KLAX — Los Angeles Intl
33.9381, -118.3889 · 38 m· standard offset UTC-8 h · truth product CLILAX
These pages are always bilinear interpolation, the headline method. The nearest-node variant, and every other window/initialization/interpolation/variable combination, is published on each permanent link below — follow any number.
Daily maximum temperature — MAE °F
| Model | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF AIFS Singleaifs_single | — | 1.48+0.57 · n=29 | 1.43+0.53 · n=28 | 1.41+0.67 · n=27 | 1.39+0.61 · n=26 | 1.49+0.49 · n=24 | 1.76+0.23 · n=24 | 2.17-0.35 · n=23 | 2.01-0.32 · n=22 | 2.11-1.01 · n=21 | |
| Aurora (GFS init)aurora_gfs | — | 6.93-6.93 · n=2 | 6.28-6.28 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Aurora (IFS init)aurora_ifs | — | 5.89-5.89 · n=2 | 6.03-6.03 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FourCastNet v2 (GFS init)fourcastnet_gfs | — | 3.47-3.47 · n=2 | 2.76-2.76 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FourCastNet v2 (IFS init)fourcastnet_ifs | — | 3.51-3.51 · n=2 | 2.68-2.68 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| NCEP GFSgfs | — | 1.90-0.88 · n=29 | 2.15-0.63 · n=28 | 2.02-0.59 · n=27 | 2.13-0.68 · n=26 | 1.80-0.65 · n=25 | 1.80-0.87 · n=24 | 2.18-0.69 · n=23 | 2.82-1.42 · n=22 | 2.80-1.88 · n=21 | |
| GraphCast (GFS init)graphcast_gfs | — | 5.84-5.84 · n=2 | 5.33-5.33 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GraphCast (IFS init)graphcast_ifs | — | 3.52-3.52 · n=27 | 3.62-3.62 · n=26 | 3.55-3.55 · n=25 | 3.72-3.72 · n=25 | 3.68-3.67 · n=25 | 3.75-3.73 · n=24 | 3.88-3.88 · n=23 | 4.24-4.24 · n=22 | 4.96-4.96 · n=21 | |
| ECMWF IFS HRESifs_hres | — | 2.42-2.18 · n=24 | 2.28-2.07 · n=22 | 2.20-1.90 · n=22 | 2.31-1.54 · n=21 | 2.29-1.34 · n=20 | 2.42-1.47 · n=19 | 2.35-1.67 · n=17 | 2.59-2.09 · n=17 | 4.78-3.05 · n=14 | |
| Pangu-Weather (GFS init)pangu_gfs | — | 1.87-1.87 · n=2 | 2.73-2.73 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pangu-Weather (IFS init)pangu_ifs | — | 2.74-2.74 · n=2 | 3.72-3.72 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Persistence (baseline)persistence | — | 1.61-0.12 · n=90 | 1.91-0.29 · n=90 | 2.01-0.46 · n=90 | 2.21-0.70 · n=90 | 2.38-0.91 · n=90 | 2.48-1.12 · n=90 | 2.72-1.30 · n=90 | 2.77-1.48 · n=90 | 2.94-1.63 · n=90 |
Up to 2 of the scored days in this table carry a QC flag on the observation (a CLI value that disagreed with the hourly observations, or a fallback source). They are kept in the scores and counted here rather than dropped — see methodology.
+ model too warm · − model too cold · bias interval includes zero · ★ lowest MAE · = not distinguishable from the leader · ▼ significantly worse · n < 30 greyed and unranked · CI is a 95 % moving-block bootstrap interval.
Daily minimum temperature — MAE °F
| Model | d0 | d1 | d2 | d3 | d4 | d5 | d6 | d7 | d8 | d9 | lead 1–9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF AIFS Singleaifs_single | — | 0.53-0.03 · n=29 | 0.56-0.23 · n=28 | 0.70-0.31 · n=27 | 0.81-0.25 · n=26 | 0.69-0.33 · n=24 | 0.73-0.43 · n=24 | 0.91-0.48 · n=23 | 1.35-0.64 · n=22 | 1.20-0.92 · n=21 | |
| Aurora (GFS init)aurora_gfs | — | 2.72-2.72 · n=2 | 2.93-2.93 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Aurora (IFS init)aurora_ifs | — | 1.41-1.41 · n=2 | 2.65-2.65 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FourCastNet v2 (GFS init)fourcastnet_gfs | — | 1.63+1.63 · n=2 | 1.98+1.98 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FourCastNet v2 (IFS init)fourcastnet_ifs | — | 1.88+1.88 · n=2 | 1.66+1.66 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| NCEP GFSgfs | — | 2.98+2.86 · n=29 | 3.47+3.30 · n=28 | 3.58+3.44 · n=27 | 3.49+3.38 · n=26 | 3.53+3.42 · n=25 | 3.38+3.34 · n=24 | 3.30+3.30 · n=23 | 3.33+3.03 · n=22 | 2.98+2.24 · n=21 | |
| GraphCast (GFS init)graphcast_gfs | — | 1.78-1.78 · n=2 | 2.46-2.46 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| GraphCast (IFS init)graphcast_ifs | — | 0.72-0.49 · n=27 | 0.97-0.73 · n=26 | 0.90-0.73 · n=25 | 0.87-0.72 · n=25 | 0.95-0.68 · n=25 | 0.97-0.54 · n=24 | 1.12-0.45 · n=23 | 1.35-0.50 · n=22 | 1.86-1.06 · n=21 | |
| ECMWF IFS HRESifs_hres | — | 0.76+0.55 · n=24 | 0.84+0.68 · n=22 | 1.03+0.71 · n=22 | 1.36+1.21 · n=21 | 1.30+1.05 · n=20 | 1.34+1.19 · n=19 | 1.78+1.56 · n=17 | 1.70+1.18 · n=17 | 2.19-0.09 · n=14 | |
| Pangu-Weather (GFS init)pangu_gfs | — | 1.18-0.04 · n=2 | 2.12-2.12 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pangu-Weather (IFS init)pangu_ifs | — | 0.77-0.05 · n=2 | 2.31-2.31 · n=1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Persistence (baseline)persistence | — | 0.96-0.11 · n=90 | 1.40-0.27 · n=90 | 1.42-0.42 · n=90 | 1.42-0.60 · n=90 | 1.56-0.78 · n=90 | 1.81-0.92 · n=90 | 2.00-1.04 · n=90 | 2.07-1.18 · n=90 | 2.20-1.29 · n=90 |
Up to 2 of the scored days in this table carry a QC flag on the observation (a CLI value that disagreed with the hourly observations, or a fallback source). They are kept in the scores and counted here rather than dropped — see methodology.
Month-by-month slices, model availability and the observed-truth table live on the canonical page: they do not depend on the window, initialization or interpolation selected here.
All scores as JSON scores_latest.csv daily_errors.csv.gz data & licences