.30-2.03 · n=3 | 1.80-1.80 · n=2 | 0.70+0.70 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KDFW | 4.26-4.26 · n=3 | 5.23-5.23 · n=2 | 4.74-4.74 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KEWR | 2.47-1.04 · n=3 | 0.62+0.60 · n=2 | 1.39+1.39 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KIAH | 3.30-3.30 · n=3 | 3.56-3.56 · n=2 | 3.89-3.89 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KLAS | 5.32-5.32 · n=3 | 5.80-5.80 · n=2 | 5.51-5.51 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KLAX | 2.13-1.73 · n=3 | 3.27-3.27 · n=2 | 4.04-4.04 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KMIA | 4.65-4.65 · n=3 | 6.55-6.55 · n=2 | 7.11-7.11 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KMSP | 4.60-4.60 · n=3 | 4.57-4.57 · n=2 | 4.11-4.11 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KMSY | 4.27-4.27 · n=3 | 4.24-4.24 · n=2 | 2.77-2.77 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KNYC | 3.20+2.06 · n=3 | 3.71+3.71 · n=2 | 3.83+3.83 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KOKC | 4.91-4.91 · n=3 | 5.21-5.21 · n=2 | 4.96-4.96 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KORD | 2.71-2.71 · n=3 | 4.02-4.02 · n=2 | 1.44-1.44 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KPHL | 2.69-2.69 · n=3 | 1.66-1.66 · n=2 | 3.24-3.24 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KPHX | 6.10-6.10 · n=3 | 7.45-7.45 · n=2 | 7.00-7.00 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KSAN | 5.51-5.51 · n=3 | 6.41-6.41 · n=2 | 4.85-4.85 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KSAT | 2.73-2.73 · n=3 | 3.94-3.94 · n=2 | 4.20-4.20 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KSEA | 1.78-1.78 · n=3 | 3.06-3.06 · n=2 | 2.28-2.28 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KSFO | 4.74-4.11 · n=3 | 6.70-6.70 · n=2 | 6.39-6.39 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KTTN | 1.59+1.59 · n=3 | 2.81+2.81 · n=2 | 2.11+2.11 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Up to 2 of the scored days in this table carry a QC flag on the observation (a CLI value that disagreed with the hourly observations, or a fallback source). They are kept in the scores and counted here rather than dropped — see methodology.
+ model too warm · − model too cold · bias interval includes zero · ★ lowest MAE · = not distinguishable from the leader · ▼ significantly worse · n < 30 greyed and unranked · CI is a 95 % moving-block bootstrap interval.
Daily minimum temperature — MAE °F by station
| Station | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KATL | 1.45-1.45 · n=3 | 1.46-1.46 · n=2 | 0.83-0.83 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KAUS | 3.49+3.49 · n=3 | 3.71+3.71 · n=2 | 2.67+2.67 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KBOS | 2.53-1.13 · n=2 | 2.49-1.01 · n=2 | 2.81-2.81 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KDCA | 1.80-1.80 · n=3 | 2.14-1.07 · n=2 | 1.47-1.47 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KDEN | 1.86+1.86 · n=3 | 1.49+1.38 · n=2 | 1.22+1.22 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KDFW | 0.62-0.62 · n=3 | 1.67-1.67 · n=2 | 2.32-2.32 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KEWR | 1.61+1.61 · n=3 | 2.32+1.05 · n=2 | 1.05+1.05 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KIAH | 2.32+1.88 · n=3 | 0.31+0.31 · n=2 | 0.31-0.31 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KLAS | 4.85-4.85 · n=3 | 6.21-6.21 · n=2 | 7.28-7.28 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KLAX | 1.22+0.64 · n=3 | 1.34-1.34 · n=2 | 3.15-3.15 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KMIA | 1.32+1.27 · n=3 | 2.33+2.26 · n=2 | 0.74-0.74 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KMSP | 0.77-0.73 · n=3 | 1.36-1.36 · n=2 | 3.69-3.69 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KMSY | 1.63-0.14 · n=3 | 1.93-1.00 · n=2 | 3.66-3.66 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KNYC | 2.35+0.88 · n=3 | 3.23-0.98 · n=2 | 2.11-2.11 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KOKC | 3.57+2.67 · n=3 | 3.06+3.06 · n=2 | 1.48+1.48 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KORD | 2.10+2.10 · n=3 | 1.85+1.85 · n=2 | 1.54+1.54 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KPHL | 0.95-0.08 · n=3 | 1.39+0.68 · n=2 | 2.57+2.57 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KPHX | 1.55-1.07 · n=3 | 0.89-0.83 · n=2 | 0.83-0.83 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KSAN | 1.12-0.30 · n=3 | 1.54-1.54 · n=2 | 3.13-3.13 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KSAT | 2.75+1.13 · n=3 | 1.70-1.70 · n=2 | 3.89-3.89 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KSEA | 1.78+1.78 · n=3 | 1.59+1.32 · n=2 | 0.35+0.35 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KSFO | 1.21+1.12 · n=3 | 1.13+0.42 · n=2 | 0.08+0.08 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| KTTN | 4.87+4.87 · n=3 | 5.95+5.95 · n=2 | 7.57+7.57 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Up to 2 of the scored days in this table carry a QC flag on the observation (a CLI value that disagreed with the hourly observations, or a fallback source). They are kept in the scores and counted here rather than dropped — see methodology.
Month by month
MAE °F at lead day 1, 00Z, bilinear, daily maximum, per station.
| Month | KATL | KAUS | KBOS | KDCA | KDEN | KDFW | KEWR | KIAH | KLAS | KLAX | KMIA | KMSP | KMSY | KNYC | KOKC | KORD | KPHL | KPHX | KSAN | KSAT | KSEA | KSFO | KTTN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | 2.86-2.86 · n=2 | 5.91-5.91 · n=2 | 2.63-0.53 · n=2 | 1.96-1.96 · n=2 | 1.80-1.80 · n=2 | 5.23-5.23 · n=2 | 0.62+0.60 · n=2 | 3.56-3.56 · n=2 | 5.80-5.80 · n=2 | 3.27-3.27 · n=2 | 6.55-6.55 · n=2 | 4.57-4.57 · n=2 | 4.24-4.24 · n=2 | 3.71+3.71 · n=2 | 5.21-5.21 · n=2 | 4.02-4.02 · n=2 | 1.66-1.66 · n=2 | 7.45-7.45 · n=2 | 6.41-6.41 · n=2 | 3.94-3.94 · n=2 | 3.06-3.06 · n=2 | 6.70-6.70 · n=2 | 2.81+2.81 · n=2 |
Source and licence
Where it comes from
aiwp · PANG · IFS initial conditions
Steps every 6 h to 240 h; sampled at 00/06/12/18 UTC only.
Licence
NOAA/CIRA AIWP, U.S. Government work, public domain. Cite Radford et al. (2025), BAMS, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0057.1.
Post-processing
None. Raw grid values, bilinear (headline) or nearest-node interpolation, no MOS, no bias correction, no downscaling.
All scores as JSON scores_latest.csv daily_errors.csv.gz data & licences